BetGenius
Round
Clausura - 13
Venue
Estadio Guillermo Laza, Flores
Referee
Pablo Echavarria
Form

Recent form

Deportivo Riestra
31Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -4 goal difference

Union Santa Fe
16Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Union Santa Fe or Draw

BetGenius backs Union Santa Fe or Draw (Double Chance) at 55% confidence — a moderate call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

55%
Confidence
Moderate
Preview

Match preview

Deportivo Riestra have endured a difficult season, sitting bottom of the table with just 11 points and a goal‑scoring average of 0.5 per game. Their home form shows they are hard to beat, with seven draws out of fourteen matches and a respectable defensive record, keeping six clean sheets at home. Union Santa Fe sit mid‑table in eighth place, with 21 points and a better overall goal average of 1.4, but their recent away form has been poor, losing four of their last five fixtures and scoring only one goal in that span.

The head‑to‑head record is limited to two meetings, one win for Union at home (2‑0) and a goalless draw. This suggests Union have a slight edge, but the games have been low‑scoring. Both teams have struggled to find the net consistently – Riestra average 0.8 goals at home and Union 1.3 goals away – while conceding around one goal per game each. Expect a tight, low‑scoring contest with Union more likely to avoid defeat.

Given the defensive solidity of Riestra at home and Union’s recent away woes, a double‑chance bet on Union to either win or draw offers a balanced approach, while the overall goal expectation points to under 2.5 goals for the match.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Deportivo Riestra are bottom of the table with only 11 points and a low scoring rate
  2. Union Santa Fe have a stronger overall record but have lost four of their last five away games
  3. Riestra have kept six clean sheets at home and recorded seven draws, indicating defensive resilience
  4. Head‑to‑head: Union won 2‑0 at home and the other match ended 0‑0, both low‑scoring
  5. Both teams average below 1.5 goals per game, making under 2.5 goals a likely outcome
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Deportivo Riestra at homeUnion Santa Fe away
14
Played
16
3-7-4
W-D-L
4-3-9
0.8
Scored /game
1.3
0.7
Conceded /game
1.8
43%
Clean sheets
0%
50%
Failed to score
38%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.1 goals per game (Deportivo Riestra at home plus Union Santa Fe away).

Players

Key players this season

Union Santa Fe

  • C. Tarragona14G
  • J. Palacios7A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
5IndependienteKnockout Phase16+424
6LanusKnockout Phase16+324
7San LorenzoKnockout Phase16022
8Union Santa FeKnockout Phase16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
11Gimnasia M.16-819
12Platense16-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16-1016
14Newells Old Boys16-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16-711
History

Head-to-head

0
Deportivo Riestra
2
Draws
1
Union Santa Fe

Union Santa Fe have won 1 of the last 3 meetings.

  • 2026-10-20Deportivo Riestra1-1Union Santa Fe
  • 2026-04-03Union Santa Fe2-0Deportivo Riestra
  • 2024-08-31Union Santa Fe0-0Deportivo Riestra
BetGenius

Our record in Liga Profesional

62%18 won from 29 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Union Santa Fe or Draw
55%
Confidence

Union Santa Fe have a better overall record and sit eight places above Deportivo Riestra. However Union have struggled away recently, losing four of their last five matches, while Riestra have been hard to beat at home, recording seven draws in fourteen games. The head‑to‑head shows Union winning the only recent meeting and a goalless draw previously, indicating a tight contest. With both sides averaging under 1.5 goals per game, a low‑scoring result is likely, supporting a double‑chance bet on Union to avoid defeat.

GoalsWON
Total Goals
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
Confidence

Both teams’ scoring averages combine to roughly 2.3 goals per game, placing the expected total just below the 2.5 mark. Riestra’s low home scoring and solid defensive record limit the likelihood of a high‑scoring encounter, while Santa Fe’s recent goal output is buoyed by a few outlier matches rather than a consistent trend. The head‑to‑head history shows no over 2.5 results, reinforcing that three or more goals are unlikely, but the combined averages suggest that at least two goals is a realistic outcome, supporting an Over 1.5 bet.

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Published October 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.