Ekstraklasa (Poland)

Piast Gliwice have demonstrated reliable attacking intent on home soil this season, scoring in all six home league matches and averaging 2.3 goals scored alongside 1.8 conceded per game. Their last three fixtures in Gliwice have produced scorelines of 2-1, 3-4, and 1-2. Cracovia Krakow have also been involved in open encounters recently, with each of their last five league games producing at least two goals, including away defeats of 3-2 at GKS Katowice and 3-1 at Wisla Plock.

While recent weeks indicate enough defensive lapses to support multiple goals, extending the selection to Over 2.5 is not justified by the broader evidence. Head-to-head history heavily favours lower scoring totals, with 70 percent of the last ten meetings staying under 2.5 goals and three of the last five fixtures played in Gliwice finishing 0-0. Additionally, Cracovia average just 0.8 goals scored per game on the road. The evidence firmly supports two goals being scored, but does not provide sufficient foundation to expect three.

Piast Gliwice have demonstrated consistent scoring reliability at home, having scored in every one of their six home league games this season. In contrast, Cracovia are winless on the road in five attempts, managing two draws and three defeats. Additionally, Piast have avoided defeat in nine of their last ten encounters with Cracovia, making the double chance outcome in favour of the home side strongly supported by both recent venue splits and head-to-head trends.

Recent form points toward both teams finding the target. Cracovia have scored and conceded in each of their last five league fixtures, including a 1-1 draw with Legia Warszawa and high-scoring losses against Nieciecza and GKS Katowice, with attacker A. Hasic leading their attack on five goals. Piast have also seen both sides score in four of their last five matches, having conceded 11 times across six home games while scoring 14.

Piast Gliwice or Draw — 76% confidence

Piast Gliwice have demonstrated consistent scoring reliability at home, having scored in every one of their six home league games this season. In contrast, Cracovia are winless on the road in five attempts, managing two draws and three defeats. Additionally, Piast have avoided defeat in nine of their last ten encounters with Cracovia, making the double chance outcome in favour of the home side strongly supported by both recent venue splits and head-to-head trends.

BTTS Yes — 72% confidence

Recent form points toward both teams finding the target. Cracovia have scored and conceded in each of their last five league fixtures, including a 1-1 draw with Legia Warszawa and high-scoring losses against Nieciecza and GKS Katowice, with attacker A. Hasic leading their attack on five goals. Piast have also seen both sides score in four of their last five matches, having conceded 11 times across six home games while scoring 14.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Both sides carry clear defensive liabilities that make goals likely for each team. Korona Kielce have failed to record a single clean sheet across five home league matches, conceding seven goals while scoring six. In attack, M. Stepinski has been reliable with six goals, supported by W. Dlugosz who has provided six assists.

GKS Katowice arrive with an attack averaging two goals per game overall and 1.5 goals per match away from home, powered by I. Shkurin with eight goals and B. Nowak with eight assists. However, Katowice have also failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their six away fixtures, conceding 11 times. With the most recent meeting between these two teams ending in a 1-1 draw and 57.14 percent of their last seven encounters seeing both sides score, the conditions strongly support each team getting on the scoresheet.

Pogon Szczecin have been one of the league's most solid sides this season, suffering just one defeat in ten matches and conceding an average of only 0.6 goals per game. Radomiak Radom have struggled severely on their travels, failing to win any of their five away matches and drawing blanks in three of them. While Radomiak have been competitive in previous head-to-head encounters, their current away goal differential of minus 12 makes an outright away victory improbable. Backing Pogon to win or draw covers the possibility of a resilient defensive showing from the visitors while heavily favoring the home side's superior consistency.

Wisla Krakow have been formidable on their home ground, posting five wins from five matches with 10 goals scored and only three conceded. Raków Częstochowa sit at the bottom of the table after losing nine of their opening 11 matches, having conceded 26 goals without keeping a clean sheet all season. While Raków managed a 2-1 victory in their last away match and boast a positive historical head-to-head record from earlier seasons, Wisla's current home stability gives them a substantial advantage to secure at least a point. Raków's open matches also point toward goals, with each of their last five fixtures exceeding two total goals.

