BetGenius

Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia prediction

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Kickoff
Fri, Sep 11, 06:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Ticha, Varna

Recent form

Cherno More Varna
24Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -5 goal difference

Lokomotiv Sofia
19Very poor

Last 4 matches · 0W-1D-3L · -5 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Both Teams to Score
Pick
Yes
Confidence72%

BetGenius backs Yes (Both Teams to Score) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Cherno More Varna host Lokomotiv Sofia in a First League encounter between two sides battling in the bottom section of the table. Cherno More currently sit in 12th position with four points from eight matches, having registered one victory and six defeats while conceding seventeen goals. At home, they have secured one win from three outings, scoring five times but allowing seven.

Lokomotiv Sofia remain rooted to the bottom in 14th place with three points from seven fixtures, having yet to record their first league win with three draws and four losses. Despite their struggles to secure full points, the capital club have shown resilience on their travels, drawing three of their four away matches and scoring five goals away from home.

Both defensive units have encountered persistent difficulties this campaign, with neither team keeping a single clean sheet across fifteen combined matches. That defensive vulnerability, paired with Lokomotiv Sofia finding the net in every fixture they have played, sets up a contest where scoring opportunities should arise at both ends of the pitch.

Key factors

  • Neither side has recorded a clean sheet this season, spanning fifteen combined league matches.
  • Lokomotiv Sofia have scored in all seven of their league fixtures despite sitting bottom of the table.
  • Lokomotiv Sofia have drawn three of their four away matches this campaign.
  • Cherno More Varna have conceded seventeen goals in eight league games, averaging 2.1 per match.
  • Cherno More Varna have won five of the previous ten head-to-head encounters between the teams.

Statistical comparison

Cherno More Varna at home vs Lokomotiv Sofia away
3
Played
4
1-0-2
W-D-L
0-3-1
1.7
Scored /game
1.3
2.3
Conceded /game
1.8
Clean sheets
Failed to score
80%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Cherno More Varna at home plus Lokomotiv Sofia away).

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
9Septemvri Sofiaefbet League (Relegation Group)8-68
10Botev Vratsaefbet League (Relegation Group)8-107
11Lokomotiv Plovdivefbet League (Relegation Group)8-66
12Cherno More Varnaefbet League (Relegation Group)8-94
13Dunav Ruseefbet League (Relegation Group)8-84
14Lokomotiv Sofiaefbet League (Relegation Group)7-63

Head-to-head

Full record →
Cherno More Varna
5
Draws
3
Lokomotiv Sofia
2

Cherno More Varna have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.2 goals a game.

  • 2025-11-22Cherno More Varna 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia
  • 2025-07-18Lokomotiv Sofia 1-1 Cherno More Varna
  • 2024-12-03Cherno More Varna 4-0 Lokomotiv Sofia
  • 2024-08-04Lokomotiv Sofia 2-1 Cherno More Varna
  • 2024-04-04Cherno More Varna 3-0 Lokomotiv Sofia

Our record in First League

55%17 won from 31 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

3 published markets

Combo Bet
Market
Both Teams to Score
Pick
Yes
Confidence72%

Both teams enter this fixture without a single clean sheet to their name across the entire season. Cherno More Varna have conceded seventeen goals in eight league matches, an average of 2.1 per fixture, while allowing seven goals across their three home matches. Lokomotiv Sofia have conceded fourteen goals in seven matches but have managed to score in every single league match they have contested, averaging 1.3 goals per game on their travels. With both defences regularly giving up chances, goals at both ends are well supported by the numbers.

Combo Bet
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Cherno More Varna or Draw
Confidence68%

Lokomotiv Sofia are still searching for their first league victory of the campaign, having drawn three and lost four of their seven fixtures. Cherno More Varna recorded their sole league victory at home with a 3-1 win over Dunav Ruse and hold the upper hand in head-to-head history, winning five of the last ten meetings between the sides while losing just two. Covering the home win and the draw provides balanced coverage against a visiting side that frequently draws on the road.

Featured
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Yes + Cherno More Varna or Draw
Confidence68%

Yes — 72% confidence

Both teams enter this fixture without a single clean sheet to their name across the entire season. Cherno More Varna have conceded seventeen goals in eight league matches, an average of 2.1 per fixture, while allowing seven goals across their three home matches. Lokomotiv Sofia have conceded fourteen goals in seven matches but have managed to score in every single league match they have contested, averaging 1.3 goals per game on their travels. With both defences regularly giving up chances, goals at both ends are well supported by the numbers.

Cherno More Varna or Draw — 68% confidence

Lokomotiv Sofia are still searching for their first league victory of the campaign, having drawn three and lost four of their seven fixtures. Cherno More Varna recorded their sole league victory at home with a 3-1 win over Dunav Ruse and hold the upper hand in head-to-head history, winning five of the last ten meetings between the sides while losing just two. Covering the home win and the draw provides balanced coverage against a visiting side that frequently draws on the road.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

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Published September 10, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.