BetGenius

Estoril vs Arouca prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Mon, Sep 7, 07:15 PM
Round
Regular Season - 5
Venue
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Referee
F. Verissimo

Recent form

Estoril
19Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -5 goal difference

Arouca
72Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +6 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Arouca or Draw + Yes
Confidence64%

BetGenius backs Arouca or Draw + Yes (Combo Bet) at 64% confidence — a solid call.

Match preview

Estoril welcome high-flying Arouca to the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota in round five of the Primeira Liga. The hosts have endured a difficult start to the campaign, sitting seventeenth in the table with just a single point from their opening four matches. Having failed to win any of their league games and conceding seven times, Estoril enter this clash under immediate pressure to reverse their downward trajectory.

In stark contrast, Arouca have enjoyed an impressive opening stretch, picking up nine points from a possible twelve to sit third in the standings. Their attacking unit has been lively, propelled by striker Barbero with three goals and playmaker N. Djouahra contributing three assists. Their only defeat so far came on the road against Porto, balanced by three confident victories.

Historical encounters between these two sides suggest an entertaining contest, with their ten-match head-to-head record producing an average of 3.8 goals per match and both teams scoring in 70 percent of those meetings. While Estoril will look to leverage home advantage to spark their season, Arouca arrive carrying clearly superior form and momentum.

Statistical comparison

Estoril at home vs Arouca away
2
Played
2
0-1-1
W-D-L
1-0-1
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
60%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Key players this season

Arouca

  • Barbero3G
  • N. Djouahra3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
2Sporting CPPromotion - Champions League (League phase)5+913
3Santa ClaraPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)5+611
4BenficaPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)4+1110
5AroucaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)5+410
6GIL Vicente4+27
7SC Braga3+27
8Maritimo5-27
13Moreirense4-44
14Famalicao5-23
15Rio Ave5-93
16EstorilLiga Portugal (Relegation)5-52
17AlvercaRelegation - Liga Portugal 25-52
18Casa PiaRelegation - Liga Portugal 25-111

Head-to-head

Full record →
Estoril
3
Draws
2
Arouca
5

Arouca have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.6 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-09-07Estoril 0-0 Arouca
  • 2026-04-06Arouca 3-2 Estoril
  • 2025-11-07Estoril 4-3 Arouca
  • 2025-03-16Arouca 1-1 Estoril
  • 2024-10-26Estoril 4-1 Arouca

Our record in Primeira Liga

82%23 won from 28 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Arouca or Draw + Yes
Confidence64%

Arouca or Draw — 75% confidence

Arouca have begun the campaign in strong form, recording three victories from four league outings and conceding only three goals in total. Estoril, meanwhile, have failed to record a victory this season, taking only one point from four matches while allowing 1.75 goals per game. Covering the visitors to win or draw is strongly backed by the contrast in recent performances and defensive stability.

Yes — 64% confidence

Head-to-head fixtures between Estoril and Arouca have consistently produced goals at both ends, with 70 percent of their last ten meetings seeing both teams score, including high-scoring encounters of 3-2 and 4-3 in the past two clashes. Estoril have struggled for clean sheets across their four matches, while Arouca have scored seven times already this term.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Market
Both Teams to Score
Pick
Yes
Confidence64%

Head-to-head fixtures between Estoril and Arouca have consistently produced goals at both ends, with 70 percent of their last ten meetings seeing both teams score, including high-scoring encounters of 3-2 and 4-3 in the past two clashes. Estoril have struggled for clean sheets across their four matches, while Arouca have scored seven times already this term.

Combo BetWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Arouca or Draw
Confidence75%

Arouca have begun the campaign in strong form, recording three victories from four league outings and conceding only three goals in total. Estoril, meanwhile, have failed to record a victory this season, taking only one point from four matches while allowing 1.75 goals per game. Covering the visitors to win or draw is strongly backed by the contrast in recent performances and defensive stability.

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Published September 6, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.