Derby have found the net in both of their Championship fixtures this season (scoring three goals in total) but have also conceded two goals in each match without keeping a clean sheet. With Derby's last four matches across all competitions seeing both teams find the net, and Swansea having already scored two on the road at Stoke, both sides possess strong pathways to get on the scoresheet.
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -5 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +6 goal difference
Our verdict
SolidBetGenius backs Yes (Both Teams to Score) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Derby County welcome Swansea City to Pride Park in round three of the Championship season, seeking their first league victory. The Rams sit 16th in the table with one point from their opening two fixtures, having drawn 2-2 at home to Cardiff after a 2-1 defeat at Charlton. Defensive vulnerabilities have been evident early on, with Derby conceding four goals in two matches while also dealing with injury absences including Sammie Szmodics, Matt Clarke, Danny Murkin, and Patrick Agyemang.
Swansea have enjoyed a solid start under their current campaign, collecting four points from their opening two games to sit ninth in the standings. Following an impressive 2-1 away victory at Stoke City, the Swans played out a disciplined 0-0 draw at home against Sheffield United. Despite missing Cameron Burgess and Goncalo Franco through injury, their defensive organisation has proved reliable, conceding just one goal across their two league outings.
Head-to-head encounters between the two clubs have historically been evenly matched, with four wins apiece and two draws across their last ten meetings. However, with Derby struggling to keep clean sheets and Swansea demonstrating effective form on the road, the visitors appear well positioned to take positive value from this clash.
Key factors
- Derby have conceded exactly two goals in both of their Championship matches this season (2-1 loss at Charlton, 2-2 draw with Cardiff).
- Swansea are unbeaten through two league rounds (W1, D1), notably winning 2-1 away at Stoke City.
- Derby are contending with multiple fitness issues, with Sammie Szmodics, Matt Clarke, Danny Murkin, and Patrick Agyemang all sidelined.
- Derby have seen both teams score in each of their last four matches across all competitions.
- The 10-game head-to-head record is balanced at four wins each and two draws, averaging 2.2 goals per game.
Team news
Derby
- P. AgyemangAchilles Tendon Injury
- D. MurkinHamstring Injury
- L. TravisInjury
- M. ClarkeCalf Injury
- C. ForsythInactive
- C. MorrisInactive
Swansea
- C. BurgessAchilles Tendon Injury
- G. FrancoAnkle Injury
- R. StewartInjury
Statistical comparison
Derby at home vs Swansea awayKey players this season
Derby
- B. Clark2A
Swansea
- Eom Ji-Sung2G · 2A
- A. Idah2G
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West HamPromotion - Premier League | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 2 | SwanseaPromotion - Premier League | 6 | +4 | 11 |
| 3 | MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals) | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 | QPRPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals) | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Bristol CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 18 | Blackburn | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Lincoln | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 20 | Cardiff | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 | Derby | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 22 | BoltonRelegation - League One | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 23 | BurnleyRelegation - League One | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| 24 | PrestonRelegation - League One | 6 | -6 | 3 |
Head-to-head
Full record →Swansea have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.
- 2026-08-29Derby 0-3 Swansea
- 2026-02-14Derby 2-0 Swansea
- 2025-11-25Swansea 1-2 Derby
- 2025-04-05Swansea 1-0 Derby
- 2024-11-27Derby 1-2 Swansea
Our record in Championship
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.3 published markets
Swansea enter this fixture in positive league form, taking four points from their opening two fixtures including a 2-1 away win at Stoke City. In contrast, Derby have yet to secure a win, picking up one point from two matches while conceding two goals in each game. Backing Swansea in the double chance market provides a solid hedge against Derby's defensive instability and current injury list.
Swansea or Draw — 74% confidence
Swansea enter this fixture in positive league form, taking four points from their opening two fixtures including a 2-1 away win at Stoke City. In contrast, Derby have yet to secure a win, picking up one point from two matches while conceding two goals in each game. Backing Swansea in the double chance market provides a solid hedge against Derby's defensive instability and current injury list.
Yes — 68% confidence
Derby have found the net in both of their Championship fixtures this season (scoring three goals in total) but have also conceded two goals in each match without keeping a clean sheet. With Derby's last four matches across all competitions seeing both teams find the net, and Swansea having already scored two on the road at Stoke, both sides possess strong pathways to get on the scoresheet.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
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Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.