BetGenius

AS Roma vs Fiorentina prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Mon, Aug 24, 06:45 PM
Round
Regular Season - 1
Venue
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Referee
Matteo Marcenaro, Italy

Recent form

AS Roma
77Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +6 goal difference

Fiorentina
31Poor

Last 4 matches · 1W-1D-2L · -4 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
AS Roma or Draw
Confidence74%

BetGenius backs AS Roma or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

AS Roma welcome Fiorentina to the Stadio Olimpico in Serie A action. Both sides enter this fixture having experienced high-scoring preparation matches, with Roma recording recent results such as a 2-2 draw with Borussia Dortmund and a 3-3 draw against Cannes, while Fiorentina picked up a 4-1 victory over Benevento and a 2-2 draw with Real Madrid.

Historical head-to-head statistics heavily favor AS Roma when hosting this encounter. In their last five home meetings against Fiorentina, Roma have remained unbeaten, securing four victories and one draw, including a decisive 4-0 triumph in their most recent encounter in May 2026.

Both squads deal with fitness issues heading into the match. Roma are without M. Bah and L. Pellegrini due to knee and thigh injuries, respectively. Fiorentina will be missing F. Parisi due to a knee injury and R. Sottil due to a back problem.

Key factors

  • AS Roma are unbeaten in their last 5 home head-to-head clashes with Fiorentina (4 wins, 1 draw).
  • The most recent head-to-head meeting ended in a 4-0 home victory for AS Roma in May 2026.
  • The last 10 head-to-head fixtures have averaged 3.1 goals per game, with 60% producing over 2.5 goals.
  • AS Roma are missing M. Bah (knee) and L. Pellegrini (thigh).
  • Fiorentina are without F. Parisi (knee) and R. Sottil (back).

Team news

AS Roma

  • M. BahKnee Injury
  • L. PellegriniThigh Injury

Fiorentina

  • F. ParisiKnee Injury
  • R. SottilBack Injury

Team news last updated Sep 5 (4 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Statistical comparison

AS Roma at home vs Fiorentina away
Played
1
W-D-L
0-0-1
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
40%
BTTS (last 5)
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)

Key players this season

AS Roma

  • D. Malen5G
  • M. Soulé2G · 1A
  • P. Dybala4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1AS RomaChampions League league stage3+99
2InterChampions League league stage3+59
3LazioChampions League league stage3+39
4ComoChampions League league stage3+47
17Monza3-41
18VeneziaRelegation3-50
19GenoaRelegation3-60
20FiorentinaRelegation3-80

Head-to-head

Full record →
AS Roma
5
Draws
2
Fiorentina
3

AS Roma have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.1 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-24AS Roma 4-0 Fiorentina
  • 2026-05-04AS Roma 4-0 Fiorentina
  • 2025-10-05Fiorentina 1-2 AS Roma
  • 2025-05-04AS Roma 1-0 Fiorentina
  • 2024-10-27Fiorentina 5-1 AS Roma

Our record in Serie A

71%27 won from 38 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
AS Roma or Draw
Confidence74%

AS Roma have dominated home head-to-head fixtures against Fiorentina, winning 4 and drawing 1 of the last 5 meetings at home. With head-to-head fixtures averaging 3.1 goals per game and a 60% Over 2.5 rate, backing Roma to avoid defeat alongside a lively total goal count is supported by the data.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.