Hapoel Beer Sheva or Draw — 70% confidence
Hapoel Beer Sheva have not conceded in the competition and arrived with three wins in their last five, while AZ Alkmaar have struggled to find the net and lost their opening Europa match. The away side’s defensive solidity and better recent form make a loss for AZ the more likely outcome, so backing the away team or a draw offers a safe edge.
Under 2.5 Goals — 75% confidence
Both sides have recorded zero goals in the competition so far and AZ have a low‑scoring record in recent games. Hapoel’s recent matches have often ended 1‑0 or 2‑0, and AZ have not scored in their last league outing. The combination points to a low‑scoring affair, making under 2.5 goals the most probable total.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.