BetGenius

Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Sat, Aug 29, 04:00 PM
Round
1/128-finals

Recent form

Fátima
82Excellent

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +11 goal difference

Benfica Castelo Branco
35Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -4 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Fátima or Draw
Confidence78%

BetGenius backs Fátima or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Fátima host Benfica Castelo Branco in the 1/128-finals of the Taça de Portugal, with both sides looking to progress in knockout cup action. The hosts enter the clash carrying momentum from an unbeaten five-match sequence, including an emphatic 5-0 home victory against Atlético Malveira in their most recent fixture.

Benfica Castelo Branco arrive following a mixed run of form, having won two and lost three of their previous five matches across all competitions. Their defensive resilience has been tested recently, conceding four goals in a 1-4 home defeat against Naval 1893 and shipping 12 goals across their last five games.

Historical head-to-head records at this venue heavily favour Fátima, who have won all three previous home encounters against Benfica Castelo Branco, including a decisive 4-1 victory in April 2026. While cup knockout ties can produce volatility, Fátima's current home form gives them a distinct statistical edge.

Key factors

  • Fátima are undefeated across their last five matches, recording three wins and two draws while scoring 15 goals.
  • Fátima hold a 100% home record against Benfica Castelo Branco across three historical meetings, winning 4-1, 1-0, and 1-0.
  • Benfica Castelo Branco have conceded 12 goals over their last five games, including conceding four goals in two separate fixtures.
  • The most recent direct encounter between the sides ended in a 4-1 home victory for Fátima on 18 April 2026.

Statistical comparison

Fátima at home vs Benfica Castelo Branco away
Played
W-D-L
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Head-to-head

Full record →
Fátima
4
Draws
2
Benfica Castelo Branco
1

Fátima have won 4 of the last 7 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game, only 29% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-29Fátima 3-1 Benfica Castelo Branco
  • 2026-04-18Fátima 4-1 Benfica Castelo Branco
  • 2025-12-21Benfica Castelo Branco 1-0 Fátima
  • 2025-01-26Fátima 1-0 Benfica Castelo Branco
  • 2024-09-01Benfica Castelo Branco 0-0 Fátima

Our record in Taça de Portugal

89%39 won from 44 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Fátima or Draw
Confidence78%

Fátima are undefeated in their last five matches (three wins, two draws) and have won all three recorded home encounters against Benfica Castelo Branco, including a 4-1 victory in their most recent meeting. With the visitors losing three of their last four matches, backing Fátima to win or draw offers a well-grounded hedged position.

Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.