BetGenius
Round
1/128-finals
Form

Recent form

Fátima
39Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -1 goal difference

Benfica Castelo Branco
35Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Fátima or Draw

BetGenius backs Fátima or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Fátima host Benfica Castelo Branco in the 1/128-finals of the Taça de Portugal, with both sides looking to progress in knockout cup action. The hosts enter the clash carrying momentum from an unbeaten five-match sequence, including an emphatic 5-0 home victory against Atlético Malveira in their most recent fixture.

Benfica Castelo Branco arrive following a mixed run of form, having won two and lost three of their previous five matches across all competitions. Their defensive resilience has been tested recently, conceding four goals in a 1-4 home defeat against Naval 1893 and shipping 12 goals across their last five games.

Historical head-to-head records at this venue heavily favour Fátima, who have won all three previous home encounters against Benfica Castelo Branco, including a decisive 4-1 victory in April 2026. While cup knockout ties can produce volatility, Fátima's current home form gives them a distinct statistical edge.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Fátima are undefeated across their last five matches, recording three wins and two draws while scoring 15 goals.
  2. Fátima hold a 100% home record against Benfica Castelo Branco across three historical meetings, winning 4-1, 1-0, and 1-0.
  3. Benfica Castelo Branco have conceded 12 goals over their last five games, including conceding four goals in two separate fixtures.
  4. The most recent direct encounter between the sides ended in a 4-1 home victory for Fátima on 18 April 2026.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Fátima at homeBenfica Castelo Branco away
2
Played
—
2-0-0
W-D-L
—
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%
History

Head-to-head

4
Fátima
2
Draws
1
Benfica Castelo Branco

Fátima have won 4 of the last 7 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game, only 29% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-29Fátima3-1Benfica Castelo Branco
  • 2026-04-18Fátima4-1Benfica Castelo Branco
  • 2025-12-21Benfica Castelo Branco1-0Fátima
  • 2025-01-26Fátima1-0Benfica Castelo Branco
  • 2024-09-01Benfica Castelo Branco0-0Fátima
BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Fátima or Draw
78%
Confidence

Fátima are undefeated in their last five matches (three wins, two draws) and have won all three recorded home encounters against Benfica Castelo Branco, including a 4-1 victory in their most recent meeting. With the visitors losing three of their last four matches, backing Fátima to win or draw offers a well-grounded hedged position.

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Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.