Premier League (Wales)

The New Saints hold a commanding historical record in this matchup, having won seven and drawn two of the previous ten meetings between the two sides. At home this season, they have maintained a 100 percent winning record with eight goals scored and only one conceded. While Barry Town have won six straight games, their defensive record of seven goals conceded across those matches gives the hosts a strong platform to secure at least a share of the points.

Penybont or Draw — 78% confidence

Penybont are unbeaten and have a strong home record, while Colwyn Bay have failed to win away and concede heavily on the road. The combination of Penybont’s consistency and Colwyn Bay’s vulnerability makes a Penybont win or a draw the most probable outcome.

Over 2.5 Goals — 66% confidence

Across the nine head‑to‑head meetings, over 2.5 goals occurred in 55% of games. Both sides have been involved in high‑scoring recent matches, and Penybont’s away scoring average (2.3) suggests they can add goals even when playing at home.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Across the nine head‑to‑head meetings, over 2.5 goals occurred in 55% of games. Both sides have been involved in high‑scoring recent matches, and Penybont’s away scoring average (2.3) suggests they can add goals even when playing at home.

Both teams have featured in several both‑teams‑to‑score fixtures recently, and the historical BTTS rate in their meetings is 44%. Penybont’s recent games have often seen the opponent score, while Colwyn Bay have scored in half of their last five matches, supporting a BTTS outcome.

Penybont are unbeaten and have a strong home record, while Colwyn Bay have failed to win away and concede heavily on the road. The combination of Penybont’s consistency and Colwyn Bay’s vulnerability makes a Penybont win or a draw the most probable outcome.

Holywell or Draw — 63% confidence

Although Holywell are winless after five matches, their attacking output has remained steady, scoring in all five games including five goals across three home outings. In contrast, Trefelin have lost all three away fixtures with a goal difference of minus nine, failing to win any of their six matches overall. Backing the home side to earn at least a point offers coverage in a clash between the bottom two clubs.

Over 2.5 Goals — 76% confidence

All five of Holywell's league matches this season have produced at least four total goals, resulting in an average of 5.4 goals per game. Holywell have conceded at least three goals in every fixture while averaging 1.4 goals scored per match. Meanwhile, Trefelin have conceded ten goals across their three away games, pointing toward a fixture with multiple scoring chances for both sides.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

All five of Holywell's league matches this season have produced at least four total goals, resulting in an average of 5.4 goals per game. Holywell have conceded at least three goals in every fixture while averaging 1.4 goals scored per match. Meanwhile, Trefelin have conceded ten goals across their three away games, pointing toward a fixture with multiple scoring chances for both sides.

Although Holywell are winless after five matches, their attacking output has remained steady, scoring in all five games including five goals across three home outings. In contrast, Trefelin have lost all three away fixtures with a goal difference of minus nine, failing to win any of their six matches overall. Backing the home side to earn at least a point offers coverage in a clash between the bottom two clubs.

Llandudno have won all three of their home league matches this season, demonstrating consistent attacking output with eight goals scored in those outings. Ammanford AFC have struggled since the start of the campaign, collecting only two points from six matches and remaining winless away from home. The contrast in home and away form heavily favours Llandudno securing the victory.

Llandudno have been prolific at home, averaging 2.7 goals scored per fixture and maintaining an overall average of 2.2 goals per game across six rounds. Ammanford AFC concede an average of 2.3 goals per game overall and have conceded 14 goals in six outings without keeping a single clean sheet, pointing towards a high goal expectancy.

GAP Connah S Quay FC to win — 82% confidence

GAP Connah S Quay enter this match in exceptional form, having won five consecutive league games while scoring 17 goals in six outings. Haverfordwest County have lost five matches in succession, conceding 2.2 goals per game overall and failing to score in any of those fixtures. This multi-signal divergence in points, form, offensive output, and defensive stability makes a home victory the most probable outcome.

GAP Connah S Quay FC Over 1.5 Goals — 80% confidence

Connah S Quay have demonstrated potent finishing power, averaging 3.3 goals per game at home and netting 10 times across their three home fixtures this season. Haverfordwest have conceded two or more goals in four of their last five matches, averaging two goals conceded per away fixture.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (match winner and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Connah S Quay have demonstrated potent finishing power, averaging 3.3 goals per game at home and netting 10 times across their three home fixtures this season. Haverfordwest have conceded two or more goals in four of their last five matches, averaging two goals conceded per away fixture.

Haverfordwest County have failed to score in all five of their recorded league fixtures this season, generating zero goals so far. Connah S Quay maintain a sturdy defensive record with an average of only 0.7 goals conceded per match and two clean sheets in three home games.

