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Sun 20 Sept · 18:00

Estoril vs Casa Pia prediction

Follow Estoril Follow Casa Pia Follow this match

Round: Regular Season - 7
Venue: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Cascais
Referee: Pedro Ramalho, Portugal

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Estoril

26Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -3 goal difference

Casa Pia

52Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals

Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

A crucial bottom-of-the-table clash takes place in the Primeira Liga as seventeenth-placed Estoril host eighteenth-placed Casa Pia, with both teams searching for their first league victory of the season.

Estoril have collected two points from their five matches, relying on defensive structure at home where they have conceded three goals in three fixtures. However, generating chances has proved problematic, with the team averaging only 0.4 goals per game overall and failing to score in two of their three home fixtures.

Casa Pia travel sitting bottom of the table with one point from six matches, largely due to severe attacking difficulties. The visitors have scored just once all season across six games and have yet to register an away goal in three attempts, though their away defense has been comparatively tighter, conceding one goal per game on average on the road.

Analysis

Key factors

Casa Pia have failed to score in five of their six league fixtures this season, including all three away games.
Estoril have averaged only 0.3 goals scored per match across their three home fixtures.
Casa Pia have conceded just three goals in three away matches, keeping their road games low-scoring.
The most recent head-to-head meeting between the two sides finished in a 0-0 draw.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Estoril at homeCasa Pia away

Played

0-2-2

W-D-L

1-1-2

0.5

Scored /game

0.5

1.3

Conceded /game

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

60%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

40%

Combined scoring rate: 1 goals per game (Estoril at home plus Casa Pia away).

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
14	Famalicao	8	-1	7
15	Rio Ave	8	-9	7
16	NacionalLiga Portugal (Relegation)	8	-9	4
17	Casa PiaRelegation - Liga Portugal 2	8	-14	4
18	EstorilRelegation - Liga Portugal 2	8	-8	2

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

3
Estoril: 5
Draws: 2
Casa Pia

Estoril have won 3 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game.

2026-09-20Estoril1-2Casa Pia
2026-03-07Estoril0-0Casa Pia
2025-10-03Casa Pia2-2Estoril
2025-04-29Casa Pia1-3Estoril
2024-12-15Estoril0-2Casa Pia

BetGenius

Our record in Primeira Liga

70%49 won from 70 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST

Total Goals

Under 2.5 Goals

75%

Confidence

Both sides enter this contest with severe offensive limitations. Estoril have scored only two goals across five league games, averaging 0.3 goals scored per game at home. Casa Pia have been even more constrained going forward, managing a single goal in six matches and failing to score in all three of their away trips. Furthermore, Casa Pia's away matches have averaged just one total goal per match. With both teams struggling to convert in the final third and their most recent head-to-head meeting finishing in a goalless draw, a low-scoring encounter under the 2.5 total goals mark is strongly indicated.

Explore

Estoril vs Casa Pia prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Primeira Liga

1 published market

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