BetGenius
Süper LigSüper Lig
18:00
Fri 6 Nov
WAT

Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa prediction

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Round
Regular Season - 11
Venue
Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Kasımpaşa or Draw

BetGenius backs Kasımpaşa or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Kasımpaşa arrive as the stronger side on the evidence. They are fifth in the Süper Lig with 17 points and a goal difference of +4, while Gaziantep FK sit 16th with 8 points and a goal difference of -8, in the relegation zone. Kasımpaşa have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten matches overall, and their away record reads three wins, one draw and one defeat. Gaziantep have won two, drawn two and lost six in the same period, and at home they have no wins from five, scoring three and conceding nine.

Gaziantep's attack is the main concern. They average 0.9 goals per game and have failed to score in four of ten matches. Their availability list covers eight players, with F. Bavuk, N. Sangare and U. Meleke injured and five others unavailable. Kasımpaşa are not fully fit either, with K. Corekci, G. Frimpong, A. Karapo and M. Ouanes injured and F. Diabate and K. Mouanga unavailable, but their main threat is A. Benedyczak, who has six goals this season.

The head-to-head record points to goals. In ten meetings the average is 3.7 goals, both teams have scored in 70 per cent of them and there have been over 2.5 goals in 80 per cent. Gaziantep did win the most recent meeting 2-1 in February. The listed coaches are Mirel Radoi for Gaziantep and Emre Belozoglu for Kasımpaşa.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Kasımpaşa are fifth with 17 points and a +4 goal difference, while Gaziantep are 16th with 8 points and -8, in the relegation zone.
  2. Gaziantep's home record this season is no wins in five, with three goals scored and nine conceded.
  3. Gaziantep average 0.9 goals per game and have failed to score in four of ten matches, against Kasımpaşa's 1.5 goals per game and three clean sheets.
  4. Gaziantep are missing eight players, three of them injured, and Kasımpaşa are missing six, four of them injured; A. Benedyczak has six goals for Kasımpaşa.
  5. The head-to-head average is 3.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals in 80 per cent of the last ten meetings and both teams scoring in 70 per cent.
Form

Recent form and results

Home

Gaziantep FK

1W 0D 4L · Goals 6–10

5 matches, 11 Oct to 1 Nov

28
Very poor
LLLWLLatest →
  • atTrabzonspor
    Süper Lig
    L0–2
  • atEtimesgut SK
    Türkiye Kupası
    W4–0
  • vsErzurumspor FK
    Süper Lig
    L1–3
  • atBaşakşehir
    Süper Lig
    L1–2
  • vsÇorum FK
    Süper Lig
    L0–3
Away

Kasımpaşa

3W 1D 1L · Goals 11–7

5 matches, 9 Oct to 1 Nov

71
Strong
LWWWDLatest →
  • vsBeşiktaş
    Süper Lig
    D2–2
  • vsÇorluspor 1947
    Türkiye Kupası
    W3–1
  • atEyüpspor
    Süper Lig
    W1–0
  • vsSamsunspor
    Süper Lig
    W4–1
  • atGalatasaray
    Süper Lig
    L1–3

Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.

Teams

Lineups & team news

Complete starting XIs have not been received for this match. Check again nearer kickoff.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Venue records: Gaziantep FK: Süper Lig (2026); Kasımpaşa: Süper Lig (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.

A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.

Gaziantep FK at homeKasımpaşa away
5
Played
5
0-2-3
W-D-L
3-1-1
0.6
Scored /game
1.2
1.8
Conceded /game
1
20%
Clean sheets
40%
40%
Failed to score
0%
40% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
80% (5 games)
80% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
80% (5 games)

Combined scoring rate: 1.8 goals per game (Gaziantep FK at home plus Kasımpaşa away).

Players

Key players this season

Kasımpaşa

  • A. Benedyczak6G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
2AmedPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)10+1423
3TrabzonsporPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)10+1622
4BeşiktaşPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
13Rizespor10-411
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.10-611
15Konyaspor10-78
16Gaziantep FKRelegation - 1. Lig10-88
17SamsunsporRelegation - 1. Lig10-164
18EyüpsporRelegation - 1. Lig10-253
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
3
Gaziantep FK
2
Draws
5
Kasımpaşa

Kasımpaşa have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.7 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-02-09Gaziantep FK2-1Kasımpaşa
  • 2025-08-30Kasımpaşa2-3Gaziantep FK
  • 2025-05-24Gaziantep FK2-2Kasımpaşa
  • 2025-01-05Kasımpaşa2-2Gaziantep FK
  • 2024-04-21Gaziantep FK2-0Kasımpaşa
Prices

Bookmaker odds comparison

Cached odds are more than two hours old and are withheld until refreshed.

BetGenius

Our record in Süper Lig

63%75 won from 120 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

Featured
Double Chance
Kasımpaşa or Draw
74%
Confidence

Kasımpaşa have the clearer league position, 17 points from ten games against Gaziantep's 8, and better recent results, including an unbeaten run of four matches. Their away form of three wins and one draw from five is well ahead of Gaziantep's home form of no wins and three defeats. Gaziantep have also been missing key players, and their scoring rate of 0.9 goals per game gives them little margin. The main risk to this pick is a draw, which Gaziantep's home record and the head-to-head results make a realistic outcome, so the pick is that Kasımpaşa do not lose rather than that they win. The goal expectation supports the over: the head-to-head average is 3.7 goals, over 2.5 has landed in 80 per cent of meetings, and Kasımpaşa's home and away scoring averages together point to a match of around three goals.

Goals
Total Goals
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
Confidence

Two or more goals is the line the evidence supports most clearly. Gaziantep's away conceding rate of 1.6 per game and Kasımpaşa's scoring rate of 1.2 away from home and 1.8 at home give both sides a realistic route to scoring. The head-to-head sample averaged 3.7 goals with 80% of meetings over 2.5, and four of Kasımpaşa's last five and four of Gaziantep's last five had at least three goals. Over 2.5 is the stronger reading of the head-to-head, but the season averages and Gaziantep's struggles to score at home give a projected total near 2.6, which is enough for two goals but not a clear case for three. Confidence reflects a meaningful but not overwhelming chance that the third goal is missing.

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About this data

Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 4 Nov 2026, 18:10 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.

Team context last fetched: Gaziantep FK: 4 Nov 2026, 18:10 WAT; Kasımpaşa: 4 Nov 2026, 18:10 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 4 Nov 2026, 15:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.

Published November 4, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.