BetGenius
Round
League D - 3
Venue
Tofiq Bəhramov, Baku
Referee
Christian-Petru Ciochirca, Austria
Form

Recent form

Azerbaijan
61Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

Liechtenstein
18Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -8 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Azerbaijan to win

BetGenius backs Azerbaijan to win (Match Winner) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Azerbaijan host Liechtenstein in round three of UEFA Nations League D, looking to capitalize on home advantage and build upon their 1-1 draw away to Lithuania. The hosts have demonstrated solid form across their recent outings, recording two wins, two draws, and just one defeat in their last five fixtures.

Liechtenstein enter this contest searching for an end to a prolonged slump. They have lost each of their last five matches across all competitions, including a 2-0 home defeat against Lithuania in their group opener, while failing to score in four of those five games.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Liechtenstein have suffered five consecutive defeats, conceding 12 goals across that stretch.
  2. Liechtenstein failed to score in four of their last five matches, averaging zero goals scored in the Nations League.
  3. Azerbaijan have avoided defeat in four of their last five fixtures, winning two and drawing two.
  4. Four of Azerbaijan's last five matches produced two goals or fewer.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Azerbaijan at homeLiechtenstein away
—
Played
2
—
W-D-L
0-0-2
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
0%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
0%
BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Nations League

69%123 won from 177 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Match Winner
Azerbaijan to win
76%
Confidence

Liechtenstein arrive on a five-match losing streak, having conceded at least two goals in each defeat and failed to find the net in four of those five encounters. Azerbaijan have proven far sturdier, picking up victories over Tajikistan and San Marino while earning a point in Lithuania. With Liechtenstein struggling significantly in the attacking third, Azerbaijan possess a clear upper hand at home.

GoalsLOST
Total Goals
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Confidence

Liechtenstein have conceded two or more goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions, including 2-0 losses to Malta, Lithuania, Cyprus, and Andorra. Azerbaijan have seen at least two total goals scored in four of their last five fixtures, including their recent 1-1 draw with Lithuania. While Liechtenstein four-game run without scoring makes reaching three goals uncertain, the frequency of two-goal match totals across both teams records makes Over 1.5 the most supported line.

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Published September 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.