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Wed 21 Oct · 11:00

Jubilo Iwata vs Oita Trinita prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 12
Venue: Yamaha Stadium, Iwata

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Jubilo Iwata

45Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -2 goal difference

Oita Trinita

82Excellent

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Oita Trinita or Draw

BetGenius backs Oita Trinita or Draw (Double Chance) at 65% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

65%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

Jubilo Iwata sit mid‑table with 14 points after 11 games, having won two at home and struggled for consistency in recent weeks. Their attack averages just one goal per game and they have failed to score in only one of their last eleven matches. Oita Trinita sit seven places above, also on 14 points but with a superior goal difference (+7) and a strong home record, scoring over two goals per game on average. Their recent run includes three straight league wins, highlighted by a 5‑1 victory at home, and they have been difficult to stop, keeping only two clean sheets all season. In head‑to‑head meetings Oita have a slight edge, winning five of the ten last encounters, including a 3‑0 away win last season. The teams have similar defensive records away (both concede around one goal per game), but Oita’s overall scoring edge and better form suggest they are likely to take at least a point in this fixture.

Analysis

Key factors

Oita are three points ahead of Jubilo and sit in the promotion play‑off zone
Oita have scored 13 goals at home (2.2 per game) versus Jubilo’s 5 at home (1.0 per game)
Recent form: Oita won their last three league games, Jubilo have only one win in the same period
Head‑to‑head: Oita lead 5‑3 with a recent 0‑0 draw and a 3‑0 win in 2025

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Jubilo Iwata at homeOita Trinita away

Played

2-1-2

W-D-L

1-3-1

Scored /game

0.6

Conceded /game

0.6

20%

Clean sheets

40%

20%

Failed to score

60%

BTTS (last 5)

100%

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

60%

Combined scoring rate: 1.6 goals per game (Jubilo Iwata at home plus Oita Trinita away).

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
4	Yokohama FCPromotion Play-offs	12	+9	21
5	Omiya ArdijaPromotion Play-offs	12	+7	20
6	Shonan BellmarePromotion Play-offs	12	+2	19
7	Oita Trinita	12	+7	18
8	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	12	+1	17
9	Iwaki	12	+1	16
10	Fujieda MYFC	12	+2	15
11	Jubilo Iwata	12	-1	15
12	Sagan Tosu	12	-3	14
13	Tokushima Vortis	12	-3	14
14	Consadole Sapporo	12	-4	14

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

3
Jubilo Iwata: 2
Draws: 4
Oita Trinita

Oita Trinita have won 4 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 67% of them.

2025-08-31Oita Trinita0-0Jubilo Iwata
2025-04-25Jubilo Iwata0-3Oita Trinita
2023-07-01Jubilo Iwata1-1Oita Trinita
2023-04-01Oita Trinita2-1Jubilo Iwata
2021-10-27Jubilo Iwata0-2Oita Trinita

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Oita Trinita or Draw

65%

Confidence

Oita have the better league position, a higher goal difference and a recent run of three wins, while Jubilo have been inconsistent and score less than a goal per game at home. Head‑to‑head favours Oita (5 wins to 3). Oita’s away record is modest but they still manage a point in most recent away outings, making a double chance on the away side the safest supported pick. The average goals in their meetings (2.4) and Oita’s home scoring rate push the total over 2.5 goals.

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