Belgian Cup (Belgium)

St. Truiden have shown solid moments on their own ground, winning two of their last three home fixtures to nil against RAAL La Louviere and FC Iberia 1999. Lommel United enter the match with confidence after back-to-back away victories over Diksmuide and SK Beveren, but they have never defeated St. Truiden in their recorded meetings. With both previous head-to-head encounters ending level at 1-1, backing St. Truiden to win or draw covers the most likely outcomes in what projects to be a closely fought cup tie.

Over 2.5 Goals — 76% confidence

Beerschot have displayed substantial firepower in recent outings, producing 18 goals across their last five matches and seeing four of those five games exceed 2.5 total goals. Anderlecht have mirrored that frequency, with four of their last five matches across all competitions generating at least three goals. Head-to-head history heavily reinforces a high-scoring pattern, as six of the eight previous meetings between these sides finished over 2.5 goals with a match average of 3.75 goals. Given the hosts attacking momentum and the defensive vulnerabilities shown by both sides, another open affair looks likely.

Anderlecht or Draw — 72% confidence

Anderlecht have held the upper hand historically, winning six of the eight encounters between these two clubs, including a 1-0 win in their most recent cup encounter in January 2025. Although Beerschot have momentum on a five-match winning streak, Anderlecht possess proven quality against higher-calibre opponents, evidenced by recent wins over Cercle Brugge and Reims. With Anderlecht managing squad absences such as G. Biancone and K. Sardella alongside a tight schedule following their trip to Zagreb, taking the double chance provides effective coverage against a competitive home side while backing the visitors to avoid defeat.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Anderlecht have held the upper hand historically, winning six of the eight encounters between these two clubs, including a 1-0 win in their most recent cup encounter in January 2025. Although Beerschot have momentum on a five-match winning streak, Anderlecht possess proven quality against higher-calibre opponents, evidenced by recent wins over Cercle Brugge and Reims. With Anderlecht managing squad absences such as G. Biancone and K. Sardella alongside a tight schedule following their trip to Zagreb, taking the double chance provides effective coverage against a competitive home side while backing the visitors to avoid defeat.

Beerschot have displayed substantial firepower in recent outings, producing 18 goals across their last five matches and seeing four of those five games exceed 2.5 total goals. Anderlecht have mirrored that frequency, with four of their last five matches across all competitions generating at least three goals. Head-to-head history heavily reinforces a high-scoring pattern, as six of the eight previous meetings between these sides finished over 2.5 goals with a match average of 3.75 goals. Given the hosts attacking momentum and the defensive vulnerabilities shown by both sides, another open affair looks likely.

Gent hold a clear and substantial advantage across performance indicators and direct competition history. Gent are unbeaten in their last five matches with four wins, having conceded just two goals during that stretch while testing themselves against established top-tier opponents like Genk, Aarhus, and Standard Liege. The only prior head-to-head clash between these two clubs ended in a 7-0 win for Gent in October 2024. Although Rochefort are in steady form with three wins from five matches, the step up to facing Gent represents an overwhelming gap in quality, making an away victory in ninety minutes the most probable outcome.

KV Mechelen have been involved in open, high-scoring matches recently, scoring six goals while conceding six across their last two fixtures against St. Truiden and Karpaty. They have allowed 11 goals across their past five games. AS Eupen arrive having scored in five consecutive matches, generating 11 goals in that stretch. Furthermore, 70 percent of the last ten meetings between these sides saw both teams score, supporting another encounter where both attacks break through.

A straight match winner selection is justified by an overwhelming multi-signal advantage across head-to-head history and recent defensive metrics. Union St. Gilloise dismantled Nijlen by scorelines of 8-0 and 9-0 in their two previous encounters. Even with multiple squad absences such as K. Mac Allister, K. Rodriguez, and R. Sykes, Union St. Gilloise have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches. In contrast, Nijlen have shipped nine goals across their last two outings, indicating significant defensive instability that should allow the home side to prevail.

Zulte Waregem hold a commanding head-to-head record against Seraing United, having won five of their eight encounters and never losing at home in four previous meetings. While Zulte Waregem have suffered four straight defeats against tough opponents, Seraing United have also found consistency hard to come by, managing just one victory in their last five fixtures. Seraing United have conceded two or more goals in four consecutive games, giving Zulte Waregem a favourable setup to avoid defeat and progress in this cup tie.

RAAL La Louvière or Draw — 72% confidence

RAAL La Louvière have dominated recent meetings on home soil against Liège, winning 3-1 in their November 2024 clash and 2-0 in their September 2023 cup tie, alongside a 1-1 draw in their most recent meeting in March 2025. Liège have struggled for defensive solidity when traveling, failing to win any of their last three away matches while conceding ten goals in that span.

Over 2.5 Goals — 74% confidence

Every single match in Liège's last five fixtures has seen at least four goals scored, with scorelines of 1-5, 2-2, 4-1, 1-3, and 4-4. RAAL La Louvière have also seen four of their last five matches eclipse the 2.5 goal line, including a 4-1 defeat to Club Brugge KV, a 4-0 win over Dunkerque, and a 3-0 victory over Kortrijk. The defensive vulnerability of Liège combined with productive attacking outputs from both sides strongly supports clearing the 2.5 goal threshold.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Every single match in Liège's last five fixtures has seen at least four goals scored, with scorelines of 1-5, 2-2, 4-1, 1-3, and 4-4. RAAL La Louvière have also seen four of their last five matches eclipse the 2.5 goal line, including a 4-1 defeat to Club Brugge KV, a 4-0 win over Dunkerque, and a 3-0 victory over Kortrijk. The defensive vulnerability of Liège combined with productive attacking outputs from both sides strongly supports clearing the 2.5 goal threshold.

