AD Nogueirense vs Naval 1893 prediction

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Taça de Portugal

Kickoff

Sun, Aug 30, 04:00 PM

Round

1/128-finals

Recent form

AD Nogueirense

30Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -4 goal difference

Naval 1893

53Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid

Market

Double Chance

Pick

Naval 1893 or Draw

Confidence68%

BetGenius backs Naval 1893 or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

AD Nogueirense host Naval 1893 in the 1/128-finals of the Taça de Portugal. Both teams enter this knockout clash looking to build on mixed results from their August fixtures.

AD Nogueirense have recorded back-to-back draws in recent outings, sharing the points in a 1-1 home result against Sertanense before an eventful 3-3 away draw against Fazendense. Their offensive output has shown promise with four goals scored across those two fixtures, though conceding four goals highlights defensive vulnerability.

Naval 1893 head into the tie on the back of a resounding 4-1 away victory against Benfica Castelo Branco, rebounding from a 2-1 home defeat against UD da Serra. With Naval showing strong scoring capability on the road in their most recent fixture, they carry positive momentum into this cup encounter.

Key factors

Naval 1893 demonstrated high attacking efficiency in their latest match, claiming a 4-1 away victory against Benfica Castelo Branco.
AD Nogueirense enter following consecutive draws, including a 3-3 outcome against Fazendense and a 1-1 result with Sertanense.
Both teams have consistently been involved in matches featuring goals at both ends in August 2026 fixtures.

Statistical comparison

AD Nogueirense at home vs Naval 1893 away

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Played

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W-D-L

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Scored /game

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Conceded /game

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Clean sheets

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Failed to score

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40%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

20%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

40%

Head-to-head

Full record →

AD Nogueirense

Draws

Naval 1893

Naval 1893 have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

2026-08-30AD Nogueirense 1-3 Naval 1893

Our record in Taça de Portugal

89%39 won from 44 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

1 published market

Featured

Market

Double Chance

Pick

Naval 1893 or Draw

Confidence68%

Naval 1893 showed sharp attacking form in their recent 4-1 away win over Benfica Castelo Branco on 23 August 2026. AD Nogueirense have been competitive, recording 1-1 and 3-3 draws in August 2026, but have also shown defensive openness by conceding four goals across those two games. Under the Genius tier calibration, backing Naval 1893 via Double Chance (Away or Draw) provides a well-hedged position covering both an away victory and a draw in regular time.

Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.