BetGenius
Round
League A - 3
Venue
Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Liege
Referee
Rohit Saggi, Norway
Form

Recent form

Belgium
63Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +6 goal difference

Türkiye
17Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -7 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Belgium or Draw

BetGenius backs Belgium or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Belgium host Türkiye on matchday three of League A in the UEFA Nations League, looking to rebound from a narrow 1-0 home defeat against France. The Red Devils sit second in the group on three points, having previously secured an impressive 2-0 victory away to Italy. Despite missing Amadou Onana and Zeno Debast through injury, Belgium have displayed defensive resilience, conceding just one goal across their two group fixtures.

Türkiye travel to Belgium in a precarious position at the bottom of the section after suffering consecutive home losses. A tight 1-0 defeat to France was followed by a heavy 4-1 setback against Italy, leaving Vincenzo Montella's side with zero points and five goals conceded in two games. Their wider form is also concerning, with four defeats in their last five matches across all competitions.

With Belgium aiming to secure a quarter-final playoff spot and Türkiye battling to avoid relegation, the hosts hold a significant structural advantage. Türkiye's struggles to contain top-tier attacks make this a daunting away assignment, though Belgium's controlled tempo suggests a measured encounter rather than a wide-open contest.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Belgium have conceded only one goal across their first two Nations League matches.
  2. Türkiye sit bottom of the group with zero points following back-to-back defeats against France and Italy.
  3. Türkiye have conceded five goals in two group matches, averaging 2.5 goals against per game.
  4. Türkiye have lost four of their last five fixtures across all competitions.
Availability

Team news

Belgium

  • A. OnanaCruciate Ligament Rupture
  • Z. DebastWound

Team news last updated Jul 10 (106 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Türkiye

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Belgium at homeTürkiye away
2
Played
1
1-0-1
W-D-L
0-0-1
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FrancePlay Offs: Quarter-finals4+510
2ItalyPlay Offs: Quarter-finals4+37
3BelgiumPossible Play-off4+16
4TürkiyePossible Play-off4-90
BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Nations League

69%123 won from 177 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Belgium or Draw
78%
Confidence

Belgium enter this fixture in solid shape within the group, having earned three points from two tough matches against Italy and France. In contrast, Türkiye have lost both of their opening Nations League games, conceding five goals and scoring only once. With Türkiye losing four of their last five matches in all competitions and failing to keep a clean sheet in that span, Belgium hold the upper hand to take at least a point on home soil.

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Published October 1, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.