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Fri 28 Aug · 19:00

Čelik vs Velež prediction

Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Bilino Polje, Zenica
Referee
L. Bilbija
Form

Recent form

Čelik
54Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +1 goal difference

Velež
48Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Velež or Draw

BetGenius backs Velež or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Čelik host Velež in round four of the Premijer Liga season, with both sides seeking stability after challenging opening fixtures. Čelik enter the matchup rooted to the bottom of the table in 10th place, having suffered three consecutive league defeats against Zrinjski (1-2), Široki Brijeg (1-2), and Borac Banja Luka (0-2). With zero points and six goals conceded across their first three matches, the home side will be eager to reverse their early-season slump.

Velež arrive in Zenica sitting in 7th position with three points from three matches. After consecutive away losses against Borac Banja Luka (1-3) and BSK Banja Luka (0-2), Velež bounced back in their most recent league outing with a 2-0 home victory over Sloga Doboj. While their away form has seen them concede five goals across two trips, that recent win gives them positive momentum heading into this contest.

Historically, the head-to-head between the sides across their two recorded meetings stands balanced at one win apiece, including a 2-0 away victory for Velež in their last meeting at this venue in October 2019. Given Čelik's difficulties in earning points thus far and Velež's recent return to winning ways, the visitors hold a slight upper hand in form.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Čelik have zero points from three league fixtures, conceding two goals in every match for a 2.0 goals-against average.
  2. Velež secured a 2-0 victory against Sloga Doboj in their most recent fixture, lifting them to 7th place.
  3. Čelik have scored just two goals across three league matches (0.67 per game) and failed to score in their last away outing.
  4. In their most recent head-to-head meeting at Čelik, Velež secured a 2-0 away victory.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Čelik at homeVelež away
3
Played
4
2-0-1
W-D-L
0-0-4
2.3
Scored /game
0.5
1.3
Conceded /game
2.8
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.8 goals per game (Čelik at home plus Velež away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4Siroki Brijeg10013
5Zeljeznicar Sarajevo10-113
6BSK Banja Luka10-49
7Čelik10-49
8Sloga Doboj10-89
9Radnik BijeljinaRelegation10-58
10VeležRelegation9-88
History

Head-to-head

1
Čelik
0
Draws
1
Velež

the last 2 meetings are split 1-1 with 0 drawn.

  • 2019-10-25Čelik0-2Velež
  • 2019-08-03Velež1-2Čelik
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Our record in Premijer Liga

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Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Velež or Draw
68%
Confidence

Čelik have lost all three of their Premijer Liga fixtures this season, conceding exactly two goals in each game against Zrinjski, Široki Brijeg, and Borac Banja Luka. Meanwhile, Velež secured their first win of the campaign last time out with a 2-0 victory over Sloga Doboj.

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Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.