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Sat 10 Oct · 15:00

Derby vs Wrexham prediction

Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Referee
Matt Donohue, England
Form

Recent form

Derby
22Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -5 goal difference

Wrexham
55Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Wrexham or Draw

BetGenius backs Wrexham or Draw (Double Chance) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Derby welcome Wrexham to Pride Park sitting 22nd in the Championship table, having accumulated five points from their opening eight fixtures. The Rams have found results difficult to secure on home soil, remaining without a home victory across four matches with one draw and three defeats while conceding eight goals.

Wrexham arrive positioned 14th with ten points, having shown steady resilience across their eight matches with two wins and four draws. Their away record features a 3-0 victory at Millwall and a scoreless draw at Swansea, backed by two clean sheets away from home.

Both squads enter the contest managing several absences. Derby have seven players sidelined through injury including J. Widell Zetterstrom and C. Forsyth, while Wrexham travel without six players including N. Broadhead and M. Cleworth. With Derby scoring only three goals in four home fixtures, Wrexham have an opportunity to secure points on the road.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Derby are winless at home this season, recording one draw and three defeats across four fixtures.
  2. Wrexham have avoided defeat in three of their four away matches, earning two clean sheets.
  3. Wrexham won 2-1 on their previous visit to Pride Park and drew 1-1 in the reverse meeting.
  4. Derby have conceded eight goals in four home league games, averaging two goals against per match.
  5. Derby have failed to score in two of their four home matches, averaging only 0.8 goals scored at Pride Park.
Availability

Team news

Derby

  • P. AgyemangAchilles Tendon Injury
  • M. ClarkeCalf Injury
  • C. ForsythKnee Injury
  • S. LangasInjury
  • D. MurkinHamstring Injury
  • C. TaylorInjury
  • J. Widell ZetterstromKnee Injury
  • E. CashinInactive
  • M. JohnstonInactive

Wrexham

  • N. BroadheadThigh Injury
  • L. CacaceCalf Injury
  • M. CleworthMuscle Injury
  • B. SheafInjury
  • G. ThomasonThigh Injury
  • J. WindassAnkle Injury
  • S. RevanHamstring Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Derby at homeWrexham away
6
Played
5
0-2-4
W-D-L
1-3-1
0.7
Scored /game
1
1.7
Conceded /game
1.6
0%
Clean sheets
40%
50%
Failed to score
40%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 1.7 goals per game (Derby at home plus Wrexham away).

Players

Key players this season

Wrexham

  • K. Moore5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
11Sheffield Utd11+115
12Millwall11015
13Portsmouth11015
14Wrexham11-114
15Bolton11-314
16Bristol City11-314
17Charlton11-514
20Watford11-911
21Norwich11-49
22BurnleyRelegation - League One11-58
23DerbyRelegation - League One11-116
24PrestonRelegation - League One11-154
History

Head-to-head

0
Derby
2
Draws
1
Wrexham

Wrexham have won 1 of the last 3 meetings.

  • 2026-10-10Derby1-1Wrexham
  • 2026-01-04Derby1-2Wrexham
  • 2025-09-27Wrexham1-1Derby
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%131 won from 207 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Wrexham or Draw
70%
Confidence

Derby enter this fixture searching for their first home win of the season, having drawn once and lost three of their four matches at Pride Park while conceding an average of two goals per game. They sit in the relegation zone with five points from eight games and have struggled for offensive rhythm at home, scoring only three goals in four attempts.

Wrexham have proved competitive on their travels, taking points from three of their four away trips with a 3-0 win at Millwall, a 0-0 draw at Swansea, and two clean sheets. Head-to-head history also tilts towards the visitors, who won 2-1 on their last visit to Pride Park and drew 1-1 at home. Backing Wrexham to either win or draw aligns well with Derby's poor home return and Wrexham's ability to pick up points away.

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Published October 8, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.