BetGenius
NWSLNWSL
Full time
5-1
Sat 3 Oct · 23:30

Kansas City W vs Bay FC W prediction

Follow Kansas City WFollow Bay FC WFollow this match
Round
Group Stage
Venue
CPKC Stadium, Kansas City
Referee
Carvajal, Edson

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Kansas City W
78Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +7 goal difference

Bay FC W
36Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Kansas City W to win

BetGenius backs Kansas City W to win (Match Winner) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Kansas City W welcome Bay FC W to CPKC Stadium looking to solidify their position in the NWSL playoff positions. The hosts currently sit seventh in the standings with 41 points from 26 matches and have turned their home ground into a fortress this campaign, remaining unbeaten with nine wins and four draws while scoring 32 goals in 13 home fixtures.

Bay FC W enter this match in 13th place with 26 points, having endured a challenging campaign featuring 14 defeats across 26 fixtures. On the road, they have struggled for consistency, claiming only three victories while suffering seven losses in 13 away outings and conceding 20 goals.

Historical head-to-head records strongly favor Kansas City W, who have won all five previous encounters between the two clubs. With Kansas City's prolific home scoring rate averaging 2.5 goals per match and their unblemished record against Bay FC, the hosts carry overwhelming momentum into this fixture.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Kansas City W have won all 5 previous meetings against Bay FC W across all competitions
  2. Kansas City W remain unbeaten at home this season with 9 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats in 13 matches
  3. Kansas City W have scored 32 goals in 13 home matches, averaging 2.5 goals per game without failing to score once
  4. Bay FC W have lost 14 of their 26 league games and have suffered 7 defeats in 13 away trips
  5. Head-to-head encounters between these sides average 3.6 total goals per game
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Kansas City W at homeBay FC W away
14
Played
14
10-4-0
W-D-L
3-3-8
2.6
Scored /game
1
1
Conceded /game
1.8
21%
Clean sheets
21%
0%
Failed to score
43%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.6 goals per game (Kansas City W at home plus Bay FC W away).

Players

Key players this season

Kansas City W

  • T. Chawinga12G
  • H. Hopkins11G
  • Croix Bethune10A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1355
2San Diego Wave WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1354
3Washington Spirit WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1452
4Kansas City WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1247
5Utah Royals WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)29+747
6Angel City WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1746
7Portland Thorns WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+644
11Orlando Pride W28-636
12Houston Dash W29-433
13Boston Legacy W28-932
14Bay FC W28-1427
15Racing Louisville W28-1724
16Chicago Red Stars W29-5217
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
6
Kansas City W
0
Draws
0
Bay FC W

Kansas City W have won 6 of the last 6 meetings, averaging 4.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 67% of them.

  • 2026-10-03Kansas City W5-1Bay FC W
  • 2026-09-05Bay FC W1-2Kansas City W
  • 2025-09-07Bay FC W0-2Kansas City W
  • 2025-05-11Kansas City W4-1Bay FC W
  • 2024-10-13Bay FC W0-1Kansas City W
BetGenius

Our record in NWSL

68%32 won from 47 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Match Winner
Kansas City W to win
74%
Confidence

Kansas City W hold a commanding historical edge in this matchup, having won all five previous head-to-head fixtures against Bay FC W, including a 2-1 away victory in September. The hosts are undefeated at home this season across 13 matches with nine wins and four draws, averaging 2.5 goals scored per game and never failing to score at home. Bay FC W have lost 14 of their 26 league matches and won only three times away from home, making a home victory the most probable outcome.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Understand these picks

Other NWSL predictions

Teams around them in the table

NJ/NY Gotham FC WSan Diego Wave WWashington Spirit WUtah Royals WAngel City WPortland Thorns W
All NWSL predictions →

Published October 1, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.