BetGenius

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough prediction

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ChampionshipChampionship
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19, 02:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Referee
David Webb

Recent form

Birmingham
39Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -5 goal difference

Middlesbrough
63Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Middlesbrough or Draw
Confidence76%

BetGenius backs Middlesbrough or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Middlesbrough travel to St Andrew's sitting third in the Championship table with 14 points, looking to maintain their promotion push against a Birmingham side positioned tenth. The visitors enter this contest with four victories from six league fixtures, powered by striker W. Lankshear, who has already registered six goals this campaign.

Birmingham have proved difficult to beat at home in league action, recording three consecutive draws with five goals scored and five conceded. However, squad depth is currently tested with several players sidelined, including T. Gardner-Hickman, M. Leonard, D. Gray, and P. Roberts, leaving manager options restricted across key positions.

Historical meetings heavily favour Middlesbrough, who have won eight of the last ten encounters between these sides, including five consecutive away victories at Birmingham. With Middlesbrough consistently scoring across their league fixtures and Birmingham yet to secure a home league win this season, the visitors hold a notable structural edge heading into Saturday.

Key factors

  • Middlesbrough have won the last seven consecutive head-to-head fixtures against Birmingham, including five straight wins at St Andrew's.
  • Birmingham have drawn all three of their home Championship matches this season, scoring five goals and conceding five.
  • W. Lankshear leads Middlesbrough's attack in potent form, having scored six goals across six league outings.
  • Birmingham are managing multiple squad absences including T. Gardner-Hickman, M. Leonard, D. Gray, and P. Roberts.
  • Middlesbrough sit third in the Championship standings with 14 points, having lost just once in league competition this campaign.

Team news

Birmingham

  • T. Gardner-HickmanInjury
  • M. LeonardAchilles Tendon Injury
  • S. WrightOff the roster
  • D. GrayInjury
  • P. RobertsHealth problems
  • M. BirdInactive

Middlesbrough

  • J. SarmientoInactive

Team news last updated Sep 5 (14 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Statistical comparison

Birmingham at home vs Middlesbrough away
3
Played
3
0-3-0
W-D-L
1-1-1
1.7
Scored /game
1
1.7
Conceded /game
1
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
100%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.7 goals per game (Birmingham at home plus Middlesbrough away).

Key players this season

Birmingham

  • L. Millar3A

Middlesbrough

  • W. Lankshear6G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1West HamPromotion - Premier League7+1114
2SwanseaPromotion - Premier League7+614
3MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)7+414
4West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)7+314
5Bristol CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)8-113
6QPRPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)7+312
8WolvesPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)6+411
9Lincoln7011
10Southampton7+1010
11Birmingham7+110
12Millwall7010
13Stoke City7010
14Norwich709

Head-to-head

Full record →
Birmingham
2
Draws
0
Middlesbrough
8

Middlesbrough have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-03-02Birmingham 1-3 Middlesbrough
  • 2025-11-08Middlesbrough 2-1 Birmingham
  • 2024-03-12Birmingham 0-1 Middlesbrough
  • 2023-10-21Middlesbrough 1-0 Birmingham
  • 2023-01-02Birmingham 1-3 Middlesbrough

Our record in Championship

65%69 won from 106 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

Featured
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Middlesbrough or Draw
Confidence76%

Middlesbrough have claimed four wins from six league matches this season and boast an exceptional head-to-head record against Birmingham, having won eight of the last ten meetings overall and each of the previous five visits to St Andrew's. Birmingham have drawn all three of their home league games so far and must manage six squad absences through fitness and unavailability issues. Backing Middlesbrough to secure at least a point covers both an away victory and Birmingham's persistent pattern of home stalemates.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.