Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -15 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -5 goal difference
BetGenius backs Moreirense or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Casa Pia enter Matchday 4 of the Primeira Liga campaign in desperate search of their first points of the season. The hosts sit at the bottom of the table in 18th place after losing each of their opening three fixtures, having conceded 10 goals while failing to register a single goal of their own. Coming off heavy defeats including a 7-0 home loss to Benfica and a 2-0 defeat away at Gil Vicente, establishing defensive stability and finding an attacking spark are critical priorities.
Moreirense occupy 16th place with one point from their opening two matches, courtesy of an entertaining 2-2 home draw against SC Braga before suffering a 4-0 defeat away at Arouca. While their away form started with a setback, their showing against European-calibre opposition in Braga demonstrates their capacity to generate chances and score goals.
Historically, this fixture has been evenly balanced across their last seven encounters, with three wins apiece and one draw. However, given Casa Pia's severe goalscoring drought and defensive struggles to open the campaign, the visitors hold a measurable advantage heading into this encounter.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Academico Viseu | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | Vitória SC | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Nacional | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Moreirense | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Famalicao | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 16 | EstorilLiga Portugal (Relegation) | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| 17 | AlvercaRelegation - Liga Portugal 2 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa PiaRelegation - Liga Portugal 2 | 5 | -11 | 1 |
Moreirense have won 4 of the last 8 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game, both teams scored in 63% of them.
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Casa Pia have endured a difficult start to the Primeira Liga season, recording three losses in three matches with zero goals scored and ten conceded. Moreirense have already proven they can find the net, scoring twice against SC Braga. Given the home side's ongoing difficulties in front of goal, backing Moreirense on the double chance offers a well-hedged position.
Published August 28, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.
