BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Referee
Sam Allison, England
Form

Recent form

Cardiff
56Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +4 goal difference

Stoke City
71Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Cardiff or Draw + BTTS Yes

BetGenius backs Cardiff or Draw + BTTS Yes (Combo Bet) at 72% confidence — a solid call.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Cardiff welcome Stoke City to the Cardiff City Stadium seeking their first league victory of the season. The Bluebirds currently occupy 22nd place in the Championship table with three points from their opening matches, having drawn three and lost one. Despite sitting in the relegation zone, Cardiff have remained competitive at home where they have recorded two draws from two fixtures while finding the net in every league outing.

Stoke City travel to Wales positioned 13th with six points from five matches. The Potters have shown strong home form with two victories, but their travels have been problematic, resulting in two defeats from two away trips with seven goals conceded. Defensive vulnerabilities on the road have been compounded by defensive injuries including Ben Gibson, Alfie Cresswell, and Junior Tchamadeu.

Head-to-head encounters between these two sides have historically been tightly contested, featuring seven draws in the last ten meetings. With Cardiff scoring regularly but yet to record a clean sheet, and Stoke struggling defensively away from home, this encounter shapes up as an open, competitive affair.

Availability

Team news

Cardiff

  • C. ChambersKnee Injury
  • R. ColwillAnkle Injury
  • D. LawlorHamstring Injury
  • G. OshoRed Card
  • Y. SalechInactive

Stoke City

  • A. AmpahKnee Injury
  • E. BocatInjury
  • A. CresswellKnee Injury
  • S. GallagherInjury
  • S. IngelssonMuscle Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Cardiff at homeStoke City away
5
Played
6
2-3-0
W-D-L
3-1-2
2.4
Scored /game
1.3
1.2
Conceded /game
1.7
0%
Clean sheets
17%
0%
Failed to score
0%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.7 goals per game (Cardiff at home plus Stoke City away).

Players

Key players this season

Cardiff

  • J. Moylan6G · 3A
  • O. Tanner3A

Stoke City

  • E. Galbraith3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
3MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+622
4BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+920
5West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+320
6Stoke CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+219
7WolvesPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+318
8SouthamptonPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+1117
9QPR11+317
16Bristol City11-314
17Charlton11-514
18Lincoln11-1012
19Cardiff11+111
20Watford11-911
21Norwich11-49
22BurnleyRelegation - League One11-58
History

Head-to-head

2
Cardiff
7
Draws
1
Stoke City

Cardiff have won 2 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2025-04-12Cardiff0-1Stoke City
  • 2025-02-08Stoke City3-3Cardiff
  • 2024-12-14Stoke City2-2Cardiff
  • 2024-02-24Cardiff2-1Stoke City
  • 2023-11-04Stoke City0-0Cardiff
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%131 won from 207 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedWON
Combo Bet
Cardiff or Draw + BTTS Yes
72%
Both must land · no better than

Cardiff or Draw — 72% confidence

Cardiff remain unbeaten on home soil in the league this season with two draws, while Stoke City have suffered defeat in both of their away league matches. Historically, Cardiff have avoided defeat in nine of the previous ten clashes against Stoke, with seven of those matches ending in draws. Given Stoke's defensive absentees and poor away record, Cardiff have a solid probability of picking up at least a point.

Yes — 76% confidence

Both sides enter this fixture with consistent scoring records and fragile defenses. Cardiff have scored in every league match this season, averaging 1.5 goals per game both overall and at home, yet they have kept zero clean sheets. Stoke City have also scored in all their league games, but their away defense has conceded seven goals in two trips, an average of 3.5 goals against per match. Furthermore, seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these teams have seen both teams find the net.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Both Teams to Score
Yes
76%
Confidence

Both sides enter this fixture with consistent scoring records and fragile defenses. Cardiff have scored in every league match this season, averaging 1.5 goals per game both overall and at home, yet they have kept zero clean sheets. Stoke City have also scored in all their league games, but their away defense has conceded seven goals in two trips, an average of 3.5 goals against per match. Furthermore, seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these teams have seen both teams find the net.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Cardiff or Draw
72%
Confidence

Cardiff remain unbeaten on home soil in the league this season with two draws, while Stoke City have suffered defeat in both of their away league matches. Historically, Cardiff have avoided defeat in nine of the previous ten clashes against Stoke, with seven of those matches ending in draws. Given Stoke's defensive absentees and poor away record, Cardiff have a solid probability of picking up at least a point.

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Published September 7, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.