Slask Wroclaw have found the back of the net in ten of their eleven league fixtures this season, failing to score only once. However, their defense has conceded twenty-two goals in eleven matches and has managed just one clean sheet all season. Each of Slask's last five games has seen them concede at least two goals. Wieczysta Krakow show a very similar pattern, having also kept only one clean sheet in eleven league matches while conceding twenty-one times. Away from home, Wieczysta concede 2.3 goals per game but have scored ten goals in seven outings. In addition, the two previous encounters between these clubs ended in 1-1 and 3-3 draws, pointing toward both sides finding the net once again.

Wisla Plock enter this fixture in superior form, having won four of their last five matches across all competitions to sit 10th on 14 points. Jagiellonia have lost four of their last five outings overall and have suffered three defeats in five home league games, conceding at an average of 1.8 goals per match on their own pitch. With the hosts missing several players including D. Drachal, C. Polak, and D. Rallis, and Wisla Plock having won 2-1 on this ground in their previous meeting, the visitors have a strong probability of avoiding defeat.

Both teams have shown recurring defensive vulnerabilities that point toward a high-scoring encounter. Jagiellonia have kept just one clean sheet across 10 league matches, shipping 17 goals in total and seeing four of their last five games in all competitions produce three or more goals. Wisla Plock have conceded 12 goals in six away league matches, an average of 2.0 per game. Additionally, the nine recorded head-to-head fixtures between these teams have averaged 3.44 goals per game, with 66.7 percent of those meetings surpassing the 2.5 goal line.

Over 2.5 Goals — 63% confidence

Both teams have shown recurring defensive vulnerabilities that point toward a high-scoring encounter. Jagiellonia have kept just one clean sheet across 10 league matches, shipping 17 goals in total and seeing four of their last five games in all competitions produce three or more goals. Wisla Plock have conceded 12 goals in six away league matches, an average of 2.0 per game. Additionally, the nine recorded head-to-head fixtures between these teams have averaged 3.44 goals per game, with 66.7 percent of those meetings surpassing the 2.5 goal line.

Wisla Plock or Draw — 67% confidence

Wisla Plock enter this fixture in superior form, having won four of their last five matches across all competitions to sit 10th on 14 points. Jagiellonia have lost four of their last five outings overall and have suffered three defeats in five home league games, conceding at an average of 1.8 goals per match on their own pitch. With the hosts missing several players including D. Drachal, C. Polak, and D. Rallis, and Wisla Plock having won 2-1 on this ground in their previous meeting, the visitors have a strong probability of avoiding defeat.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Legia’s unbeaten run, strong home scoring average (2.4) and low home concession rate (0.6) give them a solid chance to avoid defeat. Lech’s away scoring average (2.5) is impressive but is tempered by several attacking injuries, reducing the likelihood of a clean win. The balanced head‑to‑head history and recent 4‑0 loss for Legia further support a double‑chance for the home side.

Gornik Zabrze sit top of the standings and have shown exceptional form on the road, claiming five victories and one draw from six away matches while conceding only 0.5 goals per game. Widzew Łódź remain winless on their own ground this season with four draws and two losses from six matches. Because Widzew have drawn seven of their eleven league games overall, folding in the draw provides strong coverage against their persistent ability to force low-scoring stalemates. With Gornik conceding just three goals away and the sides having drawn 0-0 in their most recent meeting, an outcome staying under 2.5 goals is also well supported.

Motor Lublin or Draw — 72% confidence

Motor Lublin hold an exceptional record in this fixture, having avoided defeat in all five previous competitive meetings with Zaglebie Lubin, winning four and drawing one. The hosts have also won each of their three previous home encounters against Zaglebie. Additionally, Motor Lublin carry momentum from consecutive league victories, while Zaglebie Lubin have managed only one win in five away trips this campaign.

BTTS Yes — 62% confidence

Motor Lublin have seen both teams score in four of their last five matches, conceding 19 goals across 11 league fixtures while averaging 1.4 goals scored per game. Zaglebie Lubin have conceded 1.8 goals per game on their travels this season but have also managed to score six goals across those five away outings, suggesting both attacks will find opportunities against vulnerable backlines.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Motor Lublin have seen both teams score in four of their last five matches, conceding 19 goals across 11 league fixtures while averaging 1.4 goals scored per game. Zaglebie Lubin have conceded 1.8 goals per game on their travels this season but have also managed to score six goals across those five away outings, suggesting both attacks will find opportunities against vulnerable backlines.

Motor Lublin hold an exceptional record in this fixture, having avoided defeat in all five previous competitive meetings with Zaglebie Lubin, winning four and drawing one. The hosts have also won each of their three previous home encounters against Zaglebie. Additionally, Motor Lublin carry momentum from consecutive league victories, while Zaglebie Lubin have managed only one win in five away trips this campaign.

