BetGenius
ChampionshipChampionship
Full time
3-0
Tue 3 Nov21:00 WAT

Birmingham vs Millwall prediction

FollowFollowFollow match
Round
Regular Season - 14
Venue
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Referee
David Webb

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Birmingham or Draw

BetGenius backs Birmingham or Draw (Double Chance) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Birmingham host Millwall in Championship Regular Season - 14 with the home side sitting 6th on 23 points and Millwall 12th on 18. Birmingham have been the more solid side at home, winning 2 and drawing 4 of their 6 home games while scoring 14 and conceding 7. Millwall have struggled on the road, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats from 6 away games, conceding 12 and averaging 2.0 goals against away from home.

The head-to-head is mixed. Millwall won the most recent meeting 3-0 in February 2026, but Birmingham's biggest win in the series was a 4-0 home victory in November 2025. Over the last 10 meetings, the average is 2.1 goals per game, with over 2.5 goals in 40% of them.

Availability is significant on both sides. Birmingham are missing M. Leonard (Achilles), Paik Seung-Ho and A. Priske (both health problems), and Priske is their leading scorer with 6 goals. Millwall have a longer list, including J. Metcalfe (suspended), M. Servais (unavailable) and injuries to T. Arconte, C. De Norre, L. Jensen, F. Marschall and M. Luongo. Birmingham are under C. Davies and Millwall under A. Neil.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Birmingham are 6th on 23 points with a goal difference of +10, against Millwall's 12th-place 18 points and +2.
  2. Birmingham have been unbeaten at home in 6 games (2 wins, 4 draws), scoring 14 and conceding 7.
  3. Millwall have conceded 12 goals in 6 away games and won only 2 of them.
  4. Birmingham are without A. Priske, their top scorer with 6 goals, plus M. Leonard and Paik Seung-Ho, while Millwall are missing J. Metcalfe (suspended) and several injured players.
  5. The head-to-head is close: Millwall won the latest meeting 3-0, but the last 10 meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals in 40% of them.
  6. The over 2.5 call is based on combined scoring: Birmingham average 1.8 goals per game overall, Millwall 1.8, and the Championship averages 2.93 goals per game.
Form

Recent form and results

Home

Birmingham

4W 0D 1L · Goals 11–2

5 matches, 10 Oct to 31 Oct

76
Strong
WWWLWLatest →
  • atLincoln
    Championship
    W3–1
  • atCardiff
    Championship
    L0–1
  • vsQPR
    Championship
    W3–0
  • vsPreston
    Championship
    W4–0
  • atWest Brom
    Championship
    W1–0
Away

Millwall

2W 1D 2L · Goals 8–6

5 matches, 10 Oct to 31 Oct

53
Average
WLDLWLatest →
  • vsDerby
    Championship
    W4–1
  • atPortsmouth
    Championship
    L1–2
  • vsLincoln
    Championship
    D2–2
  • vsSwansea
    Championship
    L0–1
  • atPreston
    Championship
    W1–0

Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.

Teams

Lineups & team news

Birmingham · 4-2-3-1

  1. 21 R. Allsop (G)
  2. 2 E. Laird (D)
  3. 5 P. Neumann (D)
  4. 4 C. Klarer (D)
  5. 20 A. Cochrane (D)
  6. 24 T. Iwata (M)
  7. 14 J. Solis (M)
  8. 16 P. Roberts (M)
  9. 28 J. Stansfield (M)
  10. 17 L. Millar (M)
  11. 18 M. Bird (F)

Millwall · 4-2-3-1

  1. 15 M. Crocombe (G)
  2. 2 J. Osei-Tutu (D)
  3. 6 C. Taylor (D)
  4. 5 J. Cooper (D)
  5. 3 Zak Norton Sturge (D)
  6. 13 L. Dykes (M)
  7. 49 D. Mazou-Sacko (M)
  8. 10 C. Neghli (M)
  9. 25 L. Cundle (M)
  10. 22 K. Lisbie (M)
  11. 9 M. Ivanović (F)
BirminghamSubstitutes (9)
  • 3L. BuchananD
  • 33M. DuckschF
  • 19T. Gardner-HickmanM
  • 10D. GrayF
  • 30Bradley MayoG
  • 26B. Osayi-SamuelD
  • 32L. VázquezF
  • 7Carlos VicenteF
  • 11S. WrightF
MillwallSubstitutes (9)
  • 7T. ArconteF
  • 12E. BaggottD
  • 23D. BatthD
  • 19J. CoburnF
  • 11R. EsseM
  • 35Y. IssoufouF
  • 16D. KellyM
  • 17M. SykesM
  • 41G. EvansG

