BetGenius
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19, 10:00 AM
Round
Round of 128

Recent form

Imortal Albufeira
55Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +4 goal difference

Tondela
54Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · 0 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Draw No Bet
Pick
Tondela (draw no bet)
Confidence74%

BetGenius backs Tondela (draw no bet) (Draw No Bet) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Imortal Albufeira host Tondela in the Round of 128 of the Taça de Portugal, with both sides looking to progress in the national cup competition. The hosts head into the fixture having experienced mixed fortunes in recent outings, recording a 1-1 draw against Alcochetense and a 0-2 home defeat to Sintrense following previous victories over Lagoa and 1º Dezembro.

Tondela arrive in Albufeira carrying positive momentum after securing back-to-back clean-sheet victories. Consecutive wins against FC Porto B (3-0) and Portimonense (2-0) have stabilized their form following a difficult three-match losing streak in August, demonstrating significant defensive solidity and clinical finishing in recent weeks.

With knockout football raising the stakes, Tondela's upturn in defensive performance positions them well against an Imortal Albufeira side that has struggled for consistent attacking output across their latest fixtures.

Key factors

  • Tondela enter the fixture on a two-match winning run without conceding a single goal.
  • Four of Tondela's last five competitive fixtures have stayed under 2.5 total goals.
  • Imortal Albufeira have been limited to two total goals across their last three matches.
  • All five of Tondela's last five fixtures have seen at least one team fail to score.

Statistical comparison

Imortal Albufeira at home vs Tondela away
Played
W-D-L
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
40%
BTTS (last 5)
0%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%

Our record in Taça de Portugal

85%40 won from 47 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

3 published markets

Combo Bet
Market
Draw No Bet
Pick
Tondela (draw no bet)
Confidence74%

Tondela have built momentum with consecutive shutout victories, beating Portimonense 2-0 away and FC Porto B 3-0 at home. Imortal Albufeira have won just one of their last three matches, scoring only two goals in that stretch. Backing Tondela in the draw no bet market provides strong coverage while maintaining the upside of their superior recent form.

Combo Bet
Market
Total Goals
Pick
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence68%

Four of Tondela's last five matches have finished with under 2.5 goals, with none of those five games seeing both teams score. Imortal Albufeira have also shown low-scoring tendencies lately, producing two or fewer total goals in three of their last four matches.

Featured
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Under 2.5 Goals + Tondela (draw no bet)
Confidence68%

Under 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Four of Tondela's last five matches have finished with under 2.5 goals, with none of those five games seeing both teams score. Imortal Albufeira have also shown low-scoring tendencies lately, producing two or fewer total goals in three of their last four matches.

Tondela (draw no bet) — 74% confidence

Tondela have built momentum with consecutive shutout victories, beating Portimonense 2-0 away and FC Porto B 3-0 at home. Imortal Albufeira have won just one of their last three matches, scoring only two goals in that stretch. Backing Tondela in the draw no bet market provides strong coverage while maintaining the upside of their superior recent form.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and draw no bet), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

More from BetGenius

All Taça de Portugal predictions →

Published September 17, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.