Radomiak Radom Under 1.5 Goals — 72% confidence

Radomiak Radom have struggled for attacking consistency away from home, scoring only two goals in four away league fixtures to average 0.5 goals per match. They have failed to score in half of their road games. Wisla Plock have conceded an average of 1.0 goal per game at home in the league. Furthermore, across four recorded head-to-head fixtures played at Wisla Plock, Radomiak Radom have never scored more than a single goal in any match.

Wisla Plock or Draw — 75% confidence

Wisla Plock have collected 11 points from nine league fixtures and have suffered only one loss in three home league matches this season. Radomiak Radom have struggled significantly away from home, failing to win any of their four away matches while conceding 13 goals and collecting just a single point. In head-to-head meetings at Plock, the hosts have avoided defeat in three of four recorded matches with two wins and one draw. Backing Wisla Plock to avoid defeat provides strong alignment with both teams' venue-specific form.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (team total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Radomiak Radom have struggled for attacking consistency away from home, scoring only two goals in four away league fixtures to average 0.5 goals per match. They have failed to score in half of their road games. Wisla Plock have conceded an average of 1.0 goal per game at home in the league. Furthermore, across four recorded head-to-head fixtures played at Wisla Plock, Radomiak Radom have never scored more than a single goal in any match.

Wisla Plock have collected 11 points from nine league fixtures and have suffered only one loss in three home league matches this season. Radomiak Radom have struggled significantly away from home, failing to win any of their four away matches while conceding 13 goals and collecting just a single point. In head-to-head meetings at Plock, the hosts have avoided defeat in three of four recorded matches with two wins and one draw. Backing Wisla Plock to avoid defeat provides strong alignment with both teams' venue-specific form.

Lech Poznan have been remarkably consistent at home in the league, claiming four wins and one draw while allowing an average of only 0.4 goals per match. In contrast, Korona Kielce have faltered in recent away outings, conceding seven goals across their last two trips to Legia Warszawa and Pogon Szczecin. Although Lech have dominated this fixture with seven wins in the last ten meetings, the absence of five-goal forward A. Sayyadmanesh and suspended midfielder R. Murawski increases the likelihood of a tight contest where a drawn outcome remains in play.

Zaglebie Lubin have built a sturdy home record this season, picking up three wins and suffering just one defeat across five league matches while conceding only 0.8 goals per game. In contrast, Jagiellonia have struggled for defensive consistency, conceding 16 goals in nine league games and failing to keep a clean sheet in any away fixture. Jagiellonia also face squad depletion with six players sidelined, giving Lubin an advantageous position to avoid defeat on their own ground.

Gornik Zabrze have delivered strong domestic returns this season, securing 25 points from ten league outings. They host a Piast Gliwice side that has dropped two of their four away fixtures while averaging only one goal scored per match on the road. In historical head-to-head meetings, Gornik have remained unbeaten across four home fixtures against Piast, claiming two wins and two draws. Backing Gornik to win or draw covers the most frequent historical outcomes in this matchup while reflecting their current league position.

Legia Warszawa have established themselves as one of the division's strongest sides, remaining undefeated through 10 rounds with three wins and two draws on their travels. They have scored in every fixture this season, averaging 1.8 goals per away game, while Cracovia have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match at home and have not kept a single clean sheet on home soil. However, Cracovia have won each of the last five head-to-head meetings staged on their ground, illustrating that trips to Krakow remain awkward for the capital side. Backing Legia to win or draw respects the visitors' unbeaten record and potent attack while accommodating Cracovia's proven resilience in this home fixture.

GKS Katowice have been formidable at home this season, winning all four of their league matches on home turf with an average of 3.3 goals scored per match. In previous head-to-head fixtures hosted by Katowice, the home side won both encounters by scorelines of 2-0 and 3-1. While Pogon Szczecin hold an undefeated away record of two wins and one draw, Katowice have shown strong attacking productivity behind eight-goal forward I. Shkurin and eight-assist playmaker B. Nowak. Backing the hosts to either win or share the points covers the possibility of Szczecin grinding out a stalemate while respecting Katowice's superior home form.

Motor have a better home record than Slask have away, and they are unbeaten in the two head‑to‑head matches. Slask have not secured an away win this season and score only one goal per away game, while Motor concede just 1.4 per home match. The combined goal expectation is below 2.5, making a Motor win or draw with under‑2.5 goals the most probable scenario.

