BetGenius

Benfica vs Estoril prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Mon, Aug 31, 07:15 PM
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Referee
Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho, Portugal

Recent form

Benfica
89Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +12 goal difference

Estoril
19Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -5 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Match Winner
Pick
Benfica to win
Confidence83%

BetGenius backs Benfica to win (Match Winner) at 83% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Benfica welcome Estoril to Lisbon looking to build momentum in the early phase of the Primeira Liga campaign. The hosts have displayed potent attacking firepower in their opening fixtures, highlighted by a commanding 7-0 away victory over Casa Pia and back-to-back 3-1 wins over Aarhus in European competition. With key contributors like V. Pavlidis already tallying four goals and an assist, Benfica enter this contest in strong offensive form.

In contrast, Estoril have endured a difficult start to their domestic season, collecting just one point from their first three league matches. Successive 2-0 defeats against Nacional and Rio Ave have highlighted their struggles in the final third, having scored only one league goal so far while conceding five.

Historical meetings heavily lean toward the Lisbon giants, with Benfica claiming victory in nine of the previous ten head-to-head clashes across all competitions. Given the stark disparity in recent form and attacking output, the home side holds a significant advantage heading into matchday four.

Key factors

  • Benfica have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings against Estoril across all competitions.
  • Estoril are winless in the league with 1 draw and 2 defeats, failing to score in their last two matches.
  • Benfica have scored 9 goals in their first two league fixtures, including a 7-0 win over Casa Pia.
  • V. Pavlidis has been in fine form for Benfica, recording 4 goals and 1 assist.
  • Estoril have conceded 5 goals across three league matches while scoring only once.

Statistical comparison

Benfica at home vs Estoril away
2
Played
2
1-1-0
W-D-L
0-0-2
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%

Key players this season

Benfica

  • V. Pavlidis5G · 2A
  • G. Prestianni3G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1FC PortoPromotion - Champions League (League phase)5+1015
2Sporting CPPromotion - Champions League (League phase)5+913
3Santa ClaraPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)5+611
4BenficaPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)4+1110
5AroucaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)5+410
6GIL Vicente4+27
7SC Braga3+27
13Moreirense4-44
14Famalicao5-23
15Rio Ave5-93
16EstorilLiga Portugal (Relegation)5-52
17AlvercaRelegation - Liga Portugal 25-52
18Casa PiaRelegation - Liga Portugal 25-111

Head-to-head

Full record →
Benfica
9
Draws
1
Estoril
0

Benfica have won 9 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-05-16Estoril 1-3 Benfica
  • 2026-01-03Benfica 3-1 Estoril
  • 2025-05-03Estoril 1-2 Benfica
  • 2024-12-23Benfica 3-0 Estoril
  • 2024-03-10Benfica 3-1 Estoril

Our record in Primeira Liga

82%23 won from 28 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Match Winner
Pick
Benfica to win
Confidence83%

Benfica hold a comprehensive advantage across all key performance metrics. The historical record between the sides is overwhelmingly lopsided, with Benfica winning nine and drawing one of the last ten meetings, including victories in each of the last five Primeira Liga encounters. Estoril arrive on a run of back-to-back 2-0 league defeats and have generated just one goal in three matches. With Benfica averaging 4.5 goals per league game so far and boasting high-impact form from V. Pavlidis and G. Prestianni, backing a straight home victory is strongly supported by the evidence.

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Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.