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Tue 3 Nov20:45 WAT

Blackburn vs Stoke City prediction

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Round
Regular Season - 14
Venue
Ewood Park, Blackburn
Referee
Andrew Kitchen

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Stoke City or Draw

BetGenius backs Stoke City or Draw (Double Chance) at 62% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

62%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Stoke City arrive as the higher-ranked side, seventh with 23 points from 13 games, against Blackburn in 13th on 18 points. Stoke's form is steadier: three wins, a draw and a defeat in their last five, with a 3-1-2 record away from home. Blackburn have won three and lost two of their last five, but their away record is 1-3-3 and they have failed to score in both of their away games this season that ended without a goal, so home advantage is their main edge.

Blackburn's home record is strong at 4-0-2, with 11 goals scored and 7 conceded, and Tony Mowbray's side will be hoping to build on that. Their squad list shows four unavailable players (A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller and R. Morishita), which adds uncertainty to their selection. Stoke's key creative player E. Galbraith is suspended, and four Stoke players are also reported out, so both teams carry some absence concerns.

Head-to-head evidence is evenly poised: across the last ten meetings Stoke have won five, Blackburn three and two have been drawn, with an average of 2.2 goals per game. The most recent meeting in April 2026 finished 1-1. Stoke's better season-long level and away consistency give them a slight edge, but a Blackburn home win remains a realistic outcome.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Table position: Stoke City are seventh on 23 points, while Blackburn are 13th on 18 with a goal difference of -1 against Stoke's +4.
  2. Away form: Stoke have won three, drawn one and lost two of six away games; Blackburn have won one, drawn three and lost three of seven away.
  3. Home form: Blackburn have won four of six at home, scoring 11 and conceding 7, so the home venue gives them a real chance.
  4. Availability: Blackburn have four players reported out (A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, R. Morishita); Stoke have E. Galbraith suspended and four others listed as unavailable.
  5. Head-to-head: five wins for Stoke, three for Blackburn and two draws in the last ten meetings, averaging 2.2 goals per game; the most recent game ended 1-1.
  6. Goals: both teams average about 1.5 goals scored and conceded per game, and the combined 2.93 goals-per-game league average supports a total above 2.5.
Form

Recent form and results

Home

Blackburn

3W 0D 2L · Goals 7–8

5 matches, 10 Oct to 31 Oct

50
Average
WWLWLLatest →
  • atSwansea
    Championship
    L0–4
  • vsWrexham
    Championship
    W2–0
  • atWest Brom
    Championship
    L2–3
  • atBristol City
    Championship
    W1–0
  • vsCardiff
    Championship
    W2–1
Away

Stoke City

3W 1D 1L · Goals 7–4

5 matches, 10 Oct to 31 Oct

69
Strong
WLWDWLatest →
  • vsPreston
    Championship
    W2–0
  • vsBristol City
    Championship
    D0–0
  • atDerby
    Championship
    W1–0
  • vsMiddlesbrough
    Championship
    L2–3
  • atBolton
    Championship
    W2–1

Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.

Teams

Lineups & team news

Blackburn · 4-2-3-1

  1. 22 B. Tóth (G)
  2. 2 R. Alebiosu (D)
  3. 17 H. Carter (D)
  4. 15 S. McLoughlin (D)
  5. 3 H. Pickering (D)
  6. 8 Sam Morsy (M)
  7. 31 Kristi Montgomery (M)
  8. 11 J. Fevrier (M)
  9. 10 T. Cantwell (M)
  10. 21 O. Afolayan (M)
  11. 9 A. Guðjohnsen (F)