Wieczysta Kraków are the clear statistical favorite: higher league position, more points, a positive home goal difference and a better home defensive record. Raków have not earned a point away and concede heavily on the road. While a straight home win is plausible, the data does not show an overwhelming margin, so backing the home side or a draw offers a safer hedge. Expected total goals hover around 2.7, just above the 2.5 line, supporting the over 2.5 call.

GKS Katowice or Draw — 77% confidence

GKS Katowice have been flawless on home soil this season, winning three out of three league games with a combined scoreline of 11-3. In contrast, Wieczysta Krakow have struggled for defensive solidity when traveling, losing four of their six away fixtures and conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game. Even though Wieczysta enter on a three-match unbeaten run overall, Katowice's home dominance gives them a clear platform to avoid defeat.

Over 2.5 Goals — 75% confidence

Katowice's home fixtures have produced heavy scoring, with the hosts averaging 3.7 goals scored per game and conceding once per match. Wieczysta Krakow have also featured in open away encounters, scoring 1.5 goals and conceding 2.3 goals per road fixture. With I. Shkurin supplying six goals and B. Nowak providing seven assists for Katowice, conditions favour another match clearing the 2.5 total goal line.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Katowice's home fixtures have produced heavy scoring, with the hosts averaging 3.7 goals scored per game and conceding once per match. Wieczysta Krakow have also featured in open away encounters, scoring 1.5 goals and conceding 2.3 goals per road fixture. With I. Shkurin supplying six goals and B. Nowak providing seven assists for Katowice, conditions favour another match clearing the 2.5 total goal line.

GKS Katowice have been flawless on home soil this season, winning three out of three league games with a combined scoreline of 11-3. In contrast, Wieczysta Krakow have struggled for defensive solidity when traveling, losing four of their six away fixtures and conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game. Even though Wieczysta enter on a three-match unbeaten run overall, Katowice's home dominance gives them a clear platform to avoid defeat.

Both teams to score is heavily supported by both seasonal metrics and direct head-to-head history. Motor Lublin have scored in every away match this season, averaging 1.3 goals per away fixture, while simultaneously conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game on their travels and failing to keep an away clean sheet. Radomiak Radom have conceded 20 goals in nine league games, maintaining only one clean sheet in five home matches. Furthermore, 87.5 percent of previous head-to-head meetings between these clubs have seen both sides score, making mutual goals the most consistent outcome based on the available data.

Both Radomiak Radom and Motor Lublin exhibit clear defensive vulnerabilities that make two or more goals the most credible outcome. Radomiak have conceded 20 goals in nine league games, averaging 2.2 conceded per match overall and 1.4 at home. Motor Lublin have been leaky on their travels, conceding two goals per game across four away fixtures, but they have also found the net in every single away outing, helped by K. Czubak who has scored five goals this term.

Historically, this pairing produces goals, with seven of their eight meetings seeing both teams score and an overall average of 2.875 goals per encounter. However, pushing to Over 2.5 represents a stretch given the modest finishing records of both sides. Radomiak average only 0.8 goals scored per match and have failed to score in four of nine matches, while Motor Lublin average 1.0 goal per game overall and were held to a 0-0 draw in their last match against Gornik Zabrze. While defensive errors should provide opportunities for at least two goals, the lack of reliable finishing makes Over 1.5 the strongest and most suitable call.

Legia Warszawa or Draw — 76% confidence

Legia Warszawa have established a formidable base this season, remaining unbeaten in nine league matches with five wins and four draws. At home, they have won twice and drawn twice while conceding only three goals. Wisla Krakow, despite their strong overall points tally, have found away matches challenging, posting two draws and two losses in four road games with an average of 2.3 goals conceded per away fixture. Backing Legia to win or draw covers their dominant home baseline while respecting the threat posed by Wisla's top-four ranking.

BTTS Yes — 72% confidence

Both teams have scored in every single Ekstraklasa match this season, failing to score zero times across nine rounds. Legia have tallied nineteen goals, spearheaded by creative distributor P. Wszolek with five assists, but they have also conceded in four consecutive league fixtures. Wisla Krakow boast seventeen goals, led by Angel Rodado with four strikes, yet they have failed to keep a clean sheet on their travels. Given the attacking consistency on both sides, goals at both ends are strongly indicated.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.