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Sun 20 Sept · 15:00

Guarda vs Chaves prediction

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Round: Round of 128

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Guarda

39Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · +3 goal difference

Chaves

41Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Chaves or Draw

BetGenius backs Chaves or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Guarda host Chaves in the Taça de Portugal round of 128, looking to build on their earlier cup success where they recorded a 6-0 away victory over Académico do Fundão. However, that high-scoring outing stands as their sole win in their last five fixtures across all competitions, having suffered defeats against Alpendorada, Florgrade, and União Lamas alongside a 2-2 draw with Camacha.

Chaves enter this cup tie after picking up a 1-0 home victory against Feirense. Prior to that result, they experienced a mixed run against tough opposition, including a 2-2 draw with AVS and narrow away defeats to Felgueiras 1932 and Sporting CP B. Their recent defensive display against Feirense provides a solid foundation heading into this knockout clash.

With both sides having shown inconsistent scoring runs in recent weeks, Chaves bring experience from higher competitive fixtures that gives them a distinct edge, while Guarda will rely on home advantage to keep the contest competitive.

Analysis

Key factors

Chaves enter the tie on the back of a 1-0 clean-sheet victory against Feirense.
Guarda have lost three of their last five fixtures across all competitions.
Guarda failed to find the net in three of their last five matches.
Chaves have played higher-tier opposition in recent competitive fixtures, giving them valuable big-match experience.
Four of Guarda's last five games saw two or fewer total goals scored.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Guarda at homeChaves away

—

Played

—

W-D-L

1-0-0

—

Scored /game

—

Conceded /game

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

20%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

40%

BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

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