Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -5 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +4 goal difference
BetGenius backs Yes (Both Teams to Score) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Derby County welcome Swansea City to Pride Park in round three of the Championship season, seeking their first league victory. The Rams sit 16th in the table with one point from their opening two fixtures, having drawn 2-2 at home to Cardiff after a 2-1 defeat at Charlton. Defensive vulnerabilities have been evident early on, with Derby conceding four goals in two matches while also dealing with injury absences including Sammie Szmodics, Matt Clarke, Danny Murkin, and Patrick Agyemang.
Swansea have enjoyed a solid start under their current campaign, collecting four points from their opening two games to sit ninth in the standings. Following an impressive 2-1 away victory at Stoke City, the Swans played out a disciplined 0-0 draw at home against Sheffield United. Despite missing Cameron Burgess and Goncalo Franco through injury, their defensive organisation has proved reliable, conceding just one goal across their two league outings.
Head-to-head encounters between the two clubs have historically been evenly matched, with four wins apiece and two draws across their last ten meetings. However, with Derby struggling to keep clean sheets and Swansea demonstrating effective form on the road, the visitors appear well positioned to take positive value from this clash.
Combined scoring rate: 2.5 goals per game (Derby at home plus Swansea away).
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SwanseaPromotion - Premier League | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 2 | West HamPromotion - Premier League | 11 | +18 | 22 |
| 3 | MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals) | 11 | +6 | 22 |
| 4 | BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals) | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 20 | Watford | 11 | -9 | 11 |
| 21 | Norwich | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 22 | BurnleyRelegation - League One | 11 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | DerbyRelegation - League One | 11 | -11 | 6 |
| 24 | PrestonRelegation - League One | 11 | -15 | 4 |
Swansea have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Derby have found the net in both of their Championship fixtures this season (scoring three goals in total) but have also conceded two goals in each match without keeping a clean sheet. With Derby's last four matches across all competitions seeing both teams find the net, and Swansea having already scored two on the road at Stoke, both sides possess strong pathways to get on the scoresheet.
Swansea enter this fixture in positive league form, taking four points from their opening two fixtures including a 2-1 away win at Stoke City. In contrast, Derby have yet to secure a win, picking up one point from two matches while conceding two goals in each game. Backing Swansea in the double chance market provides a solid hedge against Derby's defensive instability and current injury list.
Swansea or Draw — 74% confidence
Swansea enter this fixture in positive league form, taking four points from their opening two fixtures including a 2-1 away win at Stoke City. In contrast, Derby have yet to secure a win, picking up one point from two matches while conceding two goals in each game. Backing Swansea in the double chance market provides a solid hedge against Derby's defensive instability and current injury list.
Yes — 68% confidence
Derby have found the net in both of their Championship fixtures this season (scoring three goals in total) but have also conceded two goals in each match without keeping a clean sheet. With Derby's last four matches across all competitions seeing both teams find the net, and Swansea having already scored two on the road at Stoke, both sides possess strong pathways to get on the scoresheet.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.
