BetGenius

Derby vs West Brom prediction

Checking status…
ChampionshipChampionship
Kickoff
Wed, Sep 9, 06:45 PM
Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
Pride Park, Derby

Recent form

Derby
32Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -5 goal difference

West Brom
52Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
West Brom or Draw
Confidence72%

BetGenius backs West Brom or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Derby host West Bromwich Albion in Championship action with both sides experiencing contrasting starts to the campaign. The Rams sit 20th in the standings with four points from their opening five fixtures, having conceded ten goals so far. Their defensive frailties have been evident at home, where they have conceded five goals across two outings without securing a victory.

West Brom enter the fixture occupying fifth position in the table with ten points. The Baggies have shown consistent attacking output, scoring seven goals across their league games and finding the net in every fixture this season, led by J. Morgan who has two goals and two assists.

While Derby have held a solid historical record in recent head-to-head encounters against West Brom, the hosts enter this contest managing a lengthy list of absentees including P. Agyemang, D. Murkin, L. Travis, and M. Clarke. West Brom will look to exploit Derby's defensive instability to take points on the road.

Key factors

  • West Brom sit 5th in the Championship table with 10 points from 5 matches, while Derby are 20th with 4 points.
  • Derby have conceded 10 goals in 5 league games this season, including 5 goals conceded in 2 home fixtures.
  • West Brom have scored in 100% of their competitive games this season, averaging 1.75 goals scored per match.
  • Derby are missing several key players through injury and unavailability, including P. Agyemang, D. Murkin, L. Travis, and M. Clarke.
  • West Brom's J. Morgan has been in strong form, contributing two goals and two assists.

Team news

Derby

  • P. AgyemangAchilles Tendon Injury
  • D. MurkinHamstring Injury
  • L. TravisInjury
  • M. ClarkeCalf Injury
  • C. ForsythInactive
  • C. MorrisInactive

West Brom

  • M. JohnstonBroken Leg

Statistical comparison

Derby at home vs West Brom away
2
Played
2
0-1-1
W-D-L
1-0-1
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Key players this season

Derby

  • B. Clark2A

West Brom

  • J. Morgan2G · 2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
3MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)5+310
4QPRPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)5+310
5Bristol CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)5+210
6West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)5+210
7CharltonPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)5-110
8MillwallPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)5+29
9Sheffield Utd609
18Blackburn6-25
19Lincoln5-25
20Cardiff6-34
21Derby5-54
22BoltonRelegation - League One6-64
23BurnleyRelegation - League One6-63
24PrestonRelegation - League One6-63

Head-to-head

Full record →
Derby
5
Draws
4
West Brom
1

Derby have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.8 goals a game, only 20% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-01-23Derby 1-1 West Brom
  • 2025-09-13West Brom 0-1 Derby
  • 2025-08-12West Brom 1-1 Derby
  • 2025-04-21West Brom 1-3 Derby
  • 2024-12-26Derby 2-1 West Brom

Our record in Championship

63%52 won from 82 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

Featured
Market
Double Chance
Pick
West Brom or Draw
Confidence72%

West Brom sit 15 places higher in the Championship table with ten points compared to Derby's four. The visitors have found the net in every competitive match this season, averaging 1.75 goals per game overall. Derby have struggled defensively, conceding ten goals across five league matches (an average of 2.0 per game) and failing to win either of their two home games this season. With Derby missing multiple squad members through injury, West Brom are well placed to secure at least a point.

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Published September 7, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.