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Round
Friendly International
Form

Recent form

Congo DR
55Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Uganda
81Excellent

Last 3 matches · 2W-1D-0L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Congo DR or Draw

BetGenius backs Congo DR or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Congo DR enter this friendly fixture in encouraging form, having secured back-to-back victories in late September 2026 with a 2-0 home win over Equatorial Guinea followed by a 2-1 away triumph against Zimbabwe. Their offensive output has been consistent in recent outings, producing multiple goals in three of their last four matches.

Uganda head into the match after a resilient performance against Tunisia, where they earned a 1-1 draw on the road. Prior to that, Uganda faced mixed results, including a 1-3 home loss to Nigeria and a 1-1 stalemate with Tanzania.

Historical clashes between these two sides have typically been tightly contested and low-scoring affairs. Across their three recorded head-to-head meetings, the sides have averaged only one goal per game, with Congo DR claiming a 1-0 win in their most recent friendly clash in June 2023.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Congo DR enter the match following consecutive victories over Equatorial Guinea (2-0) and Zimbabwe (2-1).
  2. Head-to-head encounters between these nations have averaged exactly 1.0 goal per game across three meetings, with none seeing over 2.5 goals.
  3. Uganda proved resilient in their latest outing, holding Tunisia to a 1-1 draw away from home.
  4. Congo DR have conceded an average of 0.7 goals per match at home while recording two clean sheets.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Congo DR at homeUganda away
4
Played
1
1-1-2
W-D-L
1-0-0
0.8
Scored /game
—
1
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
—
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
—
History

Head-to-head

1
Congo DR
1
Draws
2
Uganda

Uganda have won 2 of the last 4 meetings, averaging 1.3 goals a game, only 0% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-02Congo DR0-2Uganda
  • 2023-06-14Congo DR1-0Uganda
  • 2023-01-14Congo DR0-0Uganda
  • 2019-06-22Congo DR0-2Uganda
BetGenius

Our record in Friendlies

62%53 won from 86 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Congo DR or Draw
75%
Confidence

Congo DR have built positive momentum with consecutive wins over Equatorial Guinea and Zimbabwe, showing reliability on home turf where they have kept two clean sheets and conceded an average of just 0.7 goals per match. Uganda showed defensive structure in their 1-1 draw away at Tunisia, but they have struggled to turn draws into wins. Combining Congo DR's current form with the historically low-scoring nature of this matchup points to the home side avoiding defeat in a tight contest.

GoalsWON
Total Goals
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Confidence

Congo DR have seen at least two goals scored in four of their last five fixtures, scoring multiple goals in three of those matches. Uganda have also produced two or more goals in each of their last three fully recorded matches, scoring exactly once in games against Tunisia, Nigeria, and Tanzania. While the historical head-to-head record between these nations averages only 1.0 goal per game and lacks high-scoring history to warrant backing three or more goals, current form supports the expectation of at least two goals being scored.

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Published September 30, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.