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Tue 29 Sept · 23:30

Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 30
Venue: Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto
Referee: Edina Alves Batista, Brazil

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Botafogo SP

37Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

Ponte Preta

18Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -11 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Botafogo SP or Draw

BetGenius backs Botafogo SP or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Botafogo SP host bottom-placed Ponte Preta in round 30 of Serie B with both clubs battling at the lower end of the table. Botafogo SP occupy 16th place with 32 points from 29 fixtures, sitting just two points above the relegation zone following a 1-1 draw at Athletic Club that snapped a four-match losing streak.

Ponte Preta arrive rooted to 20th position on 13 points after 29 rounds, having suffered 22 defeats across the campaign. While they managed a 1-0 home victory against CRB in their latest outing, their away form has been particularly difficult, yielding one win and 13 losses from 14 matches with 39 goals conceded and only seven scored.

Head-to-head encounters between these regional rivals have historically produced tight, low-scoring affairs. Across their last ten meetings, nine finished under 2.5 total goals and none saw both teams find the net, including a 0-0 draw in their reverse league fixture in June.

Analysis

Key factors

Ponte Preta have lost 13 of their 14 away matches in Serie B this season, scoring only seven goals on the road.
Botafogo SP have scored 23 goals across 14 home matches, compared to Ponte Preta's 39 conceded away.
None of the previous ten head-to-head meetings between these sides saw both teams score, with nine matches staying under 2.5 goals.
Ponte Preta sit bottom of the table with 22 losses and a minus 45 goal difference through 29 matches.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Botafogo SP at homePonte Preta away

Played

6-3-7

W-D-L

1-0-15

1.6

Scored /game

0.4

1.4

Conceded /game

2.7

13%

Clean sheets

13%

Failed to score

75%

60%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

20%

Combined scoring rate: 2 goals per game (Botafogo SP at home plus Ponte Preta away).

Players

Key players this season

Botafogo SP

Everton Morelli9G
Rafael Gava7A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
10	Operario-PR	34	-2	48
11	Cuiaba	34	+5	47
12	São Bernardo	34	+9	46
13	Botafogo SP	34	0	44
14	Athletic Club	34	+1	44
15	Nautico Recife	34	-3	43
16	Ceara	34	-5	43
17	AvaiRelegation	34	-10	37
18	LondrinaRelegation	34	-6	32
19	America MineiroRelegation	34	-32	20
20	Ponte PretaRelegation	34	-55	14

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

2
Botafogo SP: 4
Draws: 4
Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.0 goals a game, only 10% went over 2.5.

2026-06-01Ponte Preta0-0Botafogo SP
2025-02-15Ponte Preta0-0Botafogo SP
2024-10-05Ponte Preta1-0Botafogo SP
2024-06-20Botafogo SP2-0Ponte Preta
2024-02-07Botafogo SP0-3Ponte Preta

BetGenius

Our record in Serie B

79%27 won from 34 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Botafogo SP or Draw

76%

Confidence

Botafogo SP hold a clear situational and home advantage against a Ponte Preta side that has been beaten in 13 of their 14 away matches this season. While Botafogo SP have experienced inconsistent form in recent weeks, they have scored 23 goals in 14 home fixtures and face an opponent averaging 2.8 goals conceded on the road. Backing the home side to avoid defeat covers potential stalemate scenarios while accounting for Ponte Preta's struggles away from home.

Explore

Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Botafogo SP

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Serie B

1 published market

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