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Wed 21 Oct · 20:00

Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction

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Round: League Stage - 3
Venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
Referee: Harm Osmers

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Inter

78Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +7 goal difference

Shakhtar Donetsk

71Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +8 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Inter or Draw

BetGenius backs Inter or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

Inter host Shakhtar Donetsk for League Stage - 3 of the UEFA Champions League. The Italian side enters the clash looking to translate domestic momentum onto the European stage, having picked up a 3-1 victory away against Bologna in their latest outing. Inter will have to navigate several notable absences in this fixture, with Lautaro Martinez, Benjamin Pavard, Curtis Jones, and John Stones all sidelined through injury.

Shakhtar Donetsk arrive in strong competitive form, having won each of their last five matches across all competitions. Their recent run includes a 2-1 home victory over Kolos Kovalivka and a 3-1 home win against AEK Athens FC. The visitors have also been dealing with roster limitations, missing players such as Eguinaldo, Irakli Azarovi, and Marlon.

Head-to-head history heavily tilts toward the hosts, as Inter have never lost to Shakhtar Donetsk in five previous European meetings, posting two wins and three draws while keeping clean sheets in all five. Backing Inter to win or draw covers the home advantage and historic dominance while acknowledging Shakhtar's recent winning streak and the hosts' defensive absences.

Analysis

Key factors

Inter are unbeaten in five previous European meetings with Shakhtar Donetsk, recording two wins and three draws without conceding a single goal.
Shakhtar Donetsk enter the contest on a five-match winning run across all competitions, scoring at least two goals in every match during that sequence.
Inter have shown consistent attacking output, scoring in each of their last five matches including three goals against Bologna and three against Club Brugge KV.
Both teams enter with key personnel out, with Inter missing Lautaro Martinez, Benjamin Pavard, and John Stones, while Shakhtar are without Eguinaldo, Irakli Azarovi, and Marlon.

Availability

Team news

Inter

C. JonesThigh Injury
L. MartinezThigh Injury
B. PavardThigh Injury
J. StonesInjury
M. Grisoni FasanaInjury

Shakhtar Donetsk

I. AzaroviKnee Injury
EguinaldoShoulder Injury
V. KorniyenkoOff the roster
MarlonMuscle Injury
P. ObahOff the roster
T. PuzankovOff the roster
M. ShvedOff the roster
D. TvardovskyiOff the roster

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Inter at homeShakhtar Donetsk away

Played

4-0-0

W-D-L

4-0-0

3.8

Scored /game

1.5

Conceded /game

0.3

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

40%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

80%

Combined scoring rate: 5.8 goals per game (Inter at home plus Shakhtar Donetsk away).

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
14	Bayern MünchenPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	3	+5	5
15	AS RomaPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	3	+3	4
16	Atletico MadridPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	3	+1	4
17	Shakhtar DonetskPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	3	+1	4
18	PSV EindhovenPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	3	0	4
19	VillarrealPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	3	0	3
20	Manchester UnitedPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	3	-1	3
21	InterPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	3	-1	3
22	NapoliPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	3	-2	3
23	GalatasarayPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	3	-3	3
24	Lask LinzPromotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	3	-3	3

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

2
Inter: 3
Draws: 0
Shakhtar Donetsk

Inter have won 2 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 1.4 goals a game, only 20% went over 2.5.

2021-11-24Inter2-0Shakhtar Donetsk
2021-09-28Shakhtar Donetsk0-0Inter
2020-12-09Inter0-0Shakhtar Donetsk
2020-10-27Shakhtar Donetsk0-0Inter
2020-08-17Inter5-0Shakhtar Donetsk

BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Champions League

60%80 won from 133 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Inter or Draw

74%

Confidence

Inter remain unbeaten across five historical encounters with Shakhtar Donetsk, winning two and drawing three without conceding a goal. Although Inter conceded four in a high-scoring 3-4 defeat to Club Brugge KV, their attack has remained sharp, scoring three goals each in recent fixtures against Bologna and Parma. Shakhtar have won five consecutive games in all competitions and carry scoring form into this trip, but Inter's home pitch and strong head-to-head record make the home-or-draw selection the most balanced outcome.

Explore

Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Team news

Inter

Shakhtar Donetsk

Statistical comparison

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in UEFA Champions League

1 published market

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