BetGenius
Round
Clausura - 11
Venue
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
Referee
Y. Perez
Form

Recent form

Estudiantes L.P.
42Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · +1 goal difference

Gimnasia M.
33Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Estudiantes L.P. or Draw

BetGenius backs Estudiantes L.P. or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Estudiantes L.P. host Gimnasia M. looking to defend their position at the top of the Clausura table, where they currently lead with 31 points from 16 matches. Despite a recent dip in results that saw them suffer three consecutive defeats across all competitions, the hosts have maintained a sturdy record on their own ground, winning eight of their 14 home fixtures and allowing just eight goals.

Gimnasia M. travel sitting 11th in the standings on 19 points with a minus eight goal difference. Their away record has shown vulnerability throughout the campaign, recording seven defeats and conceding 20 goals across 13 road trips. They also arrive winless in their last three games, having failed to score in their most recent outings against Defensa Y Justicia and Deportivo Riestra.

With the previous head-to-head meeting this year resulting in a 2-1 away victory for Estudiantes L.P., the home side holds both the psychological edge and superior underlying defensive numbers to dictate the tempo of this encounter.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Estudiantes L.P. have conceded only eight goals across 14 home fixtures this season, averaging 0.6 goals against per game.
  2. Gimnasia M. have lost seven of their 13 away matches, allowing 20 goals in the process.
  3. Estudiantes L.P. lead the division on 31 points with a positive goal difference of 12.
  4. Gimnasia M. have failed to score in six of their 13 away matches this campaign.
  5. Estudiantes L.P. won the previous meeting between the two sides 2-1 earlier in the season.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Estudiantes L.P. at homeGimnasia M. away
6
Played
14
2-4-0
W-D-L
3-3-8
1
Scored /game
0.8
0.7
Conceded /game
1.6
33%
Clean sheets
21%
17%
Failed to score
50%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 1.8 goals per game (Estudiantes L.P. at home plus Gimnasia M. away).

Players

Key players this season

Gimnasia M.

  • A. Módica13G
  • F. Lencioni7A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Knockout Phase16+1231
2Boca JuniorsKnockout Phase16+1330
3Velez SarsfieldKnockout Phase16+628
4Talleres CordobaKnockout Phase16+426
8Union Santa FeKnockout Phase16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
11Gimnasia M.16-819
12Platense16-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16-1016
14Newells Old Boys16-1215
History

Head-to-head

1
Estudiantes L.P.
0
Draws
0
Gimnasia M.

Estudiantes L.P. have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

  • 2026-03-18Gimnasia M.1-2Estudiantes L.P.
BetGenius

Our record in Liga Profesional

62%18 won from 29 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Estudiantes L.P. or Draw
76%
Confidence

Estudiantes L.P. have conceded an average of only 0.6 goals per game at home this season and kept seven clean sheets in 14 home fixtures. Gimnasia M. have found it difficult on their travels, losing seven of 13 away matches and conceding 20 goals. While Estudiantes have suffered recent setbacks, their disciplined home structure makes them well-positioned to take at least a point against an opponent that averages 0.8 goals per game on the road.

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Published October 5, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.