Stoke City · 3-4-3

  1. 1 V. Johansson (G)
  2. 16 B. Wilmot (D)
  3. 40 M. Talovierov (D)
  4. 5 L. Graham (D)
  5. 2 B. Johnson (M)
  6. 7 J. McGlynn (M)
  7. 27 El Hadji Djibril Soumaré (M)
  8. 21 L. Bombino (M)
  9. 42 M. Manhoef (F)
  10. 9 R. Boženík (F)
  11. 13 J. Devenny (F)
BlackburnSubstitutes (9)
  • 4Yuri RibeiroD
  • 16S. WhartonD
  • 24M. BaradjiM
  • 27Gady BeyukuD
  • 14D. De NeveM
  • 30J. GarrettM
  • 7A. KargboF
  • 23Y. OhashiF
  • 1A. PearsG
Stoke CitySubstitutes (9)
  • 10Bae Jun-HoM
  • 24J. GriffithsG
  • 15G. HirstF
  • 6S. IngelssonM
  • 18B. LawalD
  • 4B. PearsonM
  • 19T. RigoM
  • 22J. TchamadeuD
  • 43F. AndersonD

Starting XIs reported by API-Football, fetched 3 Nov 2026, 20:42 WAT. These are reported lineups, not predicted selections. Late changes may follow.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Venue records: Blackburn: Championship (2026); Stoke City: Championship (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.

A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.

Blackburn at homeStoke City away
6
Played
6
4-0-2
W-D-L
3-1-2
1.8
Scored /game
1.3
1.2
Conceded /game
1.7
17%
Clean sheets
17%
0%
Failed to score
0%
40% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
40% (5 games)
60% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
40% (5 games)

Combined scoring rate: 3.1 goals per game (Blackburn at home plus Stoke City away).

Players

Key players this season

Blackburn

  • A. Guðjohnsen9G

Stoke City

  • E. GalbraithSuspended4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1MiddlesbroughPromotion - Premier League14+1128
2WolvesPromotion - Premier League14+827
3BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)14+1326
4Stoke CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)14+526
5SwanseaPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)14+526
6West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)14+525
7SouthamptonPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)14+1524
11QPR14+521
12Norwich14+318
13Millwall14-118
14Blackburn14-218
15Bristol City14-318
16Wrexham14-217
17Bolton14-717
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
3
Blackburn
2
Draws
5
Stoke City

Stoke City have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.2 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-04-11Stoke City1-1Blackburn
  • 2025-10-04Blackburn1-1Stoke City
  • 2025-03-12Stoke City1-0Blackburn
  • 2024-11-06Blackburn0-2Stoke City
  • 2024-02-10Blackburn3-1Stoke City
Prices

Archived pre-match odds

Provider quote time: 3 Nov 2026, 17:26 WAT. Decimal prices. Historical quotes, not current offers. Coverage varies by selection; these are cached quotes, not a complete market survey.

Match Winner

SelectionBest quoteMedian / books
Away2.65 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Dafabet: 2.65
  • Pinnacle: 2.65
  • Betfair: 2.63
  • Betano: 2.60
  • 1xBet: 2.58
2.58 / 10
Home2.87 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 2.87
  • Betano: 2.75
  • Betfair: 2.75
  • William Hill: 2.75
  • Bet365: 2.70
2.70 / 10
Draw3.40 · Dafabet
Named quotes (5)
  • Dafabet: 3.40
  • Bet365: 3.30
  • Betano: 3.30
  • Pinnacle: 3.28
  • BetVictor: 3.25
3.25 / 10

Double Chance

SelectionBest quoteMedian / books
Home/Away1.35 · William Hill
Named quotes (5)
  • William Hill: 1.35
  • Bet365: 1.33
  • BetVictor: 1.33
  • Betano: 1.32
  • 1xBet: 1.31
1.31 / 8
Draw/Away1.47 · Betano
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 1.47
  • 1xBet: 1.44
  • Bet365: 1.44
  • Marathonbet: 1.44
  • William Hill: 1.44
1.44 / 8
Home/Draw1.52 · Betano
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 1.52
  • Bet365: 1.50
  • 1xBet: 1.46
  • Marathonbet: 1.46
  • BetVictor: 1.45
1.46 / 8

