BetGenius
Round
Clausura - 14
Venue
Estadio Jaraguay, Monteria
Referee
Carlos Alberto Diaz Vargas, Colombia
Form

Recent form

Jaguares
36Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

Deportes Tolima
45Average

Last 5 matches · 0W-4D-1L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Deportes Tolima or Draw

BetGenius backs Deportes Tolima or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Jaguares host Deportes Tolima in round 14 of the Primera A Clausura, with the two sides experiencing contrasting campaigns. Tolima sit sixth in the standings with 31 points from 19 matches, occupying a post-season qualification spot, while Jaguares are down in 16th place on 18 points. The hosts enter this encounter on a five-match winless streak, having suffered three consecutive defeats against Independiente Medellin, Alianza Valledupar, and Aguilas Doradas.

Tolima have become difficult to beat, although their finishing has been muted lately. The visitors have drawn four consecutive league matches, including scoreless stalemates away to Atletico Nacional and at home against Chico. Their defensive stability remains solid over the course of the campaign, conceding only 34 goals in 36 total fixtures, while Jaguares have conceded 53 goals across their 30 matches.

Head-to-head history heavily points in the visitors' direction. Tolima have remained undefeated across the last 10 meetings between these sides, winning seven and drawing three. At this venue, Tolima have claimed four victories and one draw in their last five visits, giving them a commanding record to rely upon.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Deportes Tolima are undefeated in their last 10 matches against Jaguares, recording 7 wins and 3 draws.
  2. Jaguares are winless in their last 5 league games, suffering 3 straight defeats.
  3. Tolima sit in the post-season qualification zone in 6th place with 31 points, whereas Jaguares sit 16th with 18 points.
  4. Tolima have drawn their last 4 league fixtures, showing high defensive resilience but difficulty finishing games.
  5. Jaguares have conceded 53 goals across 30 total matches compared to Tolima conceding 34 in 36 matches.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Jaguares at homeDeportes Tolima away
17
Played
17
7-4-6
W-D-L
4-7-6
1.4
Scored /game
1
1.4
Conceded /game
1.1
29%
Clean sheets
29%
12%
Failed to score
41%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%

Combined scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game (Jaguares at home plus Deportes Tolima away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
3Deportivo PastoPost season qualification19+434
4America de CaliPost season qualification19+1033
5Once CaldasPost season qualification19+933
6Deportes TolimaPost season qualification19+1031
7Santa FePost season qualification19+729
8Internacional de BogotaPost season qualification19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
13Bucaramanga19+623
14Llaneros19-322
15Fortaleza FC19-522
16Jaguares19-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19-1417
18Chico19-1717
19Cucuta19-1316
History

Head-to-head

1
Jaguares
2
Draws
7
Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game.

  • 2026-10-11Jaguares3-2Deportes Tolima
  • 2026-03-28Deportes Tolima3-1Jaguares
  • 2024-08-19Jaguares0-2Deportes Tolima
  • 2024-02-15Deportes Tolima2-0Jaguares
  • 2023-10-06Jaguares0-1Deportes Tolima
BetGenius

Our record in Primera A

71%17 won from 24 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Deportes Tolima or Draw
76%
Confidence

Deportes Tolima have dominated recent head-to-head fixtures against Jaguares, recording seven wins and three draws across their last ten encounters, including four wins in their last five trips to this stadium. Jaguares enter in poor form, failing to win in five matches and conceding 53 goals in 30 fixtures overall. Tolima have drawn four consecutive games, which highlights that a stalemate is a realistic outcome away from home, making the double chance on Tolima avoiding defeat a well-supported option.

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Published October 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.