BetGenius
Round
Round of 64
Venue
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park, Birmingham
Referee
T. Robinson
Form

Recent form

Birmingham
89Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +9 goal difference

Brentford
55Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Brentford or Draw

BetGenius backs Brentford or Draw (Double Chance) at 80% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

80%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Birmingham host Brentford in the EFL Cup Round of 64, with both sides carrying solid unbeaten runs across their recent outings. Birmingham come into this tie following a 2-2 draw with Bristol City and a goalless stalemate against Sheffield United, showing defensive resilience alongside competitive attacking output at home.

Brentford enter the contest in formidable scoring form, having won their last three fixtures by margins of 3-0 against Tottenham, 7-0 against Eintracht Frankfurt, and 4-2 against Rennes. Their dynamic offensive rhythm makes them a formidable opponent on the road, even with defensive absentees to navigate.

With knockout progression at stake, Brentford hold an edge in recent momentum and offensive firepower. However, Birmingham's resilience and tendency to force draws make a hedged approach on the visitors the most reliable angle.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Brentford have won three consecutive matches, scoring 14 goals during that stretch.
  2. Birmingham remain unbeaten in their last five fixtures across all competitions, recording two wins and three draws.
  3. Birmingham have injuries to L. Buchanan, T. Gardner-Hickman, and M. Leonard.
  4. Brentford are without A. Milambo and S. van den Berg due to injuries.
  5. Historical head-to-head records are completely level across their last 10 meetings, with three wins apiece and four draws.
Availability

Team news

Birmingham

  • M. LeonardAchilles Tendon Injury
  • Paik Seung-HoHealth problems

Brentford

  • J. DasilvaMuscle Injury
  • K. FuroSurgery
  • A. MilamboKnock
  • V. JaneltRed Card
  • Y. YarmolyukRed Card
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Birmingham at homeBrentford away
6
Played
3
2-4-0
W-D-L
0-3-0
2.3
Scored /game
1.7
1.2
Conceded /game
1.7
33%
Clean sheets
—
0%
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 4 goals per game (Birmingham at home plus Brentford away).

Players

Key players this season

Brentford

  • J. Anthony3A
  • D. Ouattara2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

History

Head-to-head

3
Birmingham
4
Draws
3
Brentford

the last 10 meetings are split 3-3 with 4 drawn, averaging 2.0 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2021-04-06Brentford0-0Birmingham
  • 2020-09-12Birmingham1-0Brentford
  • 2020-02-15Birmingham1-1Brentford
  • 2019-08-03Brentford0-1Birmingham
  • 2018-12-29Birmingham0-0Brentford
BetGenius

Our record in EFL Cup

73%41 won from 56 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Brentford or Draw
80%
Confidence

Brentford have won three consecutive matches, scoring 14 goals across victories over Tottenham (3-0), Eintracht Frankfurt (7-0), and Rennes (4-2). While Birmingham are also unbeaten in their last five outings (two wins and three draws), Brentford's potent attack gives them the advantage to either advance outright or force the tie beyond regular time.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.