BetGenius
Round
Clausura - 12
Venue
Estadio Jaraguay, Monteria
Referee
W. Roldan
Form

Recent form

Jaguares
36Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

Alianza Valledupar
41Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Jaguares or Draw

BetGenius backs Jaguares or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Jaguares host Alianza Valledupar in round 12 of the Clausura in Primera A, with only one point separating the two sides in the lower section of the standings. Jaguares sit in 16th place on 18 points, while Alianza Valledupar occupy 17th spot with 17 points.

Jaguares have established most of their positive momentum on home turf this season, having collected six wins and four draws from 15 home fixtures. They are unbeaten in their last three home league matches, including a 1-0 victory over Chico and back-to-back 2-2 draws against America de Cali and Fortaleza FC.

Alianza Valledupar have found life difficult on the road, winning just twice and losing eight of their 13 away outings. Their offensive output away from home has been limited, producing eight goals across 13 fixtures while failing to score in eight away matches overall.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Jaguares are undefeated in four recorded home head-to-head fixtures against Alianza Valledupar, recording two wins and two draws.
  2. Alianza Valledupar have suffered eight defeats in 13 away matches this season, scoring just eight goals on the road.
  3. Jaguares have earned 22 of their points at home, winning six and drawing four of 15 fixtures at their home ground.
  4. Alianza Valledupar have failed to score in eight of their 13 away games throughout the campaign.
  5. The 10 historical head-to-head meetings between the two sides have averaged 1.9 goals per match, with 60 percent staying under 2.5 goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Jaguares at homeAlianza Valledupar away
17
Played
13
7-4-6
W-D-L
2-3-8
1.4
Scored /game
0.6
1.4
Conceded /game
1.8
29%
Clean sheets
8%
12%
Failed to score
62%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2 goals per game (Jaguares at home plus Alianza Valledupar away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
13Bucaramanga19+623
14Llaneros19-322
15Fortaleza FC19-522
16Jaguares19-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19-1417
18Chico19-1717
19Cucuta19-1316
20Deportivo Pereira19-1710
History

Head-to-head

2
Jaguares
4
Draws
4
Alianza Valledupar

Alianza Valledupar have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.9 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-03-19Alianza Valledupar1-0Jaguares
  • 2024-11-10Jaguares0-0Alianza Valledupar
  • 2024-04-21Alianza Valledupar2-1Jaguares
  • 2023-09-22Jaguares0-0Alianza Valledupar
  • 2023-04-15Alianza Valledupar3-0Jaguares
BetGenius

Our record in Primera A

71%17 won from 24 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Jaguares or Draw
75%
Confidence

Jaguares have proven reliable at home, posting six wins and four draws across 15 home league matches while remaining unbeaten against Alianza Valledupar in their four previous home meetings. Alianza Valledupar have lost eight of their 13 away games this season and average only 0.6 goals scored per match on their travels, failing to find the net in eight away fixtures.

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Published September 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.