BetGenius
Round
League B - 2
Venue
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi
Referee
Aliyar Aghayev, Azerbaijan
Form

Recent form

Georgia
38Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · 0 goal difference

Ukraine
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Over 1.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 1.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 1.5 Goals.

70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Georgia host Ukraine in UEFA Nations League action aiming to bounce back from an opening 1-0 home defeat against Northern Ireland. The hosts had previously demonstrated positive attacking returns across friendly action earlier in the year, scoring twice against Bahrain and Lithuania, but will need sharper execution after missing chances on matchday one.

Ukraine arrive in solid form following an opening 1-0 away victory over Hungary. The visitors have maintained a reliable scoring output across recent international fixtures, managing to find the back of the net in each of their last five matches across all competitions.

Recent encounters between these sides point toward a competitive and measured affair. Their two head-to-head meetings resulted in a 1-0 win for Ukraine and a 1-1 draw in Georgia, demonstrating that while wild scorelines are uncommon, reaching the two-goal mark is well within reach given both teams' regular offensive contributions.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Ukraine have scored at least one goal in each of their last five matches across all competitions
  2. Four of Georgia's last five international matches have produced two or more goals
  3. The previous meeting between these teams in Georgia finished in a 1-1 draw
  4. Neither of the two recorded head-to-head fixtures exceeded 2.5 total goals
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Georgia at homeUkraine away
2
Played
2
0-1-1
W-D-L
1-1-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
20%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
0%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
History

Head-to-head

0
Georgia
2
Draws
1
Ukraine

Ukraine have won 1 of the last 3 meetings.

  • 2026-09-28Georgia0-0Ukraine
  • 2024-11-16Georgia1-1Ukraine
  • 2024-10-11Ukraine1-0Georgia
BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Nations League

69%123 won from 177 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

GoalsLOST
Total Goals
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
Confidence

Georgia have seen two or more goals scored in four of their last five matches across all competitions, while Ukraine have scored in five consecutive fixtures. Both teams opened their current Nations League campaign with tight 1-0 scorelines, and their two historical head-to-head meetings produced totals of one and two goals with an average of 1.5 goals per game. Because Ukraine consistently find the net and Georgia possess the attacking quality to respond at home, reaching at least two goals is well supported, whereas the evidence does not justify pushing to a third goal.

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Ukraine or Draw
67%
Confidence

Ukraine remain unbeaten across recent meetings with Georgia, having collected a 1-0 win and a 1-1 draw during their 2024 Nations League encounters. Ukraine have proven defensively capable with three clean sheets across their last five fixtures, including a 2-0 away triumph in Poland. With Georgia drawing two of their last three home fixtures, a closely contested matchup is likely, giving Ukraine a solid foundation to take at least a point.

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Published September 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.