BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar
Form

Recent form

Eibar W
47Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -2 goal difference

Madrid CFF W
41Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Eibar W or Draw

BetGenius backs Eibar W or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Eibar host Madrid CFF in a closely contested Liga F clash. Both sides sit mid‑table with Eibar on 11 points in 7 games (rank 7) and Madrid CFF on 13 points (rank 5). Eibar have been solid at home defensively, keeping two clean sheets and conceding just 1.8 goals per game, while Madrid CFF have struggled away, conceding 3.3 goals per game and yet remaining unbeaten in their three away outings.

Head‑to‑head meetings heavily favour Madrid CFF, who have won seven of the last ten encounters, including a recent 3‑1 away victory. However, those games have often produced plenty of goals – 80 % of the meetings featured over 2.5 goals – while the teams’ recent scoring rates are modest (around 1.3 goals per side per game). The combined evidence points to a tight, potentially low‑scoring affair where Eibar are likely to avoid defeat.

Given the defensive resilience of the home side and the difficulty Madrid CFF have shown when playing away, a bet that Eibar will either win or draw seems the safest choice, complemented by an expectation of at least three goals in total.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Eibar concede only 1.8 goals per game at home, the best among the two sides
  2. Madrid CFF have conceded 3.3 goals per game in their three away matches
  3. Recent head‑to‑head meetings have produced over 2.5 goals in 80 % of games
  4. Both teams average around 1.3 goals per game, indicating a likely low‑scoring contest
  5. Madrid CFF are unbeaten away but have not won any of those matches
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Eibar W at homeMadrid CFF W away
4
Played
3
2-0-2
W-D-L
1-0-2
1.3
Scored /game
1.3
1.8
Conceded /game
3.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Eibar W at home plus Madrid CFF W away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2Real Madrid WCL women7+216
3Atletico Madrid Wwomen Qualifying8+715
4Athletic Club W7+414
5Madrid CFF W7-213
6Granad. Tenerife W7-111
7Eibar W7-111
8Granada7-310
9Espanyol W7+18
10Deportivo de La Coruña W708
History

Head-to-head

3
Eibar W
0
Draws
7
Madrid CFF W

Madrid CFF W have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.3 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2026-01-17Eibar W1-3Madrid CFF W
  • 2025-09-06Madrid CFF W1-0Eibar W
  • 2025-02-08Eibar W1-2Madrid CFF W
  • 2024-11-16Madrid CFF W2-1Eibar W
  • 2024-03-09Madrid CFF W1-2Eibar W
BetGenius

Our record in Liga F

84%43 won from 51 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Eibar W or Draw
68%
Confidence

Eibar’s home record shows they concede few goals and have kept two clean sheets this season, while Madrid CFF have the worst away defensive numbers in the league. The recent head‑to‑head results favour Madrid CFF but many of those games were high‑scoring, suggesting that the defensive balance could keep the match tight. Combining a solid home defence with an opponent that concedes heavily away gives Eibar a good chance to stay unbeaten, making the HOME_OR_DRAW double chance the most supported market.

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Published October 24, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.