BetGenius

Cardiff vs Stoke City prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Tue, Sep 8, 06:45 PM
Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

Recent form

Cardiff
21Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -4 goal difference

Stoke City
58Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Cardiff or Draw + Yes
Confidence72%

BetGenius backs Cardiff or Draw + Yes (Combo Bet) at 72% confidence — a solid call.

Match preview

Cardiff welcome Stoke City to the Cardiff City Stadium seeking their first league victory of the season. The Bluebirds currently occupy 22nd place in the Championship table with three points from their opening matches, having drawn three and lost one. Despite sitting in the relegation zone, Cardiff have remained competitive at home where they have recorded two draws from two fixtures while finding the net in every league outing.

Stoke City travel to Wales positioned 13th with six points from five matches. The Potters have shown strong home form with two victories, but their travels have been problematic, resulting in two defeats from two away trips with seven goals conceded. Defensive vulnerabilities on the road have been compounded by defensive injuries including Ben Gibson, Alfie Cresswell, and Junior Tchamadeu.

Head-to-head encounters between these two sides have historically been tightly contested, featuring seven draws in the last ten meetings. With Cardiff scoring regularly but yet to record a clean sheet, and Stoke struggling defensively away from home, this encounter shapes up as an open, competitive affair.

Team news

Cardiff

  • C. ChambersKnee Injury
  • W. FishHernia
  • D. LawlorMuscle Injury

Stoke City

  • A. CresswellKnee Injury
  • B. GibsonHead Injury
  • A. AmpahHamstring Injury
  • S. IngelssonInjury
  • J. TchamadeuKnee Injury

Statistical comparison

Cardiff at home vs Stoke City away
2
Played
2
0-2-0
W-D-L
0-0-2
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Key players this season

Cardiff

  • Cian Ashford2G

Stoke City

  • E. Galbraith3G
  • E. Bocat2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
12Southampton6+77
13Wrexham6+27
14Birmingham5+17
15Stoke City6-17
16Norwich506
17Portsmouth5-16
18Blackburn6-25
19Lincoln5-25
20Cardiff6-34
21Derby5-54
22BoltonRelegation - League One6-64
23BurnleyRelegation - League One6-63

Head-to-head

Full record →
Cardiff
2
Draws
7
Stoke City
1

Cardiff have won 2 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2025-04-12Cardiff 0-1 Stoke City
  • 2025-02-08Stoke City 3-3 Cardiff
  • 2024-12-14Stoke City 2-2 Cardiff
  • 2024-02-24Cardiff 2-1 Stoke City
  • 2023-11-04Stoke City 0-0 Cardiff

Our record in Championship

63%52 won from 82 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

3 published markets

FeaturedWON
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Cardiff or Draw + Yes
Confidence72%

Cardiff or Draw — 72% confidence

Cardiff remain unbeaten on home soil in the league this season with two draws, while Stoke City have suffered defeat in both of their away league matches. Historically, Cardiff have avoided defeat in nine of the previous ten clashes against Stoke, with seven of those matches ending in draws. Given Stoke's defensive absentees and poor away record, Cardiff have a solid probability of picking up at least a point.

Yes — 76% confidence

Both sides enter this fixture with consistent scoring records and fragile defenses. Cardiff have scored in every league match this season, averaging 1.5 goals per game both overall and at home, yet they have kept zero clean sheets. Stoke City have also scored in all their league games, but their away defense has conceded seven goals in two trips, an average of 3.5 goals against per match. Furthermore, seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these teams have seen both teams find the net.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Market
Both Teams to Score
Pick
Yes
Confidence76%

Both sides enter this fixture with consistent scoring records and fragile defenses. Cardiff have scored in every league match this season, averaging 1.5 goals per game both overall and at home, yet they have kept zero clean sheets. Stoke City have also scored in all their league games, but their away defense has conceded seven goals in two trips, an average of 3.5 goals against per match. Furthermore, seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these teams have seen both teams find the net.

Combo BetWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Cardiff or Draw
Confidence72%

Cardiff remain unbeaten on home soil in the league this season with two draws, while Stoke City have suffered defeat in both of their away league matches. Historically, Cardiff have avoided defeat in nine of the previous ten clashes against Stoke, with seven of those matches ending in draws. Given Stoke's defensive absentees and poor away record, Cardiff have a solid probability of picking up at least a point.

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Published September 7, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.