BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 27
Venue
Centralnyj Stadion, Kostanay
Referee
G. Chekhovsky
Form

Recent form

FK Tobol Kostanay
79Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +7 goal difference

Yelimay Semey
46Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
FK Tobol Kostanay or Draw + BTTS Yes

BetGenius backs FK Tobol Kostanay or Draw + BTTS Yes (Combo Bet) at 66% confidence — a solid call.

66%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

FK Tobol Kostanay host Yelimay Semey in a tight mid-table clash in the Kazakhstan Premier League. Only one point separates the two clubs in the standings, with Yelimay sitting in sixth place on 35 points from 24 matches and Tobol right behind in seventh on 34 points from 25 matches. Both teams share identical overall goal records of 33 scored and 33 conceded.

Tobol have been formidable on their own ground throughout the campaign, compiling a record of eight wins, two draws, and just one defeat across 11 home fixtures. In that sequence, they averaged 1.9 goals scored per home match while failing to find the net in only one game. Yelimay Semey are competitive on the road with four wins and five draws from 12 away outings, though they have conceded 18 times on their travels.

Higher-scoring encounters have been common when these two sides meet, with four of their last five head-to-head fixtures seeing both teams score and an average of 3.4 goals per meeting. Tobol remain unbeaten against Yelimay on home soil in the recorded series, winning 4-2 and drawing 1-1.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

FK Tobol Kostanay at homeYelimay Semey away
11
Played
12
8-2-1
W-D-L
4-5-3
1.9
Scored /game
1.4
1.1
Conceded /game
1.5
27%
Clean sheets
25%
9%
Failed to score
25%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (FK Tobol Kostanay at home plus Yelimay Semey away).

Players

Key players this season

FK Tobol Kostanay

  • M. Vukčević1G · 1A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
3FC Astana27+1649
4Okzhetpes28+548
5Aktobe28+745
6Yelimay Semey28+244
7FK Tobol Kostanay28+140
8Ulytau28-735
9Kaspiy28-833
10Zhenys28-932
History

Head-to-head

2
FK Tobol Kostanay
1
Draws
2
Yelimay Semey

the last 5 meetings are split 2-2 with 1 drawn, averaging 3.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2026-04-04Yelimay Semey1-0FK Tobol Kostanay
  • 2025-07-05Yelimay Semey2-3FK Tobol Kostanay
  • 2025-03-30FK Tobol Kostanay1-1Yelimay Semey
  • 2024-09-15Yelimay Semey2-1FK Tobol Kostanay
  • 2024-03-06FK Tobol Kostanay4-2Yelimay Semey
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

47%27 won from 58 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
FK Tobol Kostanay or Draw + BTTS Yes
66%
Both must land · no better than

FK Tobol Kostanay or Draw — 76% confidence

Tobol have lost only once in 11 home league matches this season, winning eight and drawing two. Yelimay have taken points in nine of their 12 away fixtures, but Tobol have avoided defeat in both prior head-to-head meetings hosted in Kostanay, taking a 4-2 victory and a 1-1 draw. Backing the hosts to win or draw aligns with their strong home return of 26 points from a possible 33.

Yes — 66% confidence

Both teams to score has landed in four of the five historic meetings between these teams (80 percent). Tobol have found the net in 10 of their 11 home games while conceding an average of 1.1 goals per match. Meanwhile, Yelimay have scored in nine of their 12 away fixtures, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on their travels.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
Confidence

Both teams to score has landed in four of the five historic meetings between these teams (80 percent). Tobol have found the net in 10 of their 11 home games while conceding an average of 1.1 goals per match. Meanwhile, Yelimay have scored in nine of their 12 away fixtures, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on their travels.

Combo BetLOST
Double Chance
FK Tobol Kostanay or Draw
76%
Confidence

Tobol have lost only once in 11 home league matches this season, winning eight and drawing two. Yelimay have taken points in nine of their 12 away fixtures, but Tobol have avoided defeat in both prior head-to-head meetings hosted in Kostanay, taking a 4-2 victory and a 1-1 draw. Backing the hosts to win or draw aligns with their strong home return of 26 points from a possible 33.

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Published September 15, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.