Starting XIs reported by API-Football, fetched 3 Nov 2026, 21:12 WAT. These are reported lineups, not predicted selections. Late changes may follow.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Venue records: Birmingham: Championship (2026); Millwall: Championship (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.

A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.

Birmingham at homeMillwall away
6
Played
6
2-4-0
W-D-L
2-1-3
2.3
Scored /game
1.3
1.2
Conceded /game
2
33%
Clean sheets
33%
0%
Failed to score
0%
20% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
60% (5 games)
60% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
60% (5 games)

Combined scoring rate: 3.6 goals per game (Birmingham at home plus Millwall away).

Players

Key players this season

Birmingham

  • A. PriskeHealth problems6G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1MiddlesbroughPromotion - Premier League14+1128
2WolvesPromotion - Premier League14+827
3BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)14+1326
4Stoke CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)14+526
5SwanseaPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)14+526
6West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)14+525
10Portsmouth14+322
11QPR14+521
12Norwich14+318
13Millwall14-118
14Blackburn14-218
15Bristol City14-318
16Wrexham14-217
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
2
Birmingham
4
Draws
4
Millwall

Millwall have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.1 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-02-25Millwall3-0Birmingham
  • 2025-11-04Birmingham4-0Millwall
  • 2024-03-09Millwall1-0Birmingham
  • 2023-09-02Birmingham1-1Millwall
  • 2023-04-18Millwall0-1Birmingham
Prices

Archived pre-match odds

Provider quote time: 3 Nov 2026, 17:26 WAT. Decimal prices. Historical quotes, not current offers. Coverage varies by selection; these are cached quotes, not a complete market survey.

Match Winner

SelectionBest quoteMedian / books
Home2.01 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 2.01
  • Betano: 1.98
  • Dafabet: 1.97
  • Betfair: 1.95
  • SBO: 1.95
1.95 / 10
Draw3.75 · Dafabet
Named quotes (5)
  • Dafabet: 3.75
  • Pinnacle: 3.73
  • Betano: 3.65
  • 1xBet: 3.60
  • Bet365: 3.60
3.60 / 10
Away3.80 · Dafabet
Named quotes (5)
  • Dafabet: 3.80
  • Betfair: 3.75
  • Pinnacle: 3.74
  • Bet365: 3.70
  • Betano: 3.70
3.67 / 10

Double Chance

SelectionBest quoteMedian / books
Home/Away1.29 · William Hill
Named quotes (5)
  • William Hill: 1.29
  • Bet365: 1.28
  • Betano: 1.28
  • 1xBet: 1.26
  • Marathonbet: 1.26
1.26 / 8
Home/Draw1.30 · Betano
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 1.30
  • 1xBet: 1.25
  • Bet365: 1.25
  • Betfair: 1.25
  • BetVictor: 1.25
1.25 / 8
Draw/Away1.91 · Bet365
Named quotes (5)
  • Bet365: 1.91
  • Betano: 1.87
  • SBO: 1.86
  • William Hill: 1.83
  • 1xBet: 1.82
1.83 / 8

