Senegal or Draw — 72% confidence
Senegal possess strong offensive capabilities across their recent fixtures, having scored in every one of their last five matches across all competitions. Ethiopia struggled to create chances in their most recent qualifier, failing to score in a 1-0 defeat away to Sudan. Covering the draw alongside an away victory provides a balanced position given Ethiopia's resilience at home.
Under 2.5 Goals — 75% confidence
Ethiopia have seen all of their recent competitive home fixtures finish with two or fewer goals, including 1-0 wins over Malawi and Sao Tome and Principe and a 1-1 draw with Malawi. Their qualification campaign as a whole features a goals against average of only 0.3 per match. Senegal's opening group match also remained tight in a 1-1 draw at Mozambique, pointing towards another low-scoring affair.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.