BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
Referee
N. Popov
Form

Recent form

Botev Plovdiv
96Excellent

Last 4 matches · 4W-0D-0L · +10 goal difference

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
27Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Botev Plovdiv or Draw

BetGenius backs Botev Plovdiv or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

The Plovdiv derby arrives at a pivotal moment in the First League campaign, with seventh-placed Botev Plovdiv hosting eleventh-placed Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Botev enter the fixture on 10 points following a high-scoring 3-2 away victory against Arda Kardzhali, looking to maintain their spot in the Conference League qualification group.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv snapped a five-match losing run by edging Cherno More Varna 1-0 last time out. However, their away form remains a major concern heading into this derby. The visitors have lost all four of their away league fixtures this season, failing to score a single goal on their travels while conceding six.

Derby history between the two clubs has traditionally been tight and low-scoring, with five of their last nine head-to-head meetings finishing level and only 22.2 percent exceeding 2.5 total goals. Botev's superior offensive output on home soil gives them the upper hand, but historical parity suggests a closely fought contest.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Lokomotiv Plovdiv have lost all four away matches in the league this season without scoring a single goal.
  2. Botev Plovdiv have earned seven points from four home fixtures, scoring in every league match on home turf.
  3. The last nine head-to-head encounters average just 1.89 goals per game, with under 2.5 goals landing in 77.8 percent of those fixtures.
  4. Lokomotiv Plovdiv have failed to score in five of their eight league matches overall this season.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Botev Plovdiv at homeLokomotiv Plovdiv away
6
Played
5
4-1-1
W-D-L
0-0-5
1.5
Scored /game
0
1
Conceded /game
1.6
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
Failed to score
100%
—
BTTS (last 5)
20%
—
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%

Combined scoring rate: 1.5 goals per game (Botev Plovdiv at home plus Lokomotiv Plovdiv away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2CSKA SofiaPromotion - efbet League (Championship Group)11+1827
3LudogoretsPromotion - efbet League (Championship Group)10+1426
4CSKA 1948Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)11+822
5Botev PlovdivPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)11+319
6Arda KardzhaliPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)11-217
7Spartak VarnaPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)11-413
8Slavia SofiaPromotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)11011
9Botev Vratsaefbet League (Relegation Group)11-119
10Dunav Ruseefbet League (Relegation Group)11-88
11Lokomotiv Plovdivefbet League (Relegation Group)11-88
12Lokomotiv Sofiaefbet League (Relegation Group)11-78
13Septemvri Sofiaefbet League (Relegation Group)11-118
14Cherno More Varnaefbet League (Relegation Group)11-116
History

Head-to-head

1
Botev Plovdiv
5
Draws
3
Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Lokomotiv Plovdiv have won 3 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 1.9 goals a game, only 22% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-05-25Lokomotiv Plovdiv2-1Botev Plovdiv
  • 2026-05-03Botev Plovdiv0-2Lokomotiv Plovdiv
  • 2026-04-08Botev Plovdiv1-1Lokomotiv Plovdiv
  • 2026-02-12Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-0Botev Plovdiv
  • 2024-12-01Lokomotiv Plovdiv0-1Botev Plovdiv
BetGenius

Our record in First League

67%33 won from 49 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Botev Plovdiv or Draw
74%
Confidence

Botev Plovdiv have taken seven points from four home games, scoring six goals in the process. In contrast, Lokomotiv Plovdiv have suffered four defeats in four away outings without finding the net. While the visitors possess a resilient derby record with five draws in the last nine meetings, their offensive struggles on the road heavily favour Botev avoiding defeat.

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Published September 12, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.