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Sat 17 Oct · 15:00

Florgrade vs Portimonense prediction

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Round: Round of 64
Venue: Parque Do Bucaquinho

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Florgrade

48Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -2 goal difference

Portimonense

50Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Portimonense or Draw

BetGenius backs Portimonense or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Florgrade host Portimonense in the Round of 64 of the Taca de Portugal. The home side enter this encounter looking to respond after suffering a 4-0 away defeat to Machico. Prior to that setback, Florgrade had shown defensive solidity on their own patch, having recorded a 2-0 win over Sanjoanense and a 0-0 draw against Sao Joao Ver.

Portimonense head into this cup tie carrying momentum from consecutive away victories, having defeated Castro Daire 1-0 and Amarante 2-1. Those results marked a turnaround from a three-match losing sequence in late August and early September where they were held scoreless by Leixoes, Uniao de Leiria, and Tondela.

With a place in the next round on the line, both sides are likely to adopt a measured approach. Florgrade have kept clean sheets in their two recent home games, while Portimonense have demonstrated renewed resolve during their recent travels.

Analysis

Key factors

Portimonense have won back-to-back away matches, defeating Castro Daire 1-0 and Amarante 2-1.
Florgrade enter the match following a 4-0 defeat away at Machico in their last outing.
Florgrade have failed to score in three of their last five matches across all competitions.
Four of Portimonense's last five matches have finished with under 2.5 total goals.
Four of Florgrade's last five matches have produced under 2.5 total goals.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Florgrade at homePortimonense away

Played

0-1-0

W-D-L

1-0-0

—

Scored /game

—

Conceded /game

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

BTTS (last 5)

20%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

20%

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

0
Florgrade: 0
Draws: 1
Portimonense

Portimonense have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

2026-10-17Florgrade1-2Portimonense

BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Portimonense or Draw

75%

Confidence

Portimonense come into this tie having found positive form on the road, taking successive away wins against Castro Daire and Amarante. That upturn provides them with momentum after an earlier sequence of three straight defeats.

Florgrade were soundly beaten 4-0 in their most recent fixture away to Machico and have struggled for consistency in attack, failing to score in three of their last five games. Four of Florgrade's last five matches and four of Portimonense's last five matches have produced two goals or fewer, pointing towards a low-scoring cup tie where Portimonense have the edge to take a result.

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