BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Referee
Livio Marinelli
Form

Recent form

Atalanta
38Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -1 goal difference

Frosinone
66Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Atalanta or Draw

BetGenius backs Atalanta or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Atalanta return home looking to rebound from recent away setbacks against AC Milan and Ajax. Sitting 11th in the table with nine points from seven matches, their league campaign has been defined by sharp venue contrasts. At home, they have secured three wins from four matches while scoring seven goals, driven by forward N. Krstovic, who has found the net four times.

Frosinone arrive in sixth position with 13 points, having enjoyed an impressive opening stretch that was highlighted by a 4-2 win over Sassuolo in their last league outing. Striker A. Raimondo has been in fine scoring form with seven goals in seven appearances, complemented by G. Kvernadze and playmaker R. Schmid. However, their away performances have been uneven, featuring a 3-0 defeat at Napoli and a 1-1 draw at Genoa.

Head-to-head history heavily favours the hosts in Bergamo, where Atalanta have won all three previous Serie A encounters by a combined score of 11-0, including a 5-0 victory in January 2024. While Frosinone's league standing and attacking output demand respect, Atalanta's reliable scoring at home positions them well to take something from this fixture.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Atalanta have won three of their four home matches in Serie A this season, scoring seven goals and conceding four.
  2. Frosinone forward A. Raimondo has scored seven goals in seven league appearances this campaign.
  3. Atalanta have won all three previous home Serie A meetings against Frosinone, keeping clean sheets in each.
  4. Frosinone have conceded four goals across three away matches, including a 3-0 loss to Napoli.
  5. Both teams face defensive absences, with Atalanta missing I. Hien and Frosinone without F. Grillitsch.
Availability

Team news

Atalanta

  • I. HienMuscle Bruise

Frosinone

  • F. GrillitschThigh Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Atalanta at homeFrosinone away
4
Played
3
3-0-1
W-D-L
1-1-1
1.8
Scored /game
1.3
1
Conceded /game
1.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.1 goals per game (Atalanta at home plus Frosinone away).

Players

Key players this season

Atalanta

  • N. Krstović4G

Frosinone

  • A. Raimondo7G
  • G. Kvernadze3G
  • R. Schmid3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
3AS RomaChampions League league stage7+1317
4AC MilanChampions League league stage7+715
5ComoEuropa League league stage7+514
6FrosinonePlay-offs7+413
7Torino8+213
8Cagliari7-113
9Juventus7+111
10Napoli7+310
11Atalanta7-19
12Lecce7-39
13Sassuolo7-28
14Monza8-37
History

Head-to-head

4
Atalanta
1
Draws
1
Frosinone

Atalanta have won 4 of the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.2 goals a game, 67% went over 2.5.

  • 2024-01-15Atalanta5-0Frosinone
  • 2023-08-26Frosinone2-1Atalanta
  • 2019-01-20Frosinone0-5Atalanta
  • 2018-08-20Atalanta4-0Frosinone
  • 2016-01-23Frosinone0-0Atalanta
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

69%81 won from 117 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Atalanta or Draw
76%
Confidence

Atalanta have won three of their four home league fixtures, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game on home soil. While Frosinone sit higher in the table thanks to the scoring exploits of A. Raimondo, their away record of one win, one draw, and one loss shows vulnerability against higher-calibre hosts, as seen in their 3-0 loss at Napoli. Historical head-to-head meetings at this venue also heavily lean towards Atalanta, who have won all three home encounters. Backing Atalanta to win or draw covers the threat posed by Frosinone's attack while acknowledging Atalanta's domestic home strength.

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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.