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Round
3rd Round
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İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
79Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +5 goal difference

Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
52Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Over 1.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 1.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 1.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik host Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor in the third round of the Turkish Cup, with both sides carrying solid attacking form into the cup tie. The hosts have claimed victory in four of their last five fixtures across all competitions, showcasing sharp finishing in wins over Kastamonuspor, Ankaraspor, and Sebat Gençlikspor.

Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor arrive having found the net in each of their previous five matches. While their attack has remained reliable, their defence has shown vulnerability in recent weeks, conceding six goals across their last three outings in games against 12 Bingölspor, Serik Spor, and Karacabey Belediyespor.

Cup ties often open up once an initial breakthrough is achieved. With the visitors consistently getting on the scoresheet and the home side finding the net multiple times in three of their last four victories, this knockout matchup presents favourable conditions for goals.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor have scored in all five of their last five matches across all competitions.
  2. Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor have conceded six goals across their last three games, averaging two goals conceded per match in that span.
  3. İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik have scored in four of their last five matches, netting eight goals in those scoring fixtures.
  4. Three of İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik's last five games have produced three or more goals.
  5. Recent 1-0 results for both sides suggest a lower total line of over 1.5 is well aligned with the evidence.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik at homeKahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor away
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Played
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W-D-L
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Scored /game
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Conceded /game
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Clean sheets
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Failed to score
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60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
BetGenius

Our record in Turkish Cup

59%50 won from 85 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

4 published markets

Goals
Total Goals
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Confidence

Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor have scored in five consecutive matches while simultaneously conceding in each of their last three. İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik have found the net in four of their last five outings, scoring two or more goals on three occasions in that run. While both sides have shown enough defensive discipline in isolated 1-0 games to cast doubt on reaching a high total like three or more goals, their offensive consistency strongly supports at least two goals being scored over the course of the match.

Combo Bet
Double Chance
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik or Draw
71%
Confidence

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik have won four of their last five games, highlighted by recent victories over Adana Demirspor (1-0) and Sebat Gençlikspor (2-1). Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor have lost two straight away fixtures, conceding three goals at Karacabey Belediyespor and two at 12 Bingölspor. The hosts consistent form and the visitors recent struggles on the road make backing İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik to avoid defeat the most reliable approach.

Combo Bet
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
Confidence

Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor have scored in all five of their recent fixtures, including each of their three away trips. However, they have conceded five goals across their past two away matches. İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik have scored in four of their last five games, scoring multiple goals in three of them while conceding in three of their last four, which points toward both teams finding the net.

Combo Bet
Combo Bet
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik or Draw + BTTS Yes
63%
Both must land · no better than

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik or Draw — 71% confidence

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik have won four of their last five games, highlighted by recent victories over Adana Demirspor (1-0) and Sebat Gençlikspor (2-1). Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor have lost two straight away fixtures, conceding three goals at Karacabey Belediyespor and two at 12 Bingölspor. The hosts consistent form and the visitors recent struggles on the road make backing İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik to avoid defeat the most reliable approach.

BTTS Yes — 63% confidence

Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor have scored in all five of their recent fixtures, including each of their three away trips. However, they have conceded five goals across their past two away matches. İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik have scored in four of their last five games, scoring multiple goals in three of them while conceding in three of their last four, which points toward both teams finding the net.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

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Published October 25, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.