Goals Over/Under

SelectionBest quoteMedian / books
Over 0.751.02 · Marathonbet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 1.02
  • Marathonbet: 1.02
1.02 / 2
Under 5.51.03 · Bet365
Named quotes (3)
  • Bet365: 1.03
  • Betano: 1.03
  • 1xBet: 1.02
1.03 / 3
Under 4.251.05 · Marathonbet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 1.05
  • Marathonbet: 1.05
1.05 / 2
Under 4.01.06 · Marathonbet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 1.06
  • Marathonbet: 1.06
1.06 / 2
Over 0.51.08 · Betano
Named quotes (4)
  • Betano: 1.08
  • Bet365: 1.07
  • Betfair: 1.05
  • BetVictor: 1.04
1.06 / 4
Over 1.01.10 · BetVictor
Named quotes (3)
  • BetVictor: 1.10
  • 1xBet: 1.04
  • Marathonbet: 1.04
1.04 / 3
Under 4.51.11 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 1.11
  • Pinnacle: 1.11
  • Bet365: 1.10
  • Betfair: 1.07
  • BetVictor: 1.06
1.07 / 7
Under 3.751.20 · BetVictor
Named quotes (3)
  • BetVictor: 1.20
  • 1xBet: 1.15
  • Marathonbet: 1.14
1.15 / 3
Over 1.251.22 · BetVictor
Named quotes (3)
  • BetVictor: 1.22
  • 1xBet: 1.17
  • Marathonbet: 1.16
1.17 / 3
Under 3.51.30 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 1.30
  • Betano: 1.29
  • Bet365: 1.28
  • BetVictor: 1.28
  • Betfair: 1.25
1.28 / 7
Under 3.251.32 · BetVictor
Named quotes (3)
  • BetVictor: 1.32
  • 1xBet: 1.28
  • Marathonbet: 1.27
1.28 / 3
Over 1.51.37 · Betano
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 1.37
  • BetVictor: 1.34
  • Pinnacle: 1.34
  • Bet365: 1.33
  • Betfair: 1.33
1.33 / 7
Over 1.751.42 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (4)
  • Pinnacle: 1.42
  • BetVictor: 1.41
  • 1xBet: 1.39
  • Marathonbet: 1.37
1.40 / 4
Under 3.01.44 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 1.44
  • Betano: 1.42
  • BetVictor: 1.39
  • 1xBet: 1.34
  • Marathonbet: 1.34
1.39 / 5
Over 2.01.57 · Betano
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 1.57
  • Pinnacle: 1.55
  • BetVictor: 1.52
  • SBO: 1.52
  • 1xBet: 1.50
1.52 / 6
Under 2.751.61 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (4)
  • Pinnacle: 1.61
  • BetVictor: 1.56
  • 1xBet: 1.53
  • Marathonbet: 1.52
1.54 / 4
Under 2.51.80 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 1.80
  • Betano: 1.78
  • Betfair: 1.75
  • SBO: 1.75
  • 1xBet: 1.73
1.74 / 8
Over 2.251.83 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 1.83
  • SBO: 1.79
  • 1xBet: 1.78
  • Marathonbet: 1.75
  • BetVictor: 1.74
1.78 / 5
Under 2.252.07 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 2.07
  • SBO: 2.05
  • 1xBet: 1.96
  • BetVictor: 1.93
  • Marathonbet: 1.92
1.96 / 5
Over 2.52.10 · Bet365
Named quotes (5)
  • Bet365: 2.10
  • Betano: 2.10
  • Pinnacle: 2.09
  • SBO: 2.09
  • Betfair: 2.05
2.07 / 8
Over 2.752.40 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (4)
  • Pinnacle: 2.40
  • 1xBet: 2.31
  • Marathonbet: 2.29
  • BetVictor: 2.23
2.30 / 4
Under 2.02.58 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 2.58
  • Betano: 2.47
  • SBO: 2.47
  • 1xBet: 2.31
  • BetVictor: 2.31
2.39 / 6
Over 3.03.00 · Betano
Named quotes (5)
  • Betano: 3.00
  • Pinnacle: 2.91
  • 1xBet: 2.83
  • Marathonbet: 2.83
  • BetVictor: 2.70
2.83 / 5
Under 1.753.01 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (4)
  • Pinnacle: 3.01
  • 1xBet: 2.70
  • Marathonbet: 2.66
  • BetVictor: 2.62
2.68 / 4
Over 3.253.17 · 1xBet
Named quotes (3)
  • 1xBet: 3.17
  • Marathonbet: 3.14
  • BetVictor: 2.99
3.14 / 3
Under 1.53.42 · Pinnacle
Named quotes (5)
  • Pinnacle: 3.42
  • Bet365: 3.40
  • Betfair: 3.25
  • Betano: 3.20
  • 1xBet: 3.04
3.20 / 7
Over 3.53.80 · Betfair
Named quotes (5)
  • Betfair: 3.80
  • Bet365: 3.75
  • Pinnacle: 3.68
  • Betano: 3.65
  • 1xBet: 3.48
3.65 / 7
Under 1.254.12 · 1xBet
Named quotes (3)
  • 1xBet: 4.12
  • Marathonbet: 4.10
  • BetVictor: 3.70
4.10 / 3
Over 3.754.37 · 1xBet
Named quotes (3)
  • 1xBet: 4.37
  • Marathonbet: 4.35
  • BetVictor: 3.90
4.35 / 3
Over 4.06.10 · Marathonbet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 6.10
  • Marathonbet: 6.10
6.10 / 2
Over 4.256.50 · Marathonbet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 6.50
  • Marathonbet: 6.50
6.50 / 2
Under 1.07.10 · Marathonbet
Named quotes (3)
  • 1xBet: 7.10
  • Marathonbet: 7.10
  • BetVictor: 5.55
7.10 / 3
Under 0.757.80 · Marathonbet
Named quotes (2)
  • 1xBet: 7.80
  • Marathonbet: 7.80
7.80 / 2
Over 4.58.00 · Betfair
Named quotes (5)
  • Betfair: 8.00
  • BetVictor: 8.00
  • Pinnacle: 7.45
  • Bet365: 7.00
  • Betano: 6.90
7.00 / 7
Under 0.59.00 · Bet365
Named quotes (5)
  • Bet365: 9.00
  • Betfair: 9.00
  • BetVictor: 9.00
  • 1xBet: 8.50
  • Marathonbet: 8.50
8.75 / 6
Over 5.09.80 · 1xBet
Named quotes (1)
  • 1xBet: 9.80
9.80 / 1
Over 5.515.00 · Bet365
Named quotes (4)
  • Bet365: 15.00
  • Betfair: 15.00
  • 1xBet: 12.50
  • Betano: 12.00
13.75 / 4
Over 6.529.00 · Bet365
Named quotes (3)
  • 1xBet: 29.00
  • Bet365: 29.00
  • Betano: 17.00
29.00 / 3

