BetGenius
Round
League Stage - 3
Venue
Celtic Park, Glasgow
Referee
Georgi Nikolov Kabakov
Form

Recent form

Celtic
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · +3 goal difference

Celta Vigo
69Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Celtic or Draw

BetGenius backs Celtic or Draw (Double Chance) at 62% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

62%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Celtic enter the Europa League tie on a two‑match losing run, scoring an average of one goal per game while conceding 3.5. Their recent five‑game stretch includes a 7‑1 home win against Hearts but also three defeats, and a number of injuries to key outfield players. Celta Vigo share a similar record of two losses, with a lower scoring rate of 0.5 goals per game and conceding 1.5 on average. Their latest five games feature a 2‑1 home win over Alaves but also a 2‑0 loss to Juventus and several injuries among the squad. Both sides have struggled to keep clean sheets and have limited firepower, suggesting a tight, low‑scoring encounter.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Celtic average 1.0 goals per game, Celta Vigo 0.5
  2. Both teams have conceded over one goal per game in recent matches
  3. Recent form shows two straight losses for each side
  4. Injury lists affect multiple defensive and attacking players on both sides
  5. Historical results include a high‑scoring 7‑1 win for Celtic but overall low scoring trend
Availability

Team news

Celtic

  • C. Carter-VickersHealth problems
  • L. EmenaloOff the roster
  • A. JohnstonLeg Injury
  • JotaOff the roster
  • S. MheukaOff the roster
  • Yang Hyun-JunHamstring Injury
  • J. van den BergOff the roster
  • A. TrustyInactive

Celta Vigo

  • J. El AbdellaouiKnee Injury
  • B. IglesiasCalf Injury
  • A. NunezGroin Injury
  • M. RomanKnee Injury
  • C. StarfeltMuscle Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Celtic at homeCelta Vigo away
5
Played
4
4-0-1
W-D-L
0-4-0
2.6
Scored /game
0.3
0.6
Conceded /game
0.3
40%
Clean sheets
—
20%
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (Celtic at home plus Celta Vigo away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
22AnderlechtPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3+13
231899 HoffenheimPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)303
24AC MilanPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3-13
25Celta Vigo3-13
26OFI3-13
27Jagiellonia3-23
28Torreense3-33
32Lech Poznan3-81
33Plzen3-50
34Marseille3-50
35Celtic3-60
36Ararat-Armenia3-90
BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Europa League

60%59 won from 98 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Celtic or Draw
62%
Confidence

Celtic have a modest attacking edge, averaging twice the goals per game of Celta Vigo, while both teams have poor defensive records. The injuries on each side reduce the likelihood of a high‑scoring match. Given Celtic’s home advantage and slightly better scoring form, they are more likely to avoid defeat, but the overall low offensive output points to under 2.5 goals.

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Published October 21, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.