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Sat 17 Oct · 12:45

Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 6
Venue: Meadow Park, Borehamwood
Referee: Stephen Parkinson

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Arsenal W

38Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -2 goal difference

Birmingham City W

50Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Arsenal W or Draw

BetGenius backs Arsenal W or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

78%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Arsenal W host Birmingham City W in round six of the Women's Super League, aiming to build momentum following mixed early-season results. Arsenal currently sit tenth in the standings with five points from five matches, having drawn both of their home fixtures while conceding only once on home soil.

Birmingham City W arrive occupying thirteenth place in the relegation zone, having failed to record a victory in their opening five league games. Their away form has been particularly challenging, resulting in three defeats from three matches with seven goals conceded.

Historical meetings between the clubs further highlight the hosts' advantage, with Arsenal winning all five home clashes recorded in the head-to-head sample. Birmingham's ongoing defensive difficulties provide Arsenal with an ideal opportunity to maintain their unbeaten home status.

Analysis

Key factors

Birmingham City W have lost all three away matches this season, conceding seven goals in the process.
Birmingham City W remain winless across their first five league fixtures with two draws and three defeats.
Arsenal W are unbeaten at home in league play, conceding only once across two matches.
Birmingham City W have kept zero clean sheets in five games, allowing an average of 2.4 goals per match.
Arsenal W have won all five recorded head-to-head home meetings against Birmingham City W.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Arsenal W at homeBirmingham City W away

Played

0-3-0

W-D-L

0-1-3

0.7

Scored /game

0.8

0.7

Conceded /game

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

60%

BTTS (last 5)

80%

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

80%

Combined scoring rate: 1.5 goals per game (Arsenal W at home plus Birmingham City W away).

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
5	Manchester United W	6	-2	10
6	Everton W	6	-1	9
7	Liverpool W	6	+2	7
8	Arsenal W	6	-2	6
9	West Ham W	6	-5	6
10	Aston Villa W	6	-6	6
11	Crystal Palace W	6	-7	6
12	Brighton W	6	0	5
13	Birmingham City WWSL (Relegation)	6	-5	3
14	Charlton Athletic WRelegation - WSL 2	6	-15	0

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

6
Arsenal W: 1
Draws: 2
Birmingham City W

Arsenal W have won 6 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game.

2026-10-17Arsenal W1-1Birmingham City W
2022-03-06Arsenal W4-2Birmingham City W
2022-01-09Birmingham City W2-0Arsenal W
2021-03-07Birmingham City W0-4Arsenal W
2020-12-06Arsenal W3-0Birmingham City W

BetGenius

Our record in Women's Super League

57%28 won from 49 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Arsenal W or Draw

78%

Confidence

Arsenal W remain undefeated at home this season with two draws and just one goal conceded in front of their supporters. In contrast, Birmingham City W are winless through five league games and have suffered three losses from three on the road, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per away match. Birmingham have also failed to keep a clean sheet all season, conceding 12 goals in total. With Arsenal having won all five previous home head-to-head encounters in the record, backing the hosts to secure at least a point is strongly supported by the numbers.

Explore

Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Women's Super League

1 published market

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