RAAL La Louvière have dominated recent meetings on home soil against Liège, winning 3-1 in their November 2024 clash and 2-0 in their September 2023 cup tie, alongside a 1-1 draw in their most recent meeting in March 2025. Liège have struggled for defensive solidity when traveling, failing to win any of their last three away matches while conceding ten goals in that span.

Club Brugge have produced high totals across all five of their recent fixtures, clearing the 2.5 total goals threshold in every single one while scoring 16 goals in that span. Their last five matches have finished 4-3, 4-1, 3-0, 3-1, and 2-3, reflecting an expansive approach. Lokeren-Temse also feature in open fixtures, with four of their last five matches exceeding 2.5 goals, including encounters that finished 5-0, 6-2, and 2-4. Given the hosts potent attacking output and the visitors defensive record against reserve squads, over 2.5 total goals is strongly backed by recent form.

Genk bring positive momentum after securing a 3-0 victory and a clean sheet against Kortrijk. Although they had drawn against Anderlecht and Gent and lost to Club Brugge KV prior to that win, they have repeatedly competed against high-level opponents. Excelsior Virton possess scoring ability, having netted three goals in three of their last four matches, but conceding four goals at home against Sporting Hasselt exposes clear defensive concerns. Backing Genk on the double chance provides coverage for both an away win and a potential draw in ninety minutes.

Four of Heist's last five matches have generated at least four goals, with scorelines of 3-1, 1-3, 2-2, and 2-3, alongside their 3-2 cup victory. Antwerp have allowed 15 goals across their last five fixtures, conceding at least three goals on three occasions. Given the defensive issues evident in Antwerp's recent away matches and Heist's track record of participating in high-scoring affairs, the probability of exceeding 2.5 total goals is well supported.

Charleroi enter this cup fixture in strong form, having won four of their last five matches against quality opponents while scoring ten goals in that sequence. While Albert Quévy-Mons have demonstrated impressive finishing by scoring 17 goals over their last five matches, they have also shown defensive frailties by conceding five goals across their last two outings. Backing Charleroi to either win or draw within ninety minutes offers a well-grounded position in a knockout tie where Albert Quévy-Mons will be motivated on their home pitch.

BTTS No — 67% confidence

Both teams scoring has been rare in Francs Borains' recent fixtures, failing to occur in four of their last five matches. That run includes shutouts in 1-0 victories over Diegem Sport and Excelsior Virton as well as their recent 3-0 loss to K. Lierse S.K. OH Leuven have also been involved in several one-sided defensive displays, recording a clean sheet against RAAL La Louvière and failing to score in defeats to SK Beveren and Gent.

OH Leuven or Draw — 76% confidence

OH Leuven have established solid home form in their recent matches, taking a 2-0 win over RAAL La Louvière and drawing 1-1 with Cercle Brugge. They also proved resilient in their latest outing by securing a 1-1 away draw against Union St. Gilloise. Francs Borains faltered in their last away encounter with a 3-0 loss at K. Lierse S.K., making the home side well positioned to avoid defeat in normal time.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Both teams scoring has been rare in Francs Borains' recent fixtures, failing to occur in four of their last five matches. That run includes shutouts in 1-0 victories over Diegem Sport and Excelsior Virton as well as their recent 3-0 loss to K. Lierse S.K. OH Leuven have also been involved in several one-sided defensive displays, recording a clean sheet against RAAL La Louvière and failing to score in defeats to SK Beveren and Gent.

OH Leuven have established solid home form in their recent matches, taking a 2-0 win over RAAL La Louvière and drawing 1-1 with Cercle Brugge. They also proved resilient in their latest outing by securing a 1-1 away draw against Union St. Gilloise. Francs Borains faltered in their last away encounter with a 3-0 loss at K. Lierse S.K., making the home side well positioned to avoid defeat in normal time.

Sporting Hasselt have a superior recent record (3 wins, 2 losses) and a higher scoring rate than Cercle Brugge, who have managed only one draw in five games and concede heavily. The cup tie removes league position considerations, focusing the analysis on form and goal trends. Hasselt’s ability to score multiple goals and Brugge’s defensive frailties suggest a home win is the most likely outcome, but a double‑chance cushions the small risk of a draw while still reflecting the home side’s advantage.

KVC Westerlo or Draw — 78% confidence

Westerlo have won four of their last five matches, scoring at least two goals in each, while Patro Eisden have only one win in the same period and concede heavily. The sole previous meeting ended 2‑0 for Westerlo. These factors point to a strong likelihood that the home side will either win or at least secure a draw.

Over 2.5 Goals — 70% confidence

Westerlo’s recent games have produced an average of 4.4 goals per match and Patro Eisden’s fixtures average 2.4 goals. Combined, the trend suggests a match with more than 2.5 goals is more probable than a low‑scoring affair.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.