BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 5
Venue
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Referee
Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal
Form

Recent form

Estoril
26Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -3 goal difference

Arouca
65Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Arouca or Draw + BTTS Yes

BetGenius backs Arouca or Draw + BTTS Yes (Combo Bet) at 64% confidence — a solid call.

64%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Estoril welcome high-flying Arouca to the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota in round five of the Primeira Liga. The hosts have endured a difficult start to the campaign, sitting seventeenth in the table with just a single point from their opening four matches. Having failed to win any of their league games and conceding seven times, Estoril enter this clash under immediate pressure to reverse their downward trajectory.

In stark contrast, Arouca have enjoyed an impressive opening stretch, picking up nine points from a possible twelve to sit third in the standings. Their attacking unit has been lively, propelled by striker Barbero with three goals and playmaker N. Djouahra contributing three assists. Their only defeat so far came on the road against Porto, balanced by three confident victories.

Historical encounters between these two sides suggest an entertaining contest, with their ten-match head-to-head record producing an average of 3.8 goals per match and both teams scoring in 70 percent of those meetings. While Estoril will look to leverage home advantage to spark their season, Arouca arrive carrying clearly superior form and momentum.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Estoril at homeArouca away
4
Played
4
0-2-2
W-D-L
1-2-1
0.5
Scored /game
0.8
1.3
Conceded /game
1
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 1.3 goals per game (Estoril at home plus Arouca away).

Players

Key players this season

Arouca

  • Barbero5G
  • N. Djouahra5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2BenficaPromotion - Champions League (League phase)8+1719
3Sporting CPPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)8+1118
4Santa ClaraPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)8+818
5AroucaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)8+414
6GIL Vicente8+214
7Academico Viseu8+114
8Alverca8+111
15Rio Ave8-97
16NacionalLiga Portugal (Relegation)8-94
17Casa PiaRelegation - Liga Portugal 28-144
18EstorilRelegation - Liga Portugal 28-82
History

Head-to-head

3
Estoril
2
Draws
5
Arouca

Arouca have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.6 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-09-07Estoril0-0Arouca
  • 2026-04-06Arouca3-2Estoril
  • 2025-11-07Estoril4-3Arouca
  • 2025-03-16Arouca1-1Estoril
  • 2024-10-26Estoril4-1Arouca
BetGenius

Our record in Primeira Liga

69%50 won from 72 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
Arouca or Draw + BTTS Yes
64%
Both must land · no better than

Arouca or Draw — 75% confidence

Arouca have begun the campaign in strong form, recording three victories from four league outings and conceding only three goals in total. Estoril, meanwhile, have failed to record a victory this season, taking only one point from four matches while allowing 1.75 goals per game. Covering the visitors to win or draw is strongly backed by the contrast in recent performances and defensive stability.

Yes — 64% confidence

Head-to-head fixtures between Estoril and Arouca have consistently produced goals at both ends, with 70 percent of their last ten meetings seeing both teams score, including high-scoring encounters of 3-2 and 4-3 in the past two clashes. Estoril have struggled for clean sheets across their four matches, while Arouca have scored seven times already this term.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
Confidence

Head-to-head fixtures between Estoril and Arouca have consistently produced goals at both ends, with 70 percent of their last ten meetings seeing both teams score, including high-scoring encounters of 3-2 and 4-3 in the past two clashes. Estoril have struggled for clean sheets across their four matches, while Arouca have scored seven times already this term.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Arouca or Draw
75%
Confidence

Arouca have begun the campaign in strong form, recording three victories from four league outings and conceding only three goals in total. Estoril, meanwhile, have failed to record a victory this season, taking only one point from four matches while allowing 1.75 goals per game. Covering the visitors to win or draw is strongly backed by the contrast in recent performances and defensive stability.

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Published September 6, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.