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Primeira LigaPrimeira Liga
15:30
Sat 24 Oct

Estrela vs Casa Pia prediction

Follow EstrelaFollow Casa PiaFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora
Referee
Bruno Pires Costa

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Estrela
48Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Casa Pia
52Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Estrela or Draw

BetGenius backs Estrela or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Estrela welcome Casa Pia in round nine of the Primeira Liga with both sides looking to build momentum after mixed starts to the campaign. Estrela sit tenth in the table with ten points from eight games, having secured two wins and four draws while scoring fourteen goals.

Casa Pia enter this contest in seventeenth position within the relegation zone, having collected four points from their opening eight league fixtures. Their campaign has been hampered by offensive struggles, scoring just three goals in the league and failing to score in six of their eight matches.

While Casa Pia have proved slightly firmer away from home by conceding only four goals across four away fixtures, Estrela possess greater attacking punch through A. Marcus and L. Antonetti, each of whom has scored four times this season.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Casa Pia have scored just three goals in eight Primeira Liga matches and failed to score in six of them.
  2. Estrela have lost only two of their eight league matches this season, compiling two wins and four draws.
  3. A. Marcus and L. Antonetti have each scored four goals for Estrela in the league.
  4. Casa Pia sit seventeenth in the table having suffered six defeats in eight games.
  5. Estrela won the most recent league clash between these clubs 4-0 in March 2026.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Estrela at homeCasa Pia away
4
Played
4
1-2-1
W-D-L
1-1-2
1.5
Scored /game
0.5
1.8
Conceded /game
1
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2 goals per game (Estrela at home plus Casa Pia away).

Players

Key players this season

Estrela

  • A. Marcus4G
  • L. Antonetti4G
  • Eddy Doue3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
7Academico Viseu8+114
8Alverca8+111
9SC Braga8-111
10Estrela8-110
11Vitória SC908
12Moreirense8-78
13Maritimo9-108
14Famalicao8-17
15Rio Ave8-97
16NacionalLiga Portugal (Relegation)8-94
17Casa PiaRelegation - Liga Portugal 28-144
18EstorilRelegation - Liga Portugal 28-82
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
5
Estrela
1
Draws
4
Casa Pia

Estrela have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game.

  • 2026-07-18Estrela1-2Casa Pia
  • 2026-03-20Estrela4-0Casa Pia
  • 2025-11-01Casa Pia3-5Estrela
  • 2025-02-09Casa Pia1-0Estrela
  • 2024-08-31Estrela0-1Casa Pia
BetGenius

Our record in Primeira Liga

70%49 won from 70 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Estrela or Draw
76%
Confidence

Estrela have suffered only two defeats in eight league matches, showing consistency through four draws and two victories. Their attack has produced fourteen goals, powered by A. Marcus and L. Antonetti with four goals each and Eddy Doue with three assists.

Casa Pia have lost six of their eight league matches and scored just three goals in total, failing to find the net in three of their four away league trips. While Casa Pia have conceded only four goals on the road to keep games relatively tight, their limited offensive output leaves them with few paths to a win. Backing Estrela to avoid defeat provides strong coverage against a side struggling for goals.

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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.