Both Teams Score

SelectionBest quoteMedian / books
Yes1.80 · William Hill
Named quotes (5)
  • Bet365: 1.80
  • Betano: 1.80
  • William Hill: 1.80
  • 1xBet: 1.77
  • Marathonbet: 1.77
1.77 / 7
No2.10 · Betfair
Named quotes (5)
  • Betfair: 2.10
  • Betano: 1.95
  • BetVictor: 1.95
  • 1xBet: 1.94
  • Marathonbet: 1.92
1.94 / 7

Bookmaker prices are separate from BetGenius confidence ratings. No opening price or odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot.

BetGenius

Our record in Championship

64%168 won from 261 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Stoke City or Draw
62%
Confidence

Stoke City sit seventh on 23 points and are above Blackburn, who are 13th on 18. Stoke have won three of their last five and have a better season-long away record than Blackburn, whose away form of one win, three draws and three defeats is their weakest split. Blackburn's home record is good, so a home win is possible, which is why the draw is covered alongside the away win. The head-to-head record is close, with Stoke winning five of the last ten meetings and two drawn. Both sides average about 1.5 goals scored per game, and their combined goals-for and goals-against figures point to a game of around three goals, supporting the over call on total goals.

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About this data

Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 2 Nov 2026, 06:20 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.

Team context last fetched: Blackburn: 3 Nov 2026, 03:05 WAT; Stoke City: 3 Nov 2026, 06:05 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 5 Nov 2026, 00:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.

Completed match: published prediction record

This match has finished. The published call is retained for review; see today’s predictions.

Published November 2, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.