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Sat 17 Oct · 19:45

Estac Troyes vs Lens prediction

Follow Estac TroyesFollow LensFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Referee
Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Estac Troyes
14Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -8 goal difference

Lens
49Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Lens or Draw

BetGenius backs Lens or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Estac Troyes welcome Lens to Stade de l'Aube looking to climb out of the automatic relegation places. Troyes have endured a difficult start to the campaign, sitting seventeenth in the table with four points from six games and possessing a defensive record that has seen them concede thirteen goals, including eight across three home matches.

Lens enter this fixture in tenth position with seven points from six matches. While their domestic away record shows two defeats and a draw, their attack has remained potent, registering eleven goals overall with key playmaker Florian Thauvin contributing four assists across the early part of the season.

Recent historical meetings between these sides heavily tilt toward the visitors, with Lens winning seven of the last ten encounters. With Troyes struggling to keep opponents off the scoresheet and missing four players through injury, Lens hold an advantageous position to secure at least a point on the road.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Troyes have conceded 13 goals in 6 league matches, averaging 2.7 goals against per game on home turf.
  2. Lens have won seven of the last ten meetings with Troyes across all competitions, including a 4-2 away victory in February 2026.
  3. Troyes remain winless at home this season with one draw and two losses from three outings.
  4. Lens have scored 11 goals in six matches, aided by Florian Thauvin providing four assists.
  5. Both clubs deal with absences, including a suspension for Lens defender Matthieu Udol and four injuries on either side.
Availability

Team news

Estac Troyes

  • Y. KoneKnee Injury
  • A. OuzenadjiKnee Injury
  • Y. TitiLeg Injury
  • I. BouraHip Injury

Lens

  • M. NawrockiKnee Injury
  • A. SimaMuscle Injury
  • I. GaniouKnee Injury
  • J. GraditMuscle Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Estac Troyes at homeLens away
4
Played
4
0-1-3
W-D-L
1-1-2
0.8
Scored /game
1.8
2.8
Conceded /game
1.8
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Estac Troyes at home plus Lens away).

Players

Key players this season

Lens

  • F. Thauvin6A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
6RennesPlay-offs7+113
7Lorient7+111
8Nice8-211
9Lens7+310
10Marseille7+49
11Stade Brestois 298+29
12Toulouse7+19
14Strasbourg7-37
15Angers7-67
16Le MansRelegation Playoffs7-56
17Estac TroyesRelegation7-114
18Le HavreRelegation7-62
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
2
Estac Troyes
1
Draws
7
Lens

Lens have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-02-04Estac Troyes2-4Lens
  • 2023-01-28Estac Troyes1-1Lens
  • 2022-09-09Lens1-0Estac Troyes
  • 2022-05-14Estac Troyes1-3Lens
  • 2021-11-05Lens4-0Estac Troyes
BetGenius

Our record in Ligue 1

53%53 won from 100 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Lens or Draw
74%
Confidence

Troyes have struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 2.7 goals per game at home and failing to record a single home victory in three attempts. Lens possess significant attacking quality, averaging 1.8 goals per match and failing to score in only one of their six league fixtures. Furthermore, Lens have won seven of the past ten head-to-head meetings between the clubs, including a 4-2 cup victory at this venue earlier in the year. Although Lens are still seeking their first away league win and miss defender Matthieu Udol to suspension alongside four injured players, Troyes' defensive vulnerabilities make an away result or a draw the most probable outcome.

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Published October 15, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.