Under 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence
Direct meetings between Fiorentina and Pisa have historically been low-scoring affairs, producing just one goal across two competitive games (1-0 and 0-0). Knockout cup matches often feature cagey opening stages, and with both teams looking to tighten up defensively after recent losses, the total is likely to stay below the 2.5 line.
Fiorentina or Draw — 75% confidence
Fiorentina have held the upper hand in recent head-to-head meetings, going unbeaten across two previous encounters with a 1-0 home victory and a goalless draw. While their recent three-game losing sequence urges caution, Pisa also travel following a heavy 4-1 home defeat to Virtus Entella. Backing the hosts to either win or draw covers the likelihood of extra time while reflecting the baseline quality difference.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.