Goals Over/Under

SelectionBest quoteMedian / books
Under 6.51.02 · Betano
Named quotes (1)
  • Betano: 1.02
1.02 / 1
Over 1.01.04 · 1xBet
Named quotes (1)
  • 1xBet: 1.04
1.04 / 1
Under 4.751.04 · Marathonbet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 1.04
  • Marathonbet: 1.04
1.04 / 2
Under 5.01.04 · 1xBet
Named quotes (1)
  • 1xBet: 1.04
1.04 / 1
Over 0.51.05 · Betano
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 1.05
  • 1xBet: 1.04
  • Bet365: 1.04
  • Betfair: 1.03
  • BetVictor: 1.02
1.04 / 5
Under 5.51.06 · Bet365
Named quotes (4)
  • Bet365: 1.06
  • Betano: 1.06
  • Betfair: 1.04
  • BetVictor: 1.02
1.05 / 4
Under 4.251.11 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 1.11
  • Marathonbet: 1.10
1.10 / 2
Over 1.251.16 · BetVictor
Named quotes (3)
  • BetVictor: 1.16
  • 1xBet: 1.10
  • Marathonbet: 1.10
1.10 / 3
Under 4.51.17 · Bet365
Named quotes (5)
  • Bet365: 1.17
  • Betano: 1.17
  • Pinnacle: 1.15
  • Betfair: 1.14
  • BetVictor: 1.11
1.14 / 7
Under 4.01.19 · BetVictor
Named quotes (3)
  • BetVictor: 1.19
  • 1xBet: 1.12
  • Marathonbet: 1.12
1.12 / 3
Over 1.51.26 · Betano
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 1.26
  • BetVictor: 1.25
  • Pinnacle: 1.25
  • Bet365: 1.22
  • Betfair: 1.22
1.22 / 7
Over 1.751.29 · BetVictor
Named quotes (3)
  • BetVictor: 1.29
  • 1xBet: 1.26
  • Marathonbet: 1.25
1.26 / 3
Under 3.751.29 · BetVictor
Named quotes (3)
  • BetVictor: 1.29
  • 1xBet: 1.24
  • Marathonbet: 1.22
1.24 / 3
Over 2.01.39 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 1.39
  • Pinnacle: 1.39
  • BetVictor: 1.36
  • 1xBet: 1.33
  • Marathonbet: 1.33
1.36 / 5
Under 3.51.44 · Bet365
Named quotes (5)
  • Bet365: 1.44
  • Betano: 1.44
  • Pinnacle: 1.41
  • Betfair: 1.40
  • BetVictor: 1.39
1.40 / 7
Under 3.251.50 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (4)
  • Pinnacle: 1.50
  • BetVictor: 1.47
  • 1xBet: 1.43
  • Marathonbet: 1.40
1.45 / 4
Over 2.251.58 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 1.58
  • SBO: 1.58
  • 1xBet: 1.54
  • BetVictor: 1.54
  • Marathonbet: 1.53
1.54 / 5
Under 3.01.65 · Betano
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 1.65
  • Pinnacle: 1.63
  • BetVictor: 1.58
  • 1xBet: 1.52
  • Marathonbet: 1.52
1.58 / 5
Over 2.51.80 · Betano
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 1.80
  • Pinnacle: 1.79
  • SBO: 1.79
  • 1xBet: 1.77
  • Marathonbet: 1.77
1.77 / 8
Under 2.751.88 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 1.88
  • SBO: 1.86
  • 1xBet: 1.78
  • BetVictor: 1.78
  • Marathonbet: 1.74
1.78 / 5
Over 2.752.02 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 2.02
  • SBO: 1.98
  • 1xBet: 1.97
  • Marathonbet: 1.93
  • BetVictor: 1.90
1.97 / 5
Under 2.52.10 · Bet365
Named quotes (5)
  • Bet365: 2.10
  • Pinnacle: 2.10
  • Betano: 2.07
  • Betfair: 2.05
  • SBO: 2.05
2.05 / 8
Over 3.02.38 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 2.38
  • Betano: 2.32
  • 1xBet: 2.26
  • Marathonbet: 2.26
  • BetVictor: 2.19
2.26 / 5
Under 2.252.48 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 2.48
  • SBO: 2.35
  • 1xBet: 2.28
  • BetVictor: 2.27
  • Marathonbet: 2.27
2.28 / 5
Over 3.252.71 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (4)
  • Pinnacle: 2.71
  • 1xBet: 2.61
  • Marathonbet: 2.56
  • BetVictor: 2.45
2.58 / 4
Over 3.53.02 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 3.02
  • Betano: 2.92
  • Betfair: 2.88
  • 1xBet: 2.83
  • Marathonbet: 2.83
2.83 / 7
Under 2.03.16 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 3.16
  • Betano: 3.15
  • 1xBet: 2.88
  • Marathonbet: 2.88
  • BetVictor: 2.82
2.88 / 5
Under 1.753.30 · 1xBet
Named quotes (3)
  • 1xBet: 3.30
  • Marathonbet: 3.28
  • BetVictor: 3.15
3.28 / 3
Over 3.753.52 · 1xBet
Named quotes (3)
  • 1xBet: 3.52
  • Marathonbet: 3.48
  • BetVictor: 3.20
3.48 / 3
Under 1.54.33 · Bet365
Named quotes (5)
  • Bet365: 4.33
  • Betfair: 4.20
  • Pinnacle: 4.18
  • Betano: 3.90
  • 1xBet: 3.74
3.90 / 7
Over 4.04.70 · Marathonbet
Named quotes (3)
  • 1xBet: 4.70
  • Marathonbet: 4.70
  • BetVictor: 4.00
4.70 / 3
Over 4.255.12 · 1xBet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 5.12
  • Marathonbet: 5.10
5.11 / 2
Under 1.255.20 · Marathonbet
Named quotes (3)
  • 1xBet: 5.20
  • Marathonbet: 5.20
  • BetVictor: 4.40
5.20 / 3
Over 4.55.90 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 5.90
  • BetVictor: 5.75
  • Betfair: 5.50
  • 1xBet: 5.45
  • Marathonbet: 5.45
5.45 / 7
Over 4.757.10 · Marathonbet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 7.10
  • Marathonbet: 7.10
7.10 / 2
Over 5.07.80 · 1xBet
Named quotes (1)
  • 1xBet: 7.80
7.80 / 1
Under 1.07.90 · 1xBet
Named quotes (1)
  • 1xBet: 7.90
7.90 / 1
Over 5.511.00 · Betfair
Named quotes (5)
  • Betfair: 11.00
  • BetVictor: 10.50
  • Bet365: 10.00
  • 1xBet: 9.60
  • Betano: 9.25
10.00 / 5
Under 0.513.00 · Bet365
Named quotes (5)
  • Bet365: 13.00
  • Betfair: 13.00
  • BetVictor: 11.00
  • 1xBet: 10.90
  • Betano: 10.00
11.00 / 5
Over 6.521.00 · Bet365
Named quotes (3)
  • 1xBet: 21.00
  • Bet365: 21.00
  • Betano: 14.50
21.00 / 3
Over 7.541.00 · Bet365
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 41.00
  • Bet365: 41.00
41.00 / 2