GAP Connah S Quay enter this match in exceptional form, having won five consecutive league games while scoring 17 goals in six outings. Haverfordwest County have lost five matches in succession, conceding 2.2 goals per game overall and failing to score in any of those fixtures. This multi-signal divergence in points, form, offensive output, and defensive stability makes a home victory the most probable outcome.

Caernarfon Town to win — 74% confidence

Caernarfon Town have won four of their six league matches this season, while Flint Town United remain winless with five defeats and one draw from six games. Head-to-head history also firmly supports the hosts, who have taken seven victories from the last 10 meetings between the sides, including a 3-0 win in their most recent clash in April 2026.

Over 2.5 Goals — 72% confidence

Caernarfon Town matches have been high-scoring affairs, with 15 goals scored and nine conceded across six games for an average of 4.0 total goals per match. Flint Town United have conceded in all six of their league games, and 80 percent of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these sides have surpassed the 2.5 goal line.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (match winner and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Caernarfon Town matches have been high-scoring affairs, with 15 goals scored and nine conceded across six games for an average of 4.0 total goals per match. Flint Town United have conceded in all six of their league games, and 80 percent of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these sides have surpassed the 2.5 goal line.

Caernarfon Town have won four of their six league matches this season, while Flint Town United remain winless with five defeats and one draw from six games. Head-to-head history also firmly supports the hosts, who have taken seven victories from the last 10 meetings between the sides, including a 3-0 win in their most recent clash in April 2026.

Over 2.5 Goals — 71% confidence

Cardiff MET matches have been high-scoring affairs, featuring a total of 23 goals across six rounds at an average of 3.83 goals per game. Cambrian & Clydach have also seen three or more goals in two of their three away fixtures, aligning well with the league-wide scoring average of 3.31 goals per game.

Cardiff MET (draw no bet) — 74% confidence

Cardiff MET have won four of their six league matches this season, demonstrating strong offensive output with 16 goals scored in total. At home, they have secured two wins from three, with their only blemish coming against title contenders The New Saints. Cambrian & Clydach have lost two of their three away trips, making the home side well placed to control proceedings while retaining draw protection.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and draw no bet), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Cardiff MET have won four of their six league matches this season, demonstrating strong offensive output with 16 goals scored in total. At home, they have secured two wins from three, with their only blemish coming against title contenders The New Saints. Cambrian & Clydach have lost two of their three away trips, making the home side well placed to control proceedings while retaining draw protection.

Cardiff MET matches have been high-scoring affairs, featuring a total of 23 goals across six rounds at an average of 3.83 goals per game. Cambrian & Clydach have also seen three or more goals in two of their three away fixtures, aligning well with the league-wide scoring average of 3.31 goals per game.

Yes — 64% confidence

Briton Ferry have scored in every home league match this season but have also conceded in both, maintaining a zero percent clean sheet rate at home. Airbus UK average 1.8 goals scored per game overall while conceding an average of 1.7 goals on their travels, creating favorable conditions for both teams to find the net.

Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Briton Ferry have seen high-scoring encounters at home, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 goals conceded per match on their own pitch, including a 1-4 defeat in their previous home game. Airbus UK have featured in high-tempo fixtures recently, with their last two league games generating six and eight total goals, indicating strong potential for this match to exceed the 2.5 goal mark.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Airbus UK enter with positive momentum from a six-goal performance against Holywell and currently sit higher in the table with nine points. Briton Ferry have dropped points in four of their six league fixtures and arrive on the back of consecutive losses where they conceded seven goals combined, giving the away side a solid opportunity to take at least a point.

Briton Ferry have seen high-scoring encounters at home, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 goals conceded per match on their own pitch, including a 1-4 defeat in their previous home game. Airbus UK have featured in high-tempo fixtures recently, with their last two league games generating six and eight total goals, indicating strong potential for this match to exceed the 2.5 goal mark.

Briton Ferry have scored in every home league match this season but have also conceded in both, maintaining a zero percent clean sheet rate at home. Airbus UK average 1.8 goals scored per game overall while conceding an average of 1.7 goals on their travels, creating favorable conditions for both teams to find the net.

Colwyn Bay have established strong defensive stability on their own pitch, securing two wins from two home league fixtures while conceding zero goals. Llandudno have demonstrated sharp attacking form with 11 goals in four matches, but their lone away defeat at Penybont shows they can be contained by disciplined hosts. Backing Colwyn Bay to take at least a point aligns with their home record and their 3-0 victory over Llandudno in their most recent head-to-head clash.

The New Saints present a strong multi-signal advantage heading into this fixture. They have won nine of their last ten competitive matches against Caernarfon Town, including each of their last four away visits by scorelines of 4-0, 3-1, 1-0, and 5-2. In league play this season, The New Saints have been flawless defensively, recording four clean sheets in four matches with eight goals scored. While Caernarfon Town have won three league games, their 2-1 defeat at home to Penybont reveals vulnerabilities against top-tier opposition, making an away win the most probable outcome.

GAP Connah S Quay FC have won four consecutive matches across all competitions, scoring fourteen goals in that stretch while keeping three clean sheets. In league action, they have won both of their away fixtures and carry a plus-nine goal difference. Flint Town United have taken zero points from their first two home games and have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match this season. Furthermore, Connah S Quay have claimed victory in eight of the past ten head-to-head encounters, making them heavily favored to earn at least a point.

Airbus UK have already secured two league victories this season, whereas Holywell have lost all four of their league fixtures while conceding fifteen goals in total. Furthermore, Airbus UK are undefeated on home soil in head-to-head encounters against Holywell across four matches, making the double chance in favour of the hosts a well-supported outcome alongside a likelihood of goals given Holywell's high rate of concessions.

Penybont are undefeated in the league with three wins and two draws, including two consecutive away victories where they averaged 2.5 goals scored and just 0.5 conceded. They have also emerged victorious in each of the past five meetings with Cambrian and Clydach. Backing the visitors on the double chance covers both a Penybont victory and a potential draw against a home side that has avoided defeat in their two home fixtures.

Barry Town have maintained a 100 percent winning record through four league fixtures, scoring an average of 2.25 goals per game overall and three goals per match on their travels. Briton Ferry have managed two wins from four outings but suffered a 3-0 defeat in their most recent fixture. Backing the visitors to win or draw accounts for their strong momentum while respecting Briton Ferry's competitive head-to-head record from last season.

Both teams enter this fixture having failed to score a single goal in the league this season. Haverfordwest County AFC have drawn a blank in all five of their matches, while Trefelin have gone scoreless across their opening four league outings. Given the complete absence of offensive production from both camps, the probability of at least one side failing to find the net remains high.

Cardiff MET have displayed stronger form with three wins from their last five matches, including a 3-0 win against Briton Ferry and an away victory at Airbus UK. In contrast, Ammanford AFC are winless across four league fixtures, averaging two goals conceded per match without keeping a clean sheet. Covering the draw provides strong probability support given early-season variance.

The New Saints are unbeaten in the league through four fixtures (3 wins, 1 draw) and have yet to concede a goal this season. Colwyn Bay are winless in two away league games, conceding five goals in the process. While Colwyn Bay did win the previous head-to-head meeting, TNS have won six of the last eight clashes and hold a commanding home defensive setup.

A straight MATCH_WINNER selection meets the high bar required for this market due to an extreme, multi-signal mismatch across form, league position, and head-to-head history. Penybont have collected 10 points from 12 available with a goal difference of +5, whereas Flint Town United have lost all four league fixtures with zero points and eight goals conceded. Additionally, Penybont have won their last four league encounters against Flint Town United.

Trefelin have lost all four league matches this season, failing to score in every single outing and conceding 14 goals in total. While Ammanford AFC are also winless through four games (one draw, three losses), their goal differential of minus-five is considerably stronger than Trefelin's minus-14. Backing Ammanford on Double Chance provides protection across both an away win and a draw against an out-of-form host.

Caernarfon Town enter the fixture in strong form, having won three of their four league matches including both away fixtures. Holywell have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 3.8 goals per match and losing all four games to start the campaign. While Caernarfon hold a distinct form advantage, backing Double Chance (Away or Draw) covers the slight variance shown in their previous 2-2 cup meeting.

Llandudno have collected nine points from four matches with an impressive 11 goals scored, winning both of their home fixtures. Haverfordwest have lost four consecutive league matches without scoring a goal and conceding 2.25 goals per game on average, making a home positive outcome highly probable.

Barry Town enter the clash on a four-match league winning streak, sitting top of the table with two home wins out of two. Airbus UK have failed to score in half of their league fixtures and average only 0.5 goals per match on their travels. Backing Barry Town in the double chance market provides strong security against a low-scoring stalemate.

Briton Ferry hold a strong head-to-head record against Cardiff MET, remaining unbeaten in five consecutive meetings with three wins and two draws, including two wins and a draw in their three trips to Cardiff MET. While Cardiff MET enter the match on a two-game losing streak where they failed to score, Briton Ferry have displayed defensive stability, conceding only 0.7 goals per game on the road this season.

GAP Connah S Quay FC have built solid momentum with three straight league wins, scoring 11 goals and allowing only one across that sequence. While Cambrian & Clydach are on a three-match unbeaten run of their own, Connah's Quay have maintained a high scoring average of 3.5 goals per home match and have not failed to score in any fixture this campaign. Backing the home side on the double chance provides strong security against a competitive away side.