BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Referee
Guillaume Paradis, France
Form

Recent form

Estac Troyes
14Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -8 goal difference

Marseille
45Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Estac Troyes or Draw

BetGenius backs Estac Troyes or Draw (Double Chance) at 66% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

66%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Estac Troyes welcome Marseille to the Stade de l'Aube in a round six Ligue 1 encounter between two sides currently occupying spots in the relegation zone. Troyes sit in 16th place with four points from five fixtures, having snapped a three-match losing sequence with a 2-2 draw away to Dijon. Defensively, Troyes have found the going tough, conceding 11 times across their five matches, but they have shown competitive flashes in attack.

Marseille arrive in 17th position with three points after losing four of their opening five league fixtures. Les Phoceens are currently enduring a five-match losing run across all competitions, which includes defeats to Monaco, Rennes, and Paris Saint-Germain in Ligue 1. Away from home in the league, Marseille have struggled significantly in front of goal, failing to find the net in either of their two road games and losing both without scoring.

Squad availability presents serious questions for the visitors, who travel without top scorer A. Gouiri, who has scored four goals this season, alongside suspended winger T. Weah and injured midfielders P. Hojbjerg and G. Kondogbia. Troyes also face several fitness absences, including I. Boura, P. Gozzi, and M. Ifnaoui, making this a test of depth and organization for two struggling squads.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Marseille have lost each of their last five matches across all competitions.
  2. Marseille have scored zero goals in two away Ligue 1 fixtures this season.
  3. Marseille top scorer A. Gouiri is sidelined with a thigh injury.
  4. Troyes ended their three-match losing run with a 2-2 away draw at Dijon.
  5. Key Marseille midfielders P. Hojbjerg and G. Kondogbia are both unavailable through injury.
Availability

Team news

Estac Troyes

  • Y. KoneKnee Injury
  • A. OuzenadjiKnee Injury
  • Y. TitiLeg Injury
  • I. BouraHip Injury

Marseille

  • D. CorneliusHip Injury
  • A. Koum MbondoIllness
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Estac Troyes at homeMarseille away
4
Played
4
0-1-3
W-D-L
2-0-2
0.8
Scored /game
1.8
2.8
Conceded /game
1.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Estac Troyes at home plus Marseille away).

Players

Key players this season

Marseille

  • A. Gouiri5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
7Lorient7+111
8Nice8-211
9Lens7+310
10Marseille7+49
11Stade Brestois 298+29
12Toulouse7+19
13Auxerre7-69
14Strasbourg7-37
15Angers7-67
16Le MansRelegation Playoffs7-56
17Estac TroyesRelegation7-114
18Le HavreRelegation7-62
History

Head-to-head

0
Estac Troyes
2
Draws
8
Marseille

Marseille have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.1 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-10-11Estac Troyes0-2Marseille
  • 2023-04-16Marseille3-1Estac Troyes
  • 2023-01-11Estac Troyes0-2Marseille
  • 2022-02-27Estac Troyes1-1Marseille
  • 2021-11-28Marseille1-0Estac Troyes
BetGenius

Our record in Ligue 1

53%53 won from 100 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Estac Troyes or Draw
66%
Confidence

Marseille enter this fixture having lost their last five matches in all competitions, including consecutive Ligue 1 away defeats at Monaco and Rennes. Their road form has been particularly sterile, having scored zero goals across two away league outings. Furthermore, their attacking threat is significantly compromised by the absence of leading scorer A. Gouiri through injury and T. Weah through suspension, while midfield structure is depleted without P. Hojbjerg and G. Kondogbia. Troyes secured a 2-2 draw at Dijon last time out and have an opportunity on home soil to take points off an out-of-sorts visitor lacking key personnel.

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Published October 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.