Both Teams Score

SelectionBest quoteMedian / books
Yes1.67 · William Hill
Named quotes (5)
  • William Hill: 1.67
  • 1xBet: 1.65
  • Betano: 1.65
  • Marathonbet: 1.65
  • Bet365: 1.62
1.65 / 7
No2.30 · Betfair
Named quotes (5)
  • Betfair: 2.30
  • Bet365: 2.20
  • Betano: 2.15
  • BetVictor: 2.15
  • 1xBet: 2.11
2.15 / 7

Bookmaker prices are separate from BetGenius confidence ratings. No opening price or odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot.

BetGenius

Our record in Championship

64%168 won from 261 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Birmingham or Draw
70%
Confidence

Birmingham have the stronger home record (2 wins, 4 draws, no defeats in 6, 14 goals scored and 7 conceded) and sit 6th against Millwall's 12th. Millwall's away form is weak, with 3 defeats in 6 and 12 goals conceded. Backing Birmingham or a draw covers the scenarios the evidence points to most clearly. The win alone is the more likely single outcome, but the recent Millwall 3-0 win in February and Millwall's home form keep the draw and away win in play. Confidence is held at 70 because of Birmingham's injury list and Millwall's home scoring.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Understand these picks

Teams around them in the table

MiddlesbroughWolvesStoke CitySwanseaWest BromSouthampton
All Championship predictions →

About this data

Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 2 Nov 2026, 06:25 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.

Team context last fetched: Birmingham: 3 Nov 2026, 06:05 WAT; Millwall: 3 Nov 2026, 06:05 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 5 Nov 2026, 00:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.

Completed match: published prediction record

This match has finished. The published call is retained for review; see today’s predictions.

Published November 2, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.