BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
Referee
Daniele Chiffi
Form

Recent form

AC Milan
61Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +5 goal difference

Atalanta
38Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw

BetGenius backs AC Milan or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

AC Milan enter round seven of the Serie A campaign sitting fifth in the table with 12 points from six matches. The Rossoneri remain unbeaten in domestic action with three wins and three draws, showing particular strength at San Siro where they have won both league fixtures by an aggregate score of 5-0. Coming off a 4-0 away victory over Red Bull Salzburg, Milan look to sustain their momentum in the league.

Atalanta occupy tenth position with nine points, having experienced an inconsistent start characterised by three wins and three defeats. While Gian Piero Gasperini's side has found form in recent home fixtures with successive 3-1 wins over Venezia and Pafos, their away form has been problematic. In Serie A travel, Atalanta have lost both matches, falling 2-1 at AS Roma and 2-0 at Juventus while scoring only once.

Head-to-head history gives the visitors genuine encouragement despite their away troubles. Atalanta have won five of the past ten meetings across all competitions and are unbeaten in the last seven encounters between the two clubs, including a 3-2 victory at San Siro in May 2026. However, Milan's defensive solidity on home soil presents a stern test for an Atalanta side managing key defensive absences.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. AC Milan are unbeaten in Serie A with three wins and three draws, winning both home league games without conceding a goal.
  2. Atalanta have lost both of their away matches in Serie A this season, conceding four goals while scoring only one.
  3. Atalanta hold an impressive head-to-head record, remaining unbeaten in the last seven competitive meetings with Milan.
  4. Milan have netted 11 league goals across six matches, with A. Rabiot contributing three goals and two assists.
  5. Both sides manage selection issues, with M. Gabbia and A. Saelemaekers injured for Milan, while Atalanta are missing defender I. Hien.
Availability

Team news

AC Milan

  • S. ChukwuezeHip Injury
  • M. GabbiaThigh Injury
  • A. SaelemaekersAnkle Injury
  • G. RamosCalf Injury

Atalanta

  • I. HienMuscle Bruise
Numbers

Statistical comparison

AC Milan at homeAtalanta away
3
Played
3
3-0-0
W-D-L
0-0-3
2.7
Scored /game
1
0.7
Conceded /game
2.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.7 goals per game (AC Milan at home plus Atalanta away).

Players

Key players this season

AC Milan

  • A. Rabiot4G · 3A

Atalanta

  • N. Krstović4G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1InterChampions League league stage7+1219
2LazioChampions League league stage7+1019
3AS RomaChampions League league stage7+1317
4AC MilanChampions League league stage7+715
5ComoEuropa League league stage7+514
6FrosinonePlay-offs7+413
7Torino8+213
8Cagliari7-113
9Juventus7+111
10Napoli7+310
11Atalanta7-19
12Lecce7-39
13Sassuolo7-28
14Monza8-37
History

Head-to-head

2
AC Milan
3
Draws
5
Atalanta

Atalanta have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2026-10-18AC Milan3-2Atalanta
  • 2026-05-10AC Milan2-3Atalanta
  • 2025-10-28Atalanta1-1AC Milan
  • 2025-04-20AC Milan0-1Atalanta
  • 2024-12-06Atalanta2-1AC Milan
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

69%81 won from 117 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
74%
Confidence

AC Milan have been remarkably solid in league play, remaining unbeaten across six rounds and maintaining a perfect defensive record at home with two clean sheets from two matches. In contrast, Atalanta have failed to collect a single point on the road in Serie A, losing both away fixtures while scoring just once and conceding four times. While Atalanta have maintained an impressive recent record against Milan, the combination of Milan's defensive record at San Siro and Atalanta's travel difficulties gives the home side a notable edge to at least secure a point